Tuesday February 8 2022 Forecast (9:07AM)

52 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Low pressure departs today, with rain exiting early, but low level moisture allowing cloudiness and areas of fog to linger through the morning hours, before dry air works in to break the clouds and dissipate any fog during the afternoon. An increasing wind should help to dry some of the ground off, but areas that remain wet will re-freeze tonight, so watch for redevelopment of icy patches. A small area of high pressure brings fair weather Wednesday. This high shifts offshore and we warm up a little Thursday, but a disturbance and cold front approaching from the west will bring clouds with a few showers, favoring rain, possible. Friday will be a tad cooler but fair with another small area of high pressure. That high will also shift offshore and we’ll warm up yet again for Saturday, ahead of another cold front, as a mini roller coaster ride will be ongoing.

TODAY: Cloudy morning with rain ending but areas of fog lingering. Breaking clouds afternoon with a few intervals of sun possible by late. Highs 38-45. Wind N-NW under 10 MPH this morning, NW-W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts this afternoon.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a few mix/rain showers. Highs 41-48. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 23-30. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 21-28. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Late-day or evening rain showers possible. Highs 45-52. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

Cold front pushes offshore and wave of low pressure moves along it which we’ll have to watch for a grazing snow chance especially for southeastern areas to end the weekend on February 13. Colder weather that arrives February 13 will continue into the start of next week with fair weather expected for Valentine’s Day and a disturbance bringing a chance of snow showers February 15. Milder by the middle of next week with possible rain showers at the end of the period with an approaching frontal system.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

The up and down temperature pattern with no major storms expected to continue.

52 thoughts on “Tuesday February 8 2022 Forecast (9:07AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    My rain gauge appears to be working again, but will require
    a calibration because the totals appear high.

    My total for this event: 1.11 inches
    Logan: 0.91

    A station .6 miles from me: 0.95 inch
    Station in Brookline: 1.11 inches
    Another Brookline: 1.04 inches
    Another one in Brookline: 0.93 inch
    Roslindale: 0.91 inch
    Northeaster Univ. 1.04 inches

    These are mostly DAVIS instrument stations and it appears
    one or more may have calibration issues as well.

    To me, it appears my gauge is off by 0.15 to 0.2 inch
    for this event. Or off by 13-18%.
    I’ll get around to re-calibrating it soon.

      1. I didn’t bother to check my basement this morning but just from periodically looking out my window, it didn’t seem like an inch fell. The previous rain event there was no doubt with water in the basement.

  3. Thanks TK.

    Snow opportunities dwindling? No I am not saying winter is over by any means. There’s almost always the last hurrah come March/early April.

  4. Thanks TK.

    Been taking a look at things this morning after a few days “away from weather”. What I’m seeing is that a lot of the original expectations for how we thought the later stages of this winter would go are on track. All indications are that we are heading for a textbook La Nina pattern with a strong Southeast ridge and West/Northwest trough. My thinking hasn’t really changed on this, but my confidence has increased that we should see a sustained warmer than normal pattern take shape for the next couple of months. This is already occurring now, and February will end up warmer than average, but there will still be some ups and downs through at least mid-month before it becomes more sustained.

    I would keep a close eye on that 2/13-2/14 system. The operational models haven’t been enthused with it (lately) but there’s definitely winter storm potential there. Beyond that, I would look for below average snow through the end of the season, but as we all should know, you never declare winter “over” this soon…

    Watch for an active start to severe weather season in the Southeast also, threats which can sporadically make it to the Northeast/mid-Atlantic even this time of year. This developing pattern will likely be ideal for it, and is also typical of La Nina.

    1. Thank you WxWatcher

      I am honestly ready for Spring. I didn’t get much fishing in last year, so I am really looking forward to it.

      1. Yes, Thanks WxW! Based on your analysis, more quieter than stormier times ahead. Even this upcoming weekend won’t be super duper cold.

      2. I think you’ll have a lot of chances!

        I’m ready as well. I enjoyed January, since it’s been a couple years since we’ve had a sustained cold pattern like that. But I’m looking forward to what should be a number of “spring preview” days in the weeks ahead.

  5. Thanks TK
    This day in the weather history the Blizzard of 2013. This is still the biggest snowstorm of my life with 30 inches where I live. There was that one band of snow that setup over eastern CT which dumped 6 inches of snow in one hour. This was the second biggest snowstorm on record for inland CT with 22.3 inches and the biggest snowstorm on record for the CT shoreline with 30.0 inches.

  8. Thank you WxW for your thoughts!

    When I looked things over this morning I got that little chilling feeling looking at 2-13 / 2-14, but for now I lean graze versus hit. Something to watch though.

    Agree with the overall pattern. We may still see a 7 to 10 day period where we get a bit of a more wintry pattern to end February & begin March, but I agree with your overall thoughts! No doubt…

  10. Thank you, TK.

    Very disappointed if indeed the projected warmer than average verifies, moving forward. Spring is NOT my thing, and never has been. But, at least we’ve had a nice extended wintry period.

  15. Very happy with how things are looking down the road . Another winter that’s cruising along without any big issues .

      2. Indeed . Maybe could have said without a lot . This month is absolutely flying & I am very happy with that .

  16. Whatever happens going forward, we had some action This Winter so now way could it be categorized as a dud. 🙂 🙂

      1. Not here, but if you travel social media, it’s all over the place. “What a dud winter!”
        “Stick a fork in it!”
        “Winter’s over!”

        Comical. Same thing every year no matter what kind of winter we have. 😉

    1. Aw. :/ sorry to hear that!!! They are awful. I’ve been avoiding puddles where I can because of this!

    5. Sorry to hear Ace. I creamed a huge pothole yesterday as well. They are everywhere now with this recent warmup!

  18. I’m sorry to hear about the tire issues, Ace, North, and Mark.

    The roads do take a beating in winter with frost heaves, temperature fluctuations, snow, ice, and rain, plows.

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