Saturday January 29 2022 Forecast (2:22AM)

601 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 29 – FEBRUARY 2)

It’s storm time. All the pre-talk and prep is done. The snow got into the region even a little more quickly than I thought with the help of a frontal boundary sitting just to the south, but also there are signs that the dry air entering the back side of our system also helps shut the snow down a little earlier this evening, so we’re still looking at a just-under-24-hour snow event. But it’s all about what goes on in between the start and end times. As of 2AM, it’s actually raining on Nantucket and outer parts of Cape Cod, but that will change to snow soon as colder air works in. The low pressure area that developed rapidly off the US Southeast Coast last evening will move north northeastward into the vicinity of the 40/70 benchmark during today into this evening, and I’m pretty sure we’ll see this low center have a temporarily elongated configuration, so we’ll have to see if this has any impact on the orientation and movement of the synoptic banding features that will be associated with it. It is under these bands where snowfall rates of 1 1/2 to 3 inches per hour are possible, while most of the time during the peak storm hours, rates of closer to 1/2 to 1 1/2 inch per hour are likely. The snow will be a powdery consistency over most of the area, but will be a little more medium to slightly wetter consistency as you head out through Cape Cod and the islands. It is those areas that would potentially see more in the way of tree limb damage and resultant power outages. I suspect that dry air is going to eat into the back side of the storm and cut the snow off fairly quickly from west to east from about dusk through early evening, which is a little earlier than I was thinking earlier (closer to midnight). Snowflake size will be smaller than what we saw in our recent substantial snowfall, so the “fluff factor” will be a little less. What snow is falling and on the ground will be blowing around quite a bit, hence the blizzard warning for eastern MA, southeastern NH, and RI, where we are most likely to see the criteria met – 3+ hours of visibility 1/4 mile or less due to falling and blowing snow with sustained or frequent wind gusts of 35 MPH or higher. As for accumulation, I left my previous numbers the same which was basically starting with 10-18 inches for everybody, but 18-24 inches occurring in the regions most impacted by the synoptic banding for the longest time. It is also in these bands where thundersnow is possible. Is there the potential for greater than 24 inches? Yes, but I feel this will be more of an isolated occurrence than something that covers a larger area. If somebody gets around 10 inches, that’s most likely be southwestern NH and parts of central MA. Regardless of what falls, the snow will be hard to measure due to the considerable blowing/drifting. There’s no change in the wind expectations, with frequent 30-50 MPH gusts inland and 50-70 MPH in coastal areas, with spot gusts to around 80 MPH in some coastal areas. Coastal flooding concerns will be there for both this morning’s and this evening’s high tides, with east and north facing shores having mostly minor to spotty moderate flooding with the morning high, and north facing shores more vulnerable to some moderate flooding for the evening high, although by then the storm will have peaked and starting to ease, so this will help avoid the worst possible scenario. So that about covers the storm, and I’ll add additional thoughts in the comments section during the day. Not much change to the outlook beyond this. Dry and chilly weather Sunday-Monday to end January, but good for post-storm cleanup. February arrives with a moderating trend and a chance of more unsettled weather as we head toward the middle of next week, but the set-up for the next system indicates rain chances and lots of melting snow. More on that after we get by today’s event.

TODAY / THIS EVENING: Overcast. Snow, heavy at times, tapering off evening. Thundersnow possible. Snow accumulations 10-18 inches with bands of 18-24 inches and spot amounts of greater than 24 inches possible. Blizzard conditions southeastern NH, eastern MA, and RI, ending evening. Pre-dawn temperatures starting out 25-30 northwest of Boston and 30-35 to the southeast to the teens northwest and 20s southeast during the day. Wind chill falling below zero at times especially Boston west and north. Wind NE to N 15-30 MPH with gusts 35-50 MPH inland and 25-40 MPH with gusts 50-70 MPH coast with isolated gusts 75-80 MPH possible.

LATE EVENING / OVERNIGHT: Breaking clouds. Perhaps a snow flurry. Lows 12-19. Wind N to NW 15-30 MPH, higher gusts with strongest in the late evening, diminishing a little overnight. Wind chill often below zero.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts. Areas of blowing snow at times.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 2-9. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 15-22 evening, rising overnight. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 30-37. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Temperatures steady or slowly rising. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers afternoon. Highs 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 3-7)

Mild with periods of rain or rain showers February 3-4, followed by colder air with dry weather mid period and a snow chance later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Starting out chilly, then milder again. Additional unsettled weather threats.

601 thoughts on “Saturday January 29 2022 Forecast (2:22AM)”

    1. Things don’t really get going until closer to dawn. We’ve been snowing here for a few hours now and have very little accumulation. The flakes are tiny and I think they will be small through most of the storm, even when it gets much heavier.

      Snow got in a bit early thanks to the frontal boundary, but also looks like it may end earlier as well.

  2. 06z NAM Kuchera has drastically cut back on the area of 24+ snowfall, limiting it to a little patch south of Boston. That’s a very significant change from earlier runs.

      1. Oh it’s going to produce – don’t misunderstand me.
        What I don’t think it’s going to produce is a huge area of 24+ inch snowfall. That should be more isolated while we see banding of 18-24 and anywhere outside of banding 10-18.

        And in this type of storm the difference between a foot and 2 feet of snow is less noticeable because of all the blowing & drifting. It’s still noticeable, but the wind just balances things out a bit more.

        Bottom line: Lots of snow & lots of wind today! (except outer Cape Cod at first where it’s actually raining – but it will snow there soon too).

  7. Thanks TK !

    I can hear the wind.

    34F, wet snow.

    030-040 wind direction at Boston harbor buoy. Wet snow at least a few more hours here.

  8. Thanks TK.

    Everything to me looks on track. 16″ or 26″, this is gonna be a big one.

    Take a look at what’s happening down here in NJ this morning for clues – “death band” near the coast where some huge totals are likely, but tapers off inland with a pretty sharp cutoff. That should translate northward: coast gets slammed, not so much more than 30-40 miles inland.

  9. A total of 10 dropsondes were available for tonight’s weather models, in support of a USAF #winter storm recon mission in the western Atlantic. Hence, more data to help weather models better capture initial conditions surrounding the developing #BombCyclone

  11. 2 good bands on radar

    one from Boston to halfway btwn Worcester and Providence and

    the nutty one, the death band, just southeast of Nantucket.

    These should translate a bit northwest, pivoting and lets see where they land next few to several hours.

  13. The most northwest band is intensifying, as I think its getting help from a boundary/coastal front.

    Temps dropping at Logan with a N wind, but NE wind at the buoy just 16 nautical miles out in the harbor with its temp of 34F.

  14. Looks to be Just under two here. It is blowing so hard that it is gonna be tough to get accurate measurements

  16. Yawn
    I think I am up now May snooze in my weather office chair later About to turn my computer on and have a look out the window and see how it looks. At 430, looked like 2 inches.

