Friday March 4 2022 Forecast (7:22AM)

25 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 4-8)

High pressure provides cold Canadian air but dry and tranquil weather with abundant sunshine today, before slipping offshore Saturday and allowing for a slight moderation, as clouds move in ahead of a warm front. This front may produce a light variety of precipitation Saturday night as it moves through and can result in some slippery travel for a short while. After the front passes, we warm nicely on Sunday but that day will be unsettled with a good chance of rain showers. The low pressure area parenting that warm front will move well north of our area as it races into eastern Canada. Its cold front will sink across our region during Monday and south of the area by Tuesday. As this boundary goes by the region slowly, a couple more waves of low pressure will move along it, with additional unsettled weather. Most of this should be in the form of rain Monday, but depending on the timing of both the front and the low pressure waves, some freezing and/or frozen precipitation may become involved at least in parts of southern NH and northern MA before we see it come to an end. That part of the forecast requires fine-tuning in the days to come.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 29-36. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind calm.

SATURDAY: Sunshine then increasing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Spotty light rain with some freezing rain possible mainly interior locations north of I-90 during the evening. Lows 30-37 evening, then temperatures rise overnight. Wind SE up to 10 MPH, shifting to SW and increasing to 10-20 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs 47-52 South Coast, 53-58 interior RI and southeastern MA, 59-64 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 47-54. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Temperatures steady 47-54 early, then falling, especially southern NH and northern MA, where 30s are possible. Wind shifting from SW to N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow/ice/rain southern NH and northern MA, rain to the south. Temperatures falling to 28-35 by morning. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Cloudy with a chance of snow/ice/rain, ending during the day. Clearing possible late-day. Highs 33-40. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH, gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 9-13)

High pressure brings dry weather to start the period, but the active pattern continues with 1 or 2 low pressure systems bringing additional unsettled weather threats after that. Temperatures below to near normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 14-18)

Temperatures near to below normal. Additional unsettled weather with a fairly active pattern expected to continue.

25 thoughts on “Friday March 4 2022 Forecast (7:22AM)”

  7. As for “snow to date” with Boston, Worcester is creeping up a bit as of late:

    BOS = 51.9”
    ORH = 48.1”

  9. The CPC now has near to below normal temps through at least mid-month. Amazing how just a few days ago, it looked like a practical “blowtorch” with the typical very warm colors.

    TK – Will below normal temps continue through the end of the month as well?

    1. That was not a good forecast a few days ago. Left me scratching my head.

      No. We’ll recover before that.

      We may push 70+ once before the month ends, bit that probably doesn’t signal a big long term shift either.

        1. No real strong feeling on April at the moment. But some semi-reliable long range guidance has hinted at coolish.

  10. Thank you, TK.

    Philip, as you may recall, even I a total amateur was scratching my head at the CPC outlook a few days ago. Did not make sense.

    1. Well, they’re certainly back to reality now. That late January blizzard has completely turned around this entire winter. Early on it looked like this winter 2021-22 was going to be a complete dud.

      I do wonder can one big event turn around ANY season?

      2. FTR, I never thought this season was going to be a complete dud. The pattern morph ran later that I first thought, but it has basically been close to expectation.

        I went lower on snowfall, and tossed out the caveat that one or two renegade larger events could blow that out of the water.

    1. JMA noted, and I agree, that the upcoming pattern doesn’t really favor “biggies” but events more like what it shown there.

  12. Snow is falling in Kharkiv and other parts of Northeastern Ukraine. I also saw some snow closer to Kyiv. Winter isn’t over there, either, even though it’s been a relatively mild one there. Here’s a brief clip from Kharkiv from today. The Russians said they had captured the city, but they clearly have not. They don’t seem to be able to hold any major city, except Kherson in the South. https://twitter.com/maria_avdv/status/1499703209815908353

  13. Still after 2 – 3 days, the models are very unreliable.

    Seeing the GFS offer hints at some snow opportunities throughout the month in the medium/long range.

  14. Hi all! Haven’t forgotten you. Was helping mom with a few early-day things. Updating now. 🙂

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