Saturday March 5 2022 Forecast (11:36AM)

19 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 5-9)

With high pressure offshore and a warm front approaching from the west today, your Saturday will be milder than the mid winter feel of Friday, but will have filtered to limited sun due to abundant high cloudiness moving in as warmer air moves in above. Eventually the clouds thicken and we probably lose the sun before it sets today, but we stay dry through the daylight hours. Tonight as the front moves closer, a batch of light precipitation will move across the region. It may be patchy in nature, but it also may be met with surface temperatures near or slightly below freezing over some interior locations, so while not widespread, a few areas may see briefly slippery untreated surfaces. Keep that in mind over interior locations if you are out tonight. Overnight, the temperature rises, putting an end to any of that. Sunday, we see the warm front push to our north as its parenting low pressure area moves across southeastern Canada. A lobe of energy will send some rain showers across our area mainly Sunday morning, and some drying behind this may allow for breaks of sunshine in the afternoon – a little more optimistic forecast than I had previously for Sunday. We’ll have very mild air, with 60+ possible for high temps in many locations, except where a southwest wind is coming off colder ocean water, so our South Coast region will be cooler with upper 40s and 50s expected. We’ll also have to deal with quite a bit of wind as well, but at least it won’t be a biting cold wind. But now comes the time I must remind you that this is March, and spring is not here quite yet. A cold front will settle southeastward across the region Sunday night and Monday. There will be some rain showers with the front, then a period of rain-free weather behind it for a while. But the front is not going to get that far as it goes by before a wave of low pressure comes along from the southwest along it, bringing rainfall back for Monday, especially afternoon and evening. We’ll have to keep a close eye on the temperature profile as this front sits just to the south, as there still can be some ice/snow involved at least over the interior areas and higher elevations well northwest of Boston. Right now though, I think it will be limited those areas, and unlike yesterday, I’m a little more optimistic for Tuesday that we see an earlier exit to the precipitation, eliminating the snow threat, and bringing the improved weather in sooner, with high pressure then moving in for fair but chilly weather heading to the middle of next week.

TODAY: Filtered to limited sunshine with lots of high cloudiness. Highs 35-42. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. A couple periods of light rain possible, but some light icing possible over interior areas mostly north of I-90 and west of I-95 evening. Lows 30-37 evening, then slowly rising temperature overnight. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH evening, increasing to 10-20 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely through midday. Partial sun afternoon. Highs 47-52 South Coast, 53-58 interior RI and southeastern MA, 59-64 elsewhere. Wind SW 15-25 MPH with gusts 30-40 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible. Lows 47-54. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Temperatures steady 47-54 early, then falling, especially southern NH and northern MA, where 30s are possible. Wind shifting from SW to N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow/ice/rain southern NH and northern MA, rain to the south. Temperatures falling to 28-35 by morning. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Cloud/sun mix. Highs 33-40. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 10-14)

A couple more low pressure systems threaten with unsettled weather during this period, and with marginal and variable temperatures some frozen precipitation can be involved.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 15-19)

Temperatures near to below normal. Additional unsettled weather with a fairly active pattern expected to continue into the final days of winter.

19 thoughts on “Saturday March 5 2022 Forecast (11:36AM)”

  1. Thanks TK.

    Dave Epstein did mention rain/snow/mix possibilities for late week on his morning broadcast.

    1. Yes we are kind of in the train tracks for a while heading through mid March, and on the boundary of that cold reservoir in Canada with the warming typical of this time of year to the south. Been expecting this pattern for some time – it’s happening.

  5. Current 6-10 day forecast displays below normal temps over most of the country and the smallest amount of above normal I’ve seen on one of those outlooks in a very, very long time.

    1. Meaning that snow season is nowhere near done just yet around here, relatively speaking.

      A cold & snowy March potential? Hopefully nowhere near the record 38.9”. Maybe the “8.9” part would be ok. 😉

  6. If we ever get into a drought situation in the coming months, the month of March certainly won’t factor into it. Quite “moist” for the foreseeable future just based on the CDC alone.

    1. While not excessive, we stay active, so we aren’t going into a bone dry pattern for sure.

        1. Unlike 2015. That’s still puzzling to me to this day, but I believe its been explained here from time to time over the years.

          1. Just happens sometimes. A lot of long-term patterns and cycles that overlap in different ways. There is still a whole lot we don’t know about our own climate.

            What we do know is the sun remains the primary and overwhelming driver of earth’s climate. Beyond that, just science making its best attempt to explain things.

  10. Chilly out there tonight returning from dinner . Time for some R&R before my shift tonight .

  11. After a winter no show in Western Russia, the Ukraine and most of Europe, old man winter is making a March return. It’s showing up in Ukraine on the battlefield (see tweet below) and it’s making incursions as far west as Germany and even the Netherlands to a degree. As you may recall, there hasn’t been more than just a few days of light frost at night in Amsterdam. But it looks like nightime frost is happening this weekend and into next week. https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1500258525750206465

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