    1. doesn’ look like much more now. Perhaps 3 inches. It is blowing all over the place.. Plow has been down our street already. Temp down to 21here.
      Vis looks to be 1/2 mile, moderate snow
      Not officially heavy yet.

  18. Thanks TK.

    Made it into work this morning just fine. I left a good half hour earlier than usual. MBTA buses seem to be running near normal so far. Surprisingly, my clothes except for my boots of course were pretty much dry when I arrived. The only item that was truly wet was a plastic cover for the items I was carrying.

    I am working a double shift so I will be here until 11:00 pm this evening. I’ll have tomorrow off so I can shovel.

    Interesting how the “rain” event next week is already nicely set in stone. 😉

  19. HRRR has been schizophrenic!! One run has 28 inches,. next 21!, then 17 (with some snow having fallen already)
    I seriously doubt anyone sees 24 inches. Looks like 16-18 inches or so,perhaps 20. We shall see. There is a death band just East of Nantucket. We’ll see IF it holds together and how far NW it goes. If some areas in SE MA get under that for any length of time, Maybe.

    Still a great storm, but I seriously doubt it approaches historical proportions. Again, we still have a ways to go to see what shakes out.

  20. I noticed that Zack on Ch. 4 now has wintry mix for Friday. That sure changed from yesterday’s 50s and rain ending iirc.

  23. Barely snowing here in New Haven. Snowing hard directly south and also to the east. Looks like we’re stuck on the wrong side of a good band. Silver lining is much less shoveling!

  24. When will we have a good feel for where bands set up? Trying to look on radar where they are said to be but not sure where they go or how fast they move. Thanks.

    1. Death band is just East of the Cape. For big totals, we need that
      to pivot NW to cover Eastern SNE. Not sure it will make it, but will be watching. There are some other pretty good bands as you can see in yellow.
      Yellow = Heavy snow
      Dark green = light to moderate snow

      https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?num=40&type=N0Q&mapx=400&mapy=240&brand=wui&delay=15&frame=1&scale=0.4369565217391304&transx=-97.2636815920398&transy=-19.452736318407915&severe=0&smooth=0&centerx=302.7363184079602&centery=220.54726368159209&station=BOX&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&noclutter=0&showlabels=1&showstorms=0&rand=27391009

      2. To make the forecast snow totals that band NEEDS to get up here. Without that, it is a routine snowstorm with a lot of wind. If it gets up here and parks here, them mega totals
        could be realized.

        It is full blown NOW CASTING!!!

  25. On radar, it looks like the bands are really struggling to get up
    to Boston. Too much dry air? It is getting colder, so the small flakes don’t reflect as well? Portland radar not showing much of
    anything. Maybe it just needs a little more time or maybe it is too far off shore????

  26. Last night Harvey indicated the worst of it would be from about 10AM to 4PM. He truly anticipated that band being here during that time and that is why he was so confident about his
    24+ inch totals for all of Eastern MA. Harvey is good, really good
    so let’s see how good he is.

    I can see the band. I am rooting for it to get up here. It appears
    to be moving at a good pace.

  28. Going to get some breakfast. I’ll let some others post for awhile.
    Sorry to hog the blog, but not many are around yet and I can’t help myself. Cheers 🙂

    3. To my untrained eye, it looks like bands are pivoting and shrinking a bit. Don’t know how to project that.

      1. It may be my imagination, but seems like the worst of band is headed for north shore. Is it likely that winds peak around noon and decline slowly in afternoon?

  30. Thanks JPD. Do the bands stop over an area or keep moving? When will we know if they are factor? Appreciate your help with basic issues.

    1. There’s nothing to argue about. 🙂

      Storm’s doing what it was expected to do. All we have to do is stay as safe as possible and enjoy.

  32. Insane here !

    Wind whipped whiteout.

    Strong gusts and power’s flickering. It won’t be long to lose it.

    5-6 inches now, now powdery, but initially wet, so houses and everything plastered.

    1. Just guidance. The meteorologists refine the features. 🙂
      We talked about banding, drop out zones, small flakes, etc.

      Time to just enjoy what nature brings and hope that anybody out and about or in a vulnerable situation can stay safe today!

  36. What location is KGHG? It was used as part of the NWS Discussion this morning. Based on the context it may be somewhere on the Cape?

    I’ve always wondered why ORH is Worcester and ACK is for Nantucket? How did the NWS come up with those bizarre designations?

    BOS, CON and HFD are obvious.

  38. Took my dog for a walk this morning. When the wind was at our back, it was quite pleasant. When we came around the block and the wind was in our face, not so much. My dog is funny, she won’t go out in the yard in this weather, but if I take her out, she will walk for miles. I’d say we have about 6 inches here in Sutton so far. Snowing very hard at the moment.

    1. Our dog won’t go into the yard,, but I’m not sure she’d go for much of a walk either. She’s rescued from Arkansas. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    2. Hi Tim. Nice to see you back here. I seem to recall you are around the center area of Sutton which tends to be colder by a bit and windier than here.

      I just measured 5.75 in the more protected area I have so that seems the same. Hard to see far with the blowing snow. I can see maybe two houses down out cross street.

      Love dogs in this. The new pup needs a path crested. The lab mix just charged ahead.

      1. I’m over in Wilkinsonville near Keown Orchards. I think it’s actually Fopema Farms now, but I still call it Keown. We are about 700 feet of elevation, and it makes a huge difference in the weather. I’ve always been fascinated at the weather differences throughout the Blackstone Valley. My lab is a rescue from Puerto Rico, but she absolutely loves the snow!

  40. Thanks TK. It is like a snow globe outside my window. The wind gusts so far not bad but I am sure that will change. It is going to be cold thanks to those wind chills when shoveling later.

  41. So far I’ve seen 2 snow devils and a roof hurricane. I gotta get this stuff on video. 😉

    1. This is when you gotta trudge to every open spot you can find, take a measurement not in a drift, then average them. I’ve taken up to 20 or even 25 measurements before to get as accurate a reading as possible.

    2. I have a couple of protected spots. One tight against south side. SIL just checked multiple spots around yard. Six it is. Nice job, Tim.

      Snow is smaller but a tad wetter than jan 7…was that the date?

    3. Wow. I can’t tell where this is. I know they go to Humarock a lot. And scituate harbor. I’m surprised they are not at brant rock

    1. The NAMs are similar, RAP a little lower at quick glance.
      None of these models have anything at 24 or higher any longer, not even using Kuchera!

      EDIT: Add FV3 to that too. Maybe around 20 tops.

      1. I know, thus my statements above.

        Boston “could” just barely eek out 24, but 16-22 is more realistic. No?

    1. I see that! We’re also at 18. We already have solid moderate to borderline heavy snow already. What will it be like under
      that band?

          1. It’s dark for one thing.

            It’s just sheets of thick white. Like the heaviest drizzle, mist you’ve ever seen. There’s no individual snowflakes you can distinguish and all the snow is extremely fine.

