Saturday January 8 2022 Forecast (8:05AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 8-12)

After a snow event that over-produced in some areas yesterday, thanks to that good old synoptic banding, we get to enjoy a day of wall-to-wall sunshine today, but it will start out with a biting breeze as we are still between our departing storm, now a stronger low heading out of the Canadian Maritimes into the North Atlantic, and high pressure approaching from the Great Lakes. But as this high center moves closer, winds will drop off during the day. If you are planning to travel by foot or wheels, especially this morning, keep in mind that any surfaces that were wet or slushy at the end of the day yesterday have frozen solid, and the smoother ones where a cleaner sheet of ice can form are especially hazardous. And we may be adding to the ground ice hazard in some locations on Sunday. After our nice day today, clouds will be moving in tonight ahead of a warm front that extends from low pressure that will be tracking north of us later on Sunday. Periods of rain moving in with this front will fall as freezing rain in some areas away from the coast which remain below freezing for part of the day, if not most of it. We finally get into the warm sector for a while later in the day when all areas should spend some time above freezing, with improvement in icy areas. However, this time our “warm-up” is to be short-lived. A cold front will come through here on Sunday night setting us up for a colder and breezy Monday, which will be generally dry. However, an arctic cold front will be charging through the region late in the day through early evening, and may trigger some snow showers and snow squalls. Whether or not these occur, what will definitely occur is a bitter blast of arctic air from Monday night through Tuesday night. Temperature moderation takes place Wednesday, though it will still be cold, and we’ll see clouds arrive with a weak low pressure area approaching via the Great Lakes that may result in some light snowfall if it has enough moisture.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts morning, diminishing afternoon.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 13-20 evening, rising into the 20s overnight. Wind calm evening, S up to 10 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Early sun possible especially eastern coastal locations, otherwise mainly cloudy. Scattered rain with pockets of freezing rain inland late morning and midday. Chance of rain showers all areas later in the afternoon. Highs 36-43 occurring late in the day. Wind S up to 10 MPH morning, SW 10-20 MPH afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening including a chance of rain showers South Coast / Cape Cod. Clearing overnight. Black ice formation on untreated surfaces. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill below 15 at times.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Isolated late-day snow showers. Highs 25-32. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy with a chance of snow showers / squalls evening. Clear overnight. Lows 3-10. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty. Wind chill -5 to -15.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 8-15. Wind WNW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill below 0.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -2 to +5. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing. Wind chill -5 to -15 evening.

WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of light snow late-day. Highs 22-29. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 13-17)

Expecting generally below normal temperatures during this period. Watching for an ocean storm to evolve early to mid period that earliest indications show will remain at sea, but this type of pattern can set up an onshore flow that in a cold pattern can lead to ocean-effect snow showers. Watching another system for potential wintry weather impact near the end of the period but confidence is far lower on that.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 18-22)

Expecting generally below normal temperatures to continue for this period. General pattern looks on the dry side but can’t rule out 1 or 2 wintry precipitation threats.

69 thoughts on “Saturday January 8 2022 Forecast (8:05AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK

    Bottomed out at 16 here in JP.

    Looks so nice looking out the window this morning.

    1. They worked hard on that one considering there were a total of 6 phone calls (4 with one of my brothers, one with my mother, and one with me) as late as 8PM last night), and it’s already done and out.

      2. The letter has a NYT mention on FB. Remember yesterday when I said I have a hard time ignoring social media fools….well, I may have proven that point today. I was able to share the post as I know many who need such wonderfully uplifting news

    2. Absolutely amazing. Thanks to TKs mom, the world has been able to take a deep breath and just smile.

  4. Thanks TK.

    What is the final total snowfall from Logan?

    NWS = 11.2”
    TV Mets/Eric Fisher = 11.7”

    I am referring to yesterday’s snow event.

      1. That’s what I’ve been trying to figure out. Even if you include the total to date, it’s 11.6” according to NWS.

        1. Updated NWS data as of 9:38 am:

          11.7” = yesterday’s event (final)
          12.1” = season to date

          Record for date = 13.8” 1/7/1977

          1. On both newscasts at 6 & 11, he showed 11.7” which now “seems” like the correct amount. Who knows if it changes again? 😉

  9. Logan was 11.7 inches.
    Now all they need are a few more events to get them to my predicted total for winter. 😉

      1. I assure you Boston won’t finish ahead in this one. 🙂

        It’s really just due to the lack of systems to start the season, and one system in which the snow was heaviest to the east.