            I see the Marshfield airport is at 0.15 miles and yup, I concur, maybe even 0

      1. That band approaching Boston is EXPANDING and
        Intensifying! It’s coming!

        Perhaps the higher totals will be realized?????

  50. 9AM (8:54) Boston Logan Observation

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.36056N 71.01056W

    2 Day History
    Last Updated: Jan 29 2022, 8:54 am EST
    Sat, 29 Jan 2022 08:54:00 -0500
    Weather: Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy
    Temperature: 18.0 °F (-7.8 °C)
    Dewpoint: 15.1 °F (-9.4 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 88 %
    Wind: from the North at 25.3 gusting to 36.8 MPH (22 gusting to 32 KT)
    Visibility: 0.25 miles
    MSL Pressure: 1004.2 mb
    Altimeter: 29.66 in Hg

  51. I’m reading Humarock’s FB page. River and ocean have met in the one typical place and maybe a place not so typical. Lots of splashover and flooding in the areas that have only been typical in the last couple of decades. This is based on what third and more generations have told us….one is owner of the first home on hum that was moved down on central from the cliff. Fascinating story.

        1. No or at least not in the 20 years we have been here.

          It (the surrounding marsh) does turn into a lake though with waves.

    2. The wind direction in this particular system is a little more northerly than many we see, so that may also be a factor.

      1. I’m actually surprised it is flooding as much with the north wind. I was hoping that would spare the peninsula a bit more.

  54. This morning’ NWS discussion with some pretty powerful wording.

    Highlights:

    Highlights…

    * Near record snowfall with a widespread 1 to 2 ft snowfall in
    eastern MA & RI, along with blizzard conditions. Localized amounts
    up to 3 ft possible in this region

    * Snowfall rates could reach 2 to 4 inches per hour at times with
    possibility of thundersnow across eastern MA and RI. This will
    make travel very dangerous to nearly impossible

    * Near hurricane force wind gusts are possible along the eastern MA
    coast, possibly resulting in power outages

    Link to complete discussion

    https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&site=NWS&version=1

    1. Great loop thanks. And don’t thank me for RadarPro.
      That was TK’s doing. He highly recommended it to me. 🙂

  58. Death Band will be on the bill with Kuchera at the xFinity Center in Mansfield this summer.

      1. Yea….makes me sad. Fortunately, as you know, houses on that side are higher up. If I had a place to choose to buy, it would be that area

  60. Ok, now we do have larger snow flakes.

    Visibility 0.

    This must be that 2-4” per hour.

    Anticipating some thunder/lightning maybe ??

    2. Well I don’t have to ask you the question I was about to. I wanted to confirm the larger flake size under that band. This will help with the snowfall rates.

      No reports of thundersnow yet but someone’s going to get it.

    1. It seems to be taking forever. Is it stalling? Or being eroded
      by dry air, I am getting impatient, for sure.

      Could be a good thing as once it gets here is sticks around.

      We shall see.

  64. Snowing harder now. Perhaps 1 1/2 to 2 inches per hour where it
    was an inch an hour or so.
    NOT 4 inches per hour. Flakes are a little bigger, but I wouldn’t
    call them big,

  68. Lightning every now and again here in Lower Mills/Milton. It’s hard to say about thunder, because the wind is howling and something on the building is banging around. Interestingly, hardly any snow on the roofs nearby–it’s all blowing off, I guess. In fact, if I was only looking at the roofs, I’d call it a dusting at best.

  71. Ok, first guess here is around 5-6 inches.

    Its insane, complete wind whipped whiteout.

    Lots of this was wet snow, so houses are plastered.

    Wind gusts are really, really strong.

    3. Meso West says Marshfield is gusting to 48 at the airport and that is back some from the coast. Probably 50-55 at your
      location.

  72. JPD the next 5 hours is your peak I do believe. This is when most of your snow will fall and if thunder is going to happen it will be somewhere in there.

  73. I concur. 1/8 perhaps 1/16 mile visibility
    At least 2 inches per hour, perhaps more.
    Now we’re talking. This is the good stuff.
    I think we are now in Blizzard conditions, although I don’t
    see white out conditions at the moment.

    2. Death band expanding again and INTENSIFYING!
      What will it look like underneath that! HOLY CRAP BATMAN!

      We could get 20 inches in 5 hours!

  74. Boston may have the snowfall contest wrapped up after this storm is over NY. NY so far with this storm has 5.3 inches of snow bringing their season total so far to 12.3 inches.

  75. Anyone see any snow totals yet?

    I wonder where Mark is? He’s probably on the ski slopes somewhere. 🙂

    1. Just CG on those. Most of our thundersnow is produced by long distance discharges laterally across the cloud deck at mid levels. Cloud-to-ground strike are fairly rare during snowstorms, but not unheard of. There were several of them, for example, during the March 29 1984 snowstorm.

  78. Getting kind of dark here even ‘though we are not near the heavy snow band yet. Some wind; some snow. Hard to tell how much snow at this point.

    1. Wow! They are really all in on this thing!

      Now Boston is included in the 24-30 inches?

      YIKES!

      We shall see. Sure is thumping at the moment!!

    2. I think, looking at the current radar and factoring in dry air on the western precip envelope, they could really narrow a lot of those contours west of a north-south line from Worcester to Providence.

  83. The death band just can’t get in here.
    I wonder if it is the cold and the radar is not reflecting that well
    this far from the radar. Based on the snow coming down, we
    should be into it,

    Thoughts?

    1. These things can act like standing waves. The air is moving across them giving the apparent motion you see on radar, but the core of the band doesn’t move as quickly. Look at the recent radar loop for that narrow band in southeastern CT through northwestern RI and you will see what I mean.

  84. JpDave I don’t think I have seen those forecasted amounts since those storms during the snow blitz of 2014-2015 winter.

  87. We don´t often sit under the death band this long.

    Usually it passes through quick and ends up west of us.

    We end up in very light snow, even sometimes drizzle.

    We´ve been 2-4 inches per hour now since at least 8 am.

    Multi foot snow drift between 2 of our cars.

    1. The low center seems to be doing what the GFS has been predicting for a few days now, occlusion / elongation. I think that’s doing its part to hold the band back just south and east a bit.

  88. Just SE of Boston going down towards the Cape are really getting pummeled!! WOW! Some areas must be seeing 4 or 5 inch per hour rates. INSANE!

    1. Yup !

      Sometimes say 1/4 mile visibility or 0 visibility and maybe I default to it too easy.

      In most heavy snows, I can still make out my neighbor´s house 50 yards across the road.

      I can obviously still see it now, but its fairly fuzzy.

      It is snowing that hard.

  89. That death band looks like one of those fat fuzzy yellow caterpillars on my radarscope. You know, the kind that will give you a rash if you touch it….

    Wind is cranking here NW of Boston now, not ferocious but good gusts, vis is about 1/4 mile but the flakes are still very small and we may be closing in on 4 inches … at least 3.

      2. Yup, just getting into it now. Flakes are not all that big.
        A little bigger than earlier this morning, but I would not
        characterize them as big. I think big enough to accumulate well enough.

    2. Visibility can’t be more than about 500 feet is all.
      Someone is shoveling and it looks like we have something
      like 8-10 inches on the ground. If it stopped now, this would
      have been a nice little storm. 🙂

  93. I hope SSK got home alright.

    I think his plan was to head home after his morning shift ended.

    But this nutty band has been pounding Rte 3 from the Braintree split to Marshfield/Pembroke for 2 to 3 hrs now.

    1. They probably made him stay over???
      We should have heard from him by now, unless he came home
      and just crashed.

  94. So JPD, I don’t know if it’s too early for the million dollar question, and perhaps you need time to think it over, but I’m sure everybody wants to know…. Are you impressed yet? 😉

    1. Oh yeah, I’m good. Performing far better than I expected when I retired last night. 🙂 I was really worried it would be a dud or
      a hugh under performer. It will certainly end up at least 18 inches here and could easily reach 24 or perhaps more.

      24+ plus is a blockbuster in my book, 🙂

  95. Just read that about 30 % of Barnstable customers without power, 60% of Orleans and 100% of Provincetown. Cape is getting pummeled by wind and heavy snow. The wet snow at first – after some rain – must have caused some of the power outages.

    1. That is exactly the issue. I didn’t expect the rain first, but the earlier onset of precipitation was the reason for that – it beat the cold enough air. We did outline that the Cape region was the most likely to have power issues. That’s coming true.

  96. Our dead end street was just plowed by a front end loader.
    No plow attached, just the bucket making a big pile at the end
    of the street right outside my window. 🙂

  97. I see some orange showing up on both Nexrad and Radar Scope.
    Oh boy, I shudder to think what the snow rates would be.

    1. The wind is strong enough down here, its impossible to tell.

      But, we have to be past a foot of snow and that might be conservative.

      2 more hours in this band, we´ll easily be in the 15-20 inch range.

  98. Tk , starting to see a slight westward pivot on some heavier banding heading toward Sturbridge maybe 15 miles to my east in the Webster- Sutton area. Do you think this may be the extent of its westward push or as the storm gets a bit closer will I get into it some?

  101. Thanks TK. That band sure is impressive. Doesn’t look like it will make it out to my area, but I’m happy for JPD. 🙂

  103. THIS is probably what the blizzard of 1978 would have been like if it had occurred on a Saturday instead of a Tuesday.

    1. Similar. The winds were stronger in that storm though, and lasted much longer. But for now, similar look, yes.

  107. I will say one thing, this storm doesn’t have the look of “a classic” on satellite at all. Nothing like the last “blizzard” in 2018. That was a classic by signature. This one is hardly that. We just happen to be in the sweet spot at the moment.

      2. What’s going on here is impressive considering how not impressive it looks on satellite. I suspect though that will change once the elongation period is over and we consolidate to one main center again as it heads off toward the Maritimes.

  108. Greetings from 1 Franklin Street in Boston! Only my second storm since living in the tower and… Wow! Wind is incredible, very little visability – I can’t see anything but the building right next to us – and from the 15th floor it feels like we are at sea in wild & choppy waters!

    This is much more fun knowing I won’t have to dig myself or my car out tomorrow 🙂

    1. The best lift and moisture is right along the coast and the south shore.

      Getting out to 128 also gets you further into low level dry air.

      So, I don´t know if you ever get to that heaviest stuff, but may get the current moderate to occasionally heavy.

  110. This storm is sending the cold weather all the way to South Florida.

    Its currently 54F in Miami, headed for upper 50s and they have a forecasted low of 40F.

    Falling Iguana advisories are up.

    I have to spend a month or 2 during a south Florida winter soon, though today´s event would be tough to miss.

    But, I think several beach days in January would kind of make up for that.

  111. To Floridians when it is below 80 degrees it is cold. I went down there in February a few years ago and the temps were in the low to mid 60s. I was wearing a wind breaker while some of the Floridians were wearing heavy jackets.

    2. I hear you. We spent a week in Bermuda in February one year.
      I was the only one swimming in the ocean as Locals were wearing ski hats. Btw, that day the temp was 76 and the ocean was about 65.

    3. Makes perfect sense, JJ. When we visited Mac’s parents in Charleston in April, the complex would open the pool for us. They’d say ….those crazy grandkids of Jean and Bills are coming and will use the pool. We were also the only ones in the ocean.

  112. Is it possible I could be seeing occasional flashes of lightning, but not hearing the thunder?

    Its happened a couple times the last few hours and I don´t think the last few have been the lights flickering.

  113. …Bristol County…
    Attleborough 12.0 in 1102 AM 01/29 NWS Employee
    Norton 10.5 in 1057 AM 01/29 Trained Spotter

  114. 74 MPH Chatham & 90 MPH (unofficially) Truro are the highest wind gusts I’ve seen reported so far, also another home anemometer at 80 MPH in Plymouth (White Horse Beach).

  115. Logan 11 AM Obs.

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.36056N 71.01056W

    2 Day History
    Last Updated: Jan 29 2022, 10:54 am EST
    Sat, 29 Jan 2022 10:54:00 -0500
    Weather: Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Windy
    Temperature: 17.0 °F (-8.3 °C)
    Dewpoint: 14.0 °F (-10.0 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 88 %
    Wind: from the North at 29.9 gusting to 44.9 MPH (26 gusting to 39 KT)
    Wind Chill: -3 F (-19 C)
    Visibility: 0.15 miles
    MSL Pressure: 999.2 mb
    Altimeter: 29.51 in Hg

  116. 1,200 customers without power in the Brant Rock area of Marshfield per the Eversource Outage Map.

    Knock on wood, so far, so good here.

  119. I think, in 20 years here, we have received more snow in a storm than we might end up with in this.

    But, in those instances, there was blocking involved and it was accomplished over 1.5 – 2.5 days.

    By far, this is the most continuous, most heaviest fall of snow I have seen in Marshfield in 12-18 hrs.

    2. It is crazy here. 10.5 about 20 minutes ago and wind is whipping. Daughter says lights are flickering. I don’t have lights on so would not know.

      I,cannot Imagine what it is like towards the coast

  124. I think the radars are nicely showing that closed upper 500 mb low moving NE.

    On a loop, Nantucket may have their precip shut off.

    I´m thinking the 700 mb and 850 mb low are generally lined up with this.

    So, can see the band strengthening a bit west of the closed low.

    As this moves northeast, I´d think this should keep south shore, up to Boston´s suburbs in pretty good snow for another 3-5 hours.

    1. Yikes. Be safe and thank you. Daughter in law in lincoln RI said they have bare patches of lawn next to two and three foot drifts.