        It would be impressive if the season finished with Boston ahead, but it won’t, and probably never will.

  11. BOS averages 14.2 inches of snow for January as Eric Fisher mentioned that in a tweet. There is a good chance they could have above normal snowfall for January.

    1. With as many days left in this month as we have, I’d lean that way. This is the pattern I thought we’d be in 3 weeks sooner, which is why I went snowier for December, but once again, everything is late.

        1. Speaking of leaves. The roads around Horn Pond were covered with oak leaves and now the snowbanks are leaf banks!

    1. Only 8 days out, for a snow event, on the EURO with a northern stream system redeveloping along the south coast

  16. We received about 5 inches here in pembroke . I really thought we would have ended up in one of the jackpot areas but Mother Nature had other plans . Brockton did receive some decent snow .

      1. No idea Philip I left the house at 1 pm Thursday for work & returned home at midnight this morning .

    2. It was all in where “the band” developed / moved. It was further northwest than most forecasts indicated.

  17. I think someone on here mentioned getting a telescope for Christmas. I got one for my grandson years ago but it was wayyyyyy too difficult to use. Even after researching. I’d sure be interested if anyone has a kid and easily confused adult friend telescope

  18. Social media hype train boarding…

    Some of those pages are already plastering up the guidance for January 20 and hyping up the blizzard. Beware! 😉

  19. Thank you, TK.

    Beautiful winter’s day today. No matter what happens the rest of the winter they can’t take today away from us.

    I am very much looking forward to my early morning runs on Tuesday and Wednesday. Colder the better.

    1. I took a walk up to the top of Horn Pond Mountain today. It was fabulous. I got a shot of Boston with my phone camera that makes it look like you can reach out and touch the city, from 11 miles away.

  20. Thanks TK!

    Officially into the well predicted cold and dry portion of the pattern for awhile.

    The pattern from about next weekend onward looks loaded to me though. It’ll be the first time all season where the *potential* is there for a blockbuster (or two), somewhere in the 1/15-1/25 timeframe due to a less progressive large scale pattern which will still favor eastern US or East Coast troughing. Of course, that guarantees nothing, and the usual social media suspects latching onto the 12z GFS are up to the usual antics and should be ignored.

    But I like to dangle the carrot, since before too long the only carrot to be dangled will be a return of the December pattern 😉

    1. Yup, because the 12z run had the storm 500 miles away and saved the blizzard for the following week.

      As the mets have been saying ……….. beyond day 3: Nope. No trust.

      As JP Dave would say: “What a joke!” 😉

      1. Indeed, each Gfs run is different.
        My only take is that there is likely to be some action coming up.

  22. Gosh darn it. Cancel the blockbuster for January 20. It’s been rescheduled to January 14, or so says the 18z GFS. 😉

  24. So after people were noting how incredibly snowless Boston’s winter had been (even though winter started fairly recently), one storm and they are only about 1 inch off normal to-date. Funny how that happens huh?

    1. Yeah not sure why we do this every year when it doesn’t snow in December. Calling the end of winter on December 20th. Seasons are shifting anyway so Decembers will be less snowy anyway.

      1. I think many do not pay a whole lot of attention to the seasonal shift. And I’m not counting social media in that. I suspect a lot of folks are wishing for that elusive white Christmas and others are excited to have winter arrive. It is human nature.

      2. Oh and it surely does snow in December…..we have had some doozies…but not a ton perhaps. They are just memorable

      3. The season “shift” has been, IMO, largely due to the AMO, and when we get further along in the cycle and they start shifting back the other way, people will worry less about winter never arriving – colder autumns and warmer springs once again.

    1. I saw that. Every so often the Middle East gets walloped and this is one of those times.

  26. New weather post…

    I’m off to do my mom’s Sunday AM errands and then I have a call with NBC News to set up the next interview with my mother. I joked that she needs an agent – I guess I’m that. 😛 I’ll catch up with the blog a bit later.

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