  126. Hot off the press from the NWS

    .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/…

    1045 AM Update…

    Minor adjustments in the latest update. Really tried to hone in
    on the impressive mesoscale band from roughly RI into SE MA
    extending to Cape Ann. Can kind of see where the two bands set
    up earlier per the SPC Mesoanalysis 850-700 hPa Fgen, but really
    only one band per current radar at this point as the one
    further west appears to have collapsed. Within this band
    we are getting snowfall rates of 1-4″ per hour at times and it
    is here where the highest totals are anticipated. Thinking there
    could be some isolated 30+ inch totals within the band.
    Remainder of the forecast looks good and have just brought
    things in line with the latest obs.

  127. Any idea on wind for the afternoon? Natick has not been too bad and I’m hoping things improve in the PM. Thanks.

    2. I’m surprised. Our wind has been bad….not as bad as by coast. But I just looked at a bunch of natick wunder stations and the wind is surprisingly low as you said. There is always a chance the anemometers are frozen? Or that is the banding at work?

  128. I take exception that the initial death band has moved west of me.

    That´s ok, a thinner death band is gathering over Cape Cod Bay.

    🙂 🙂

  131. Nantucket´s precip looks shut off to very light and I think that 500 mb is going to cross a good part of Cape Cod, shutting their precip off.

    But, west and north of that until it gets past our latitude, it should keep dumping !!

    This is going to be so much snow for the South shore, right up to Boston and a great snowstorm too now out to 128 with the lead death band clobbering away.

      1. Yes, worth losing many hours of sleep this week extending to stay up for the GFS.

        And, of course, all the emotional up and downs with the up and down models.

      1. If you don’t have it, it is a MUST!!!!
        I think it cost $9.95 for the basic version which is all you really need.

    2. Sorry. Was reading the cat in the hat universe book to five year old rilyn yesterday and this is what popped into my head when you guys said death band 1 and 2

  133. We are getting hammered here on the south shore & my best guess is we are nearing a foot w/ many more hours to come . It’s just pounding snow here in pembroke !!!!

  134. 16Z HRRR Kuchera Snow. About 16 inches for Boston from
    11AM with about 8 inches on the ground at 11 makes for
    a grand total of 24 inches for Boston. Now that would be something. We’re not there yet, but looking quite good.

    1. Nice to see you aboard. I was really worried about this thing not producing, Wow! is it ever. A beauty for sure.

  141. Honestly, The wind has backed off quite a bit here.
    I don’t think we got 3 hours of blizzard conditions. We had them for awhile for sure. Perhaps it will pick up again, but I don’t give a rat’s ass if it doesn’t as I don’t need no stinken power outage!

  142. NOON Boston Logan observation

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.36056N 71.01056W

    2 Day History
    Last Updated: Jan 29 2022, 11:54 am EST
    Sat, 29 Jan 2022 11:54:00 -0500
    Weather: Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy
    Temperature: 17.0 °F (-8.3 °C)
    Dewpoint: 14.0 °F (-10.0 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 88 %
    Wind: from the North at 24.2 gusting to 42.6 MPH (21 gusting to 37 KT)
    Wind Chill: -1 F (-18 C)
    Visibility: 0.25 miles
    MSL Pressure: 996.0 mb
    Altimeter: 29.42 in Hg

  144. Just opened a door to take a close look ……. mistake !!

    Could barely open it due to ice. Our initial several hours of snow last night was very wet.

    I don´t know whats causing lower visibility, the stuff falling or the stuff blowing horizontally down the street.

  145. Harvey did not change his map yet but on-air he made a change verbally on his 12:30PM update and trimmed back the 24+ area to be confined to a strip just south of Boston. 18-24 for the rest in eastern areas.

  146. One main band now, quasi-stationary as the storm begins to cross our latitude. This will take until about 4PM. After that, we start to shut it off steadily but gradually.

      1. Somewhere around there. May still be occasional flakes for a while after that. But the big rates go until about 4.

  148. I hope I remember with the models, on future big northeasters …..

    within reason, its not exactly about the sfc low placement

    its about the track of the 500, 700 and 850 mb lows when it comes to these super intense snow bands

    1. A lot of people focus on surface low position. You see similar with tropical systems (the center). It’s about the overall picture. The entire synoptic set-up, interactions, ongoing changes, etc.

      For example, last night, we got the precip in early with the help of that frontal boundary. I didn’t foresee it. I also did not foresee the rain to start on the Cape but that was because it came in early, before the temps could be cold enough.

      There is always something to learn. I’m 3+ decades into being a professional met. and I’m still learning stuff. It never stops.

      1. great info, thanks TK !

        Its fun to learn ! I love watching my students have the ¨a-ha¨ moment and I love learning in weather.

        And this is the ultimate place to be to continue that learning.

  151. Great points, TK. Positioning of the low isn’t everything. Remember the storm in March 2013. The low was waaay offshore, and yet we picked up a ton of snow.

  153. No one will say this winter is a dud after this storm. Now can Boston get close to or a little bit above normal snowfall for the season???

  154. It looks to me like the snow ration may very well be close to
    20:1. Anyone have handle on that? has anyone melted a sample to see?

  155. Does the band move inland more? It seems to be stalled just east of me. Sounds like you’re looking for gradual slowdown around 4?

    1. I don’t think so. TK will likely chime in, but he did say earlier
      that he wasn’t sure if would move any farther,

    2. I was wondering the same. It is just knocking on Sutton’s door but we don’t seem to want to let it in. 🙁

    3. It’s quasi-stationary. I think we’re just about done seeing its advance. Next movement is a pivot, then a receding back to the east.

  156. I think Boston average snowfall for a winter is 48.7 inches. Last year they got 38.6 inches. Prior to this storm they had 12.8 inches. Boston will record two double digit snowfall events this month.

  160. To TK:

    Your post at 12:52 PM is why I wanted to be a blog member. I have had careers as an executive, a professional poker player, and sort of a career as a mountain climber. I treated everything i did as a learning experience. It is my reason for being a WHW member. Obviously learned lots from you for sure and other bloggers too.

    Can repay you in Cabernet or other requested wine!! 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. The “payment” for me has always been just being able to talk weather, educate others, and learn from others. Always glad to have you here. 🙂

  162. Top amount per NWS is 17.5 at Norton, ironically measured by the NWS. 😉 . Another 2 1/2 hours for maximum to add to these heaviest totals just south and southwest of the city and let’s not forget Cape Ann. They’re under the heaviest band too. Although the band is showing signs of shrinking from both sides now.

    1. A friend measure 18 inches in South Weymouth. I have no idea how he did it, but I have a feeling he went out into the field behind where he lives and stuck a yardstick in the snow. 🙂

  164. 12z EURO trying to deliver more snow next Friday. This would be a rain to snow situation. Of course this will change but COULD this be our next thing to watch for wintry weather???

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf&rh=2022012912&fh=132&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf&rh=2022012912&fh=144&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Snowfall.
    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_024h&rh=2022012912&fh=156&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    1. That system has been trending colder and colder on the models JJ. Still looks like a brief warmup with some rain to start, but it may end up colder and more wintery. Pattern looks decent thereafter too for a few more threats. So much for the February torch!

  165. Its been an all out FLIZZARD here in Coventry CT today.

    Call in the National Guard!!!

    Quite the storm for you folks in east/southeast MA. Enjoy it! I knew I should have made an unannounced visit to Tom’s house last night.

    Here in CT, the dry air did a number on eating away at the precip from the West. We have had mostly just light to moderate snow. I have measured anywhere between 4 and 10″ in the yard. Average is about 6-7″.

  166. Many snow forecasts and snow maps for CT, Worcester County, and points west are going to bust HARD, including the NWS snow map.

    1. We had an even foot about 45 minutes ago. That is conservative as I hate to be incorrect. We were in 12-18” area. I don’t think that is a bust for here ?? Although, I have no idea what the nws said we would have so maybe a bust

      1. You are getting what I forecast, that much I know.

        NWS numbers were far higher than what is occurring to the west of you. WxW nailed that part of the forecast when he said the heaviest would be confined to the east.

        1. I’m looking at whitinsville on the map you gave. I think the total has to have been made a long time ago. Boundary between Sutton and whitinsville runs on the top of the hill behind my house. And I have 13.5 …just measured.

        2. There is the discrepancy. Sorry WxW I don’t pay attention to the nws maps. I watch the local Mets. Daughter in Uxbridge is measuring the same that I am

      2. Vicki, you just barely got into that band that hit extreme eastern CT and RI. You dont need to go too far to your north and west, and totals go down rapidly. You can see the drop off on the map of snow totals I just posted below..

  167. Mark southeastern CT looks to be the big winners here in the state. This part of CT does not usually get big snows. I believe New London CT met blizzard criteria.

    1. The snow reports I have seen from CT (outside of the extreme NE corner and New London County) have been paltry. Not going to be many double digit totals outside of those areas.

      Snow flakes here have been very tiny the whole time. Poor snow growth outside of the heavier bands, as expected.

    1. Mark I checked the times numbers were given around me. Almost all are mid morning. I that is the problem.

      1. You are correct, and those will go up, but in watching the radar all morning I am confident that the areas not too far NW of you will end up with much less than you got. You may also struggle to get into the 18-24 range the NWS had for you.

    1. Still cranking pretty good here for wind – at least as far as away from the coast goes. It’s cold! I was just outside for a moment. I can only estimate my snow until I get out there later to do the cleanup. Maybe 7, or 8? There is a spot in my driveway that is bare and then 5 feet away there is a drift of over 1 foot. 😉

  170. WxW if you are watching, I wanted to recognize your excellent call on the western areas being much lighter and this really being more a coastal special (a few areas southwest of Boston got in on that party too). Your discussion / comment here the other day had some influence on my thought process when I settled on lower #’s to the west in the WHW forecast area (though I don’t count areas further west as the WHW forecast area), it was part of the same overall idea.

    We cautioned about Kuchera #’s, especially over inland areas. They were very, very bad.

    1. Agree, excellent call on that.

      This storm reminds me of several of the coastal storms in 2015. Eastern MA was crushed and we were always on the periphery out this way fighting cold/dry air intrusion from the NW. There was a rapid cut off in the higher snow totals further west.

      1. Absolutely. I said a couple days ago to either SAK or another colleague (I forget now) that going into this it reminded me of one of the 2015 storms (not the longer term pattern, but just the set-up for the storm).

        I think when we look back, the GFS is going to be the best performing medium range model on this from a handful of days out.

        As recently as yesterday’s 18z ECMWF, there were 30-40 inch snowfall totals on the run (Kuchera) as far back as Worcester County. Not. Even. Close.

        1. Horrific model performance leading up to this. GFS led the way on this one for sure, and the RGEM (while not perfect), was the better short range model, although even that was a bit too high out west and low in eastern MA.

          I think the lower GFS performance scores apply more to the longer range (5 days out or more), but inside of there it has been better.

    2. Death band is pivoting right over you! You are in the PERFECT place.

      Pivoting band right now from Fall River to Taunton to Boston to the North Shore, as well as southeast to the Canal = JACKPOT ZONE

      1. Sure is and not only that, it looks like it is expanding and perhaps intensifying yet again!!

        Amazing!!!!

  172. Still heavy snow here in Warwick near airport. Tfg had a recent gust to 66 mph. I have about 16” here. A lot of the warming February sun will be reflected off the deep snow pack. Even if we shrink half of the snow cover there still will be quite a bit left. Could this be the reason why models are trending colder for late next week?

    1. CMC and Euro are colder….more muted warmup late next week and while it still starts as rain, the precip ends as mix/snow.

  174. Here is the 18Z HRRR snow depth map in Inches. This attempts to calculate what is on the ground as of the hour. This is for the end of the event. Boston is on the edge or just into the 24 inch
    totals. I just found this map today. I like it, although the totals
    may be a bit too high. We shall see.

    https://ibb.co/XkW2Hcw

    1. I have drifts up to my door lock on one of the doors. My back roof however is free of any snow from the wind!

      1. DIL said that also. My SIL said wind is blowing a lot of snow off of our driveway. My car’s roof is bare

    1. At this point, the non-adjustment is a bit of a head scratcher. Oh well.

      TV guys were great. I’ve been watching them off and on today. Nice updated, non-hyped info. Good coverage. And a little fun as a couple of the NBC people were sledding. 😉

      Also ch 4 reporters were treated to a thermos of hot coffee & mugs from a neighbor across the street on Lynn Shore Drive. I know exactly where they are and I believe I have actually interacted with that person myself before when there to watch waves. It’s exactly where I go. 🙂

  179. Incredible here in JP. Hours of this band. We must be closing in on 18-20 at this point. Haven’t been out that’s for sure.

  180. 3 pm:
    18′ on the snow gauge stick in the backyard.
    Temp holding steady at 17º.
    Intense snow continues.
    Looks as if another band is coming in from the Canal.

    1. Geez I’m glad SOMEONE is getting into my 18-24 range soon. j/k … should be quite a few >18″ totals where that band was when this is done.

  185. Hrrr calling for 12 more inches from 1PM on
    NAM 10
    3KM NAM 10

    Logan had 14.5 as of 1:15. Let’s call it 14 at 1PM
    The add 10. Gee I think it makes 24.

    Logan just may do it. 🙂 If not, it will be close enough that it doesn;t matter

  186. Just came in from clearing the furnace intake vent. Measured an average of 17” here in Sharon with no sign of letting up. Two feet here we come!

    1. Awesome!
      Fabulous!
      Thank you. 🙂

      My other home.

      I’ll be there Monday to put my feet in the water for January.

      #FeetInAtlanticWaterEveryMonth2022

  189. Starting to see accelerated pivot which means the sfc low is starting to accelerate and tighten up. We still have a little way to go but the end is getting closer. Cape Ann northward and northern part of lower Cape Cod will likely be last to snow steadily.

  193. I had to let our dog out of the front door, since we can´t really get the back door open due to a large drift on the deck.

    She briefly ran around the house and into the neighbor´s yard.

    Very happy she came back because I didn´t really want to trudge out in this to get her.

    3. Mark I believe it . I just went out to try & clean it up & I said ( Tomorrow) we are literally getting pounded here in pembroke . Also it’s an official blizzard in some locations like Boston , Worcester & marshfield as of now per my man Harvey .

  196. Something appropriate about learning about Brady retiring in the middle of a storm. The guy was always making memories for us.

  197. Another band coming in right over my head.

    Can’t tell a thing about accumulations. It’s blowing all over the place.

    1. I was just about to post.
      It may actually be snowing the hardest it has all day.
      It is really dumping snow here in JP!!!!

  199. Nothing special in Natick—may have had more from the one the first week of January. Ready for the next one!

    1. I hear you. I think I am going to match that early January storm with about 9″. Though the other spotter in Coventry just reported 10″, which is possible given he is further SE than me.

  201. One thing about a blizzard one mile from the ocean with the wind.

    I´ve had to open doors to see what is going on outside because essentially, every window is mostly or fully covered with snow.

    Even the couple of south facing windows aren´t much better !

  202. If we had around 5 inches at 8am and for 8 hours we´ve been averaging 2.5¨ per hour, I think a reasonable Marshfield guestimate is 25¨.

    Looking around however, there 15 inches here, bare ground there and 3 and 1/2 foot drifts in multiple spots.

    Snow density isn´t too bad. I don´t think we´re going to lose 1/2 to sublimation. Making more like a 1/4 or a 1/5

  203. Appears Logan should verify a blizzard. 7 hours straight. The NWS doesn’t verify until after the storm.

      1. Yes, exactly. Right around 10 AM.

        Last night Harvey said the worst of it would be
        from 10AM to 4PM. He got that right, only we may go a little over 4 PM, in fact we have. 🙂

      1. That 18.5 was measured by my son who lives downstairs.
        I could see where he shoveled the driveway and it looked about 18 inches to me.

        If we were to take 30 measurements and average, who knows could be 20. But I’ll take 18.5. Not too shabby and we are not done yet. Even when the Death band collapses it will snow several more hours at a little lesser rate. 1.5 then 1 then .75 then .5 inch per hour. We should make 20 here for sure. 24? may be a tad out of reach. Depends when the
        band finally dissolves. Still in the thick of it now.

  208. On every future large nor´easter, for every Kuchera snow map we post, I will be happy to post the 700 and 850 mb maps. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    The signs were there to alleviate our last minute worries.

    Every one I saw showed a significant 700 and 850 mb strong NE low level jet off of the ocean, right into the areas that have gotten pummeled. Matching up nearly to these snow bands.

      1. Oh, I feel like this is something I have learned from this storm experience.

        I´m sure TK, WxWatcher, SAK and others have talked about it a million times before, but, I think I understand this a little better now.

    1. I´m joking when I say this, but that probably means we have to get rain in eastern Mass or snow to rain for that to happen. LOL !!

  211. If the low tracked further west those bands of snow would have gotten into all of CT instead of areas near the RI boarder.

  212. Maybe after the death band relents, that one last nice band from Worcester to Providence can slide east with 1 or 2 more inches of snow.

    1. I think a lot of that is going to dry up. The short range guidance forecast a drying taking place almost spontaneously instead of the classic “back end”. I think it’s underway southwest of Boston now. It will expand into the region as the band weakens and pulls out via Cape Cod & Cape Ann northward next couple hours.

  213. A fair and probably a bit conservative number for South Sutton is 14. I’ll go along with JPDs comment that I could probably measure a dozen other places and come up with a bit more. But 14 to me is a good

    If I’m not mistaken the area Pete increased numbers in last night is the area where that band has been pummeling.

    We never got in the band here. It was close but no cigar.

  214. Estimating about 13 here now in Woburn – going to be “Fun” to measure this officially. 😉

    Storm continues to behave as expected.

    Take a look at the recent radar loop. It’s a slow process, but the beginning of the end is underway…

    1. Yes I can see it very clearly. But it dies a slow death and it will spit snow at us till the bitter end. 🙂

  215. I “may” be detecting the first ever so slight slackening of
    the snow intensity. It is subtle, but I think it is there.
    Not snowing at 3 inches per hour, but perhaps 1.5 to 2 inches or so. Still heavy snow, just not quite as heavy. Just keep this going for another 2 hours and we’ll just about be there (24 inches). 🙂

    1. I need somebody (besides Bridgewater) to hit 24 so I can verify more than one isolated 24+. I’m counting on you and/or Hadi! Don’t disappoint me guys! 😉

  217. I am glad to see the models offering a cool wedge into Wednesday, btwn retreating maritime high pressure and an offshore small system.

    This can help in allowing temps to rise gradually Wednesday, as opposed to spiking into the 40s and 50s.

    If the 12z EURO can verify for Thurs into Friday, we can avoid a crazy meltdown all at once.

  219. The demise of the “death band” is at hand. The yellow has almost vanished from radar. Ironically a little band has gotten going in the I-495 belt down to western RI. There’s a big blotch of drying and snow dissipating that is about to take Route 24N toward Boston, but it will take a little while to get there.

  220. Been gutting my bathroom all day. Horse-hair plaster joy included. During it, only Hadi had the pleasure of listening to me whine via text. Now y’all get to hear it.

    1. maybe 5″ of snow. For Holden that barely qualifies as a moderate event.
    2. these opportunities are what, every 10, 15, 20 years? I’m 50 so you do the math. I’m depressed.
    3. there’s a band trying to form now. Sorry mother nature, that’s just offensive this late in the game. Save it.
    4. dry air ALLLLLLLL day.
    5. betting that Boston beats out Worcester this year no longer seems to be a silly statement. Trend is your friend. Seems like even money odds to me.
    6. Glad a good chunk of this crew had a good dumping. You guys deserve a good winter since rain punches you in the face so much while inland measures with yardsticks sometimes.
    7. I will get my revenge LOL!

    Now, back to my moldy old bathroom and manic state.

    1. So as sad as I am for your snow totals, I’m envious of your home. I am sure I’ve asked this before and apologize if I have. It’s an antique home?

      If so…sighhhhhhhh.

      1. Thanks Vicki LOL. I will recover….(maybe)

        Probably just qualifies as antique. Very cool cape loaded with architectural details in and out. Built in 1917, about 3,500 sq. ft. and my wife and I have been going room to room for 6 years. Master suite is the last of the majors. Have taken our time because we want to get it true and right (and money of course)

        I work in Boston remodeling brownstones in the Back Bay and Beacon Hill so it’s in my blood.

        2. What a fascinating job. Adding my grandfather and his brother built and contracted to build MANY homes in the Cushing Sq area of Belmont right around the time your home was built. MassBay who used to post here grew up in one. ….MassBay, would love to see you here again

          1. Your wish is my command Vicki. I am now living in Central Oregon. Life changing event occurred.

            But watching this storm as our home in W. Newton is being sold on Tuesday. Hope it all comes off.
            Be well and stay safe 🙂

            1. Awwww. My day is absolutely perfect now. Awesome area of the world you chose. I hope all is well. I miss seeing you here but am very happy for you

      1. Lower # on all those ranges is probably how most of those areas do except maybe a narrow spot where that inland band is now.

          1. They were great. Watched some Eric & Pete this afternoon – only caught JR briefly. I’ve been mostly in music mode while tracking the weather today. 🙂

  223. I can finally see the neighbors house through the woods for the first time since 10am. The let up has begun.

  225. mega band has dissipated, but still snowing at a decent clip, perhaps an ibch, inch and half an hour. Let’s see how long it can snow to bring those totals up a little more. ☃️☃️☃️☃️☃️

    1. Agree. Not as much of a let up as one would think. I’m sure we can squeeze out another few inches.

  226. I made 3 bets today.

    300 posts by 12 noon : I lost (I think)
    500 posts by 5 PM: I won
    XXX posts by midnight: TBD

    Person who loses 2 out of three must cook dinner and supply wine.

  227. Takes a while for all those flakes to reach the ground from 10 or 15 thousand feet. Radar says POOF but the snowflakes are still falling below the beam. 😉 I’m half kidding, but not really.

    1. I wonder if that inland band survives its trek across eastern MA once the storm finally contracts and pulls away or will it run into dry air? Enjoy Scott!

      1. You have to take long range projections with a grain of salt is what that proves. That is not to say there won’t be mild days sprinkled in but looking at the CPC outlook that is not a blow torch to start February.

  232. Well,hello. No sooner did I say we had not been in that big band that we grew one of our own. Snowing like crazy now. And a bit bigger flakes

      1. Thanks. I do my two neighbors so I think like you I will go out around 8 or 9 pm. Thanks again for all the work you put into the blog. Hopefully we get a couple more storms this season!

        1. Tomorrow will be a splendid day for cleanup. Even though it will be cold and still a little breezy, the sun will be shining, and we are now getting to the time of year where it’s becoming noticeable that our sun angle is climbing. This will make it feel quite nice despite the air temperature. 🙂

  235. I guess the “death band” blew up like the “death star”. It wasn’t going quietly. 😉 The demise of that band actually helped lead to the formation of the band that is further west.

    1. Because…..are you ready….drum roll please

      All of you under that band that I was in envy of sent it this way.

      We have close to another three inches.

    1. Answer to first question: Not long. Maybe an hour or so.

      Answer to second question: Gradually, but not for a while.

  237. Looks to be winding down snow wise but the wind will be blowing it around all night making it quite the stormy night indeed .

  238. How can you not love storms like this? 😉

    We had 8.5″ at my office and my neighbor/coworker measured a little over 9″. Looking forward to seeing the final totals from up in SNE, that was an epic band! Got some great pictures/videos from my folks in Wrentham.

    Really well-forecast storm too, and one where the humans by and large had a clear leg up over the models.

    1. As the humans should. Models: Guidance, not Gospel. 😉

      Thanks WxW for all your insight and comments. I know you’re busy and you still take the time out to keep in touch with us here, and it’s very much appreciated.

      1. It was a technique used for many winters. I’ve mentioned on here before. It was fun to stand outside and watch. But that particular one could have been 47/48

        1. Cars look older than 50s. I recognize the name of the RE agent business they are in front of, but he spanned a few decades.

          1. That’s great, Vicki, thanks! We lived in Belmont for 4 1/2 years in the late 70’s-early 80’s. The Cushing Sq. to Waverley Sq. stretch of Trapelo Rd. is still totally recognizable.
            All our great memories of the Blizzard of ‘78 are from that area!

  240. One thing we fail to appreciate in New England is that usually following a snowstorm (or even a rainstorm) we get a bright sunny day or two, and sometimes more. That, my friends, does NOT happen in Northwestern Europe. Certainly not during the winter. Ever. First, big snowstorms are very rare over there. Second, the rains and clouds tend to come in endless succession. The breaks tend to be dreary overcast days with lots of nothingness. Oh yes, you might catch a glimpse of the sun, but it is fleeting. We really know how lucky we are in New England.

    1. Can we squeeze out 0.3 inch? Probably not. It’s getting very dry out there. Nevertheless, 23.7 is a very solid amount. And, there’s lots more time this winter for another blockbuster storm. When Jeremy Reiner said the other night that “this will be our biggest storm of the winter,” I thought to myself, well, probably. But, Jeremy, it’s the end of January. We still have a ways to go, as in 8 to 9 more weeks of possibilities. Doubtful we’ll have another storm with more than 20 inches, but certainly not out of the question.

  242. Boston closing in on the amount of snow they had all of last winter which was 38.6 inches. I believe they are now up to 36.5 for the season. They might add a little to the 23.7 for this storm.

  243. According to Eric Fisher this is the second biggest January snowstorm in Boston history. The record is 24.6 from January 27, 2015.

    1. Btw. Since I had forgotten just as I posted here and txtd my kids what might be headed our way to my kids on Monday Macs and my song came on the radio. I knew then or should have. Our first date was 7/7/77. So 7 is a fitting place.

      Doubt me? The LEGNA model is 3 for 3 this winter ❤️

  252. Eric Fisher just tweeted NWS just corrected it to 23.5 inches for the storm. Still second biggest snowstorm in January for Boston.

  255. Does anyone know how or if the NWS verifies snowfall reports? Do they throw out reports that don’t fit with surrounding areas? Do they rely on specific trusted spotters?

    1. I think they used to be more selective, but based on what I see these days I think there is less weeding, probably because there is less staff / less time to deal with it.

  256. Somewhat related to my previous question, to those here who may know about plows and town/city budgets, do plow drivers get paid by how much snow falls? Are town snow removal budgets set by the amount of snow in a season? Reason I ask, I’ve lived in Sharon for 10 years now and I have never agreed with a single snowfall report from there. It’s always too far above surrounding towns to make sense. This storm is a perfect example. Me thinks someone is trying to pad the numbers

    1. I don’t know about all locations, but I know some have fixed budgets. Not my area of expertise. Maybe somebody can add more useful info.

  257. 15.5 Woburn

    Didn’t finish shoveling due to the size of some of the drifts. Will do that tomorrow. 🙂

  259. I am officially ending my measuring. I do not recall measuring to be this labor intensive. 19.7 it is. Even if it snows another foot. 19.7 is my final answer

    Did anyone lose power? Have we heard from Tom in a while?

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