DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 6-10)
A warm front moves through this morning with fog and eventual rainfall. This afternoon we may break out to partial sun as the warm air arrives. Tonight and Monday, clouds dominate ahead of and with the passage of a cold front as low pressure moves along it with a cool-down from northwest to southeast and another period of rain that should end before it’s cold enough for mixing with any frozen precipitation, but by Tuesday morning, even though it looks drier than it previously did, we may need to watch for some black ice due to colder weather. We’ll see breezy and chilly weather but with dry conditions Tuesday as low pressure departs and high pressure approaches. This high will bring fair weather through Wednesday as well before another high builds in with fair weather continuing on Thursday. We’ll see a wave of low pressure passing to the south of the region late Wednesday to early Thursday, but this is expected to be a miss at this time.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy with areas of fog through midday including rain showers later morning and midday. Clouds break for some sun afternoon. Highs 47-52 South Coast, 53-58 interior RI and southeastern MA, 59-64 elsewhere. Wind S under to MPH, shifting to SW and increasing to 15-25 MPH with gusts 30-40 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Lows 47-54. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Highs 50-57. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain with areas of fog in the evening. Areas of black ice possible overnight especially north and west of Boston. Lows 30-37. Wind variable shifting to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Cloud/sun mix. Highs 33-40. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 11-15)
Another round of unsettled weather March 11-12, initially milder then colder weather arrives during the March 12-13 weekend with a drying trend. Unsettled weather may return yet again by the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 16-20)
As we head through the final days of astronomical winter, we’ll continue to see an unsettled pattern with variable temperatures, odds favoring cooler.
Thanks TK !
Unforunately, a tornado late yesterday in Iowa with 7 fatalities.
🙂
That is supposed to be a 🙁
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK.
The morning anchor on Ch. 4 asked Dave Epstein if it’s safe to put away the winter coat and Dave’s response was “not too far away, keep it handy” or something like that.
Why do people think that it can’t snow in March around here? Boston’s average March snow is somewhere around 8-9 inches easily, which is just as much as the December average actually.
Average Boston December snowfall = 9.0”
Average Boston March snowfall = 9.0”
Interesting…and somewhat amazing at the same time.
I have yet to take my winter coat out. I actually have no idea where it is 🙂
Thanks TK
Philip you mentioned snow and the 6z GFS run is showing some accumulating snow for Saturday. This would be the rare occasion I hope it does not snow since I have a ticket to the Big East Championship game in NY that day.
6z GFS
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2022030606&fh=168&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Let’s go Friars!!!!!!
Thanks TK.
Dave I think the Friars are one of three times that could win the Big East Championship the others UCONN and Villanova.
I’ve been a season ticket holder since 11th grade (1995)—even though I didn’t go to PC. It’s been a dream season—especially after last year with no fans.
Thank you, TK. Just got an alert from my radar pro that heavy rain was about to start, probably stopping in an hour
My iPhone says to “expect light rain in the next hour”. Current temp 52F.
And as promised, we had a brief but heavy downpour.
Thanks TK.
Late morning / midday showers moving through now…
Warm front is through most of the region so we’re in for quite the mild afternoon and not too bad weatherwise behind the showers. 🙂 Good walking weather if you don’t mind a gusty wind! Any showers with the approach of the cold front this evening have limited support in our area and may just fall apart. Based on current temps and how much I think they can rise today I don’t think any of those very old record high temps are in danger of falling.
Thanks again TK.
Good walking weather as long as the wind is at your back. 🙂
It’s funny you say that because when I walk the local pond on a windy day, which I will do today (usually go morning but sometimes afternoon like this time), there is a long open stretch that I can put either at the beginning or the end of the walk depending on where I park and which way I go. I try to be strategic about this based on wind direction and weather. Sometimes it’s nice to put a windy stretch at the end of the walk when it’s warm outside so you get a nice cooling breeze to finish the walk. When it’s colder outside I tend to put the wind stretch first because over time I will wam up from walking anyway, so it’s more of a “get it out of the way” approach. 🙂
I find NWS’s wording for southeastern New England to be a bit strong for this evening as “rain and thunderstorms”. I’d go with “scattered showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm” at most. Not sure what they are seeing that makes them more aggressive in the short term. I guess we will see.
I’m guessing I’m following the wrong NWS. Can you point me in the right direction please?
I should have told you I follow the one out of Boston. It might help a tad bit 😉
haha! It was on the point forecast for my local area late this afternoon, and now when you click on it it just says “mostly cloudy”. 😉
So I have the right one? NWS Boston? I don’t follow if a lot since I like our local Mets and here.
Yes. I’m not sure exactly how the point forecasts work but once in a while I see some interesting wording and it doesn’t look like something that an NWS forecaster would write. I think (but I am not sure) that there is a mode where it can be automated off certain model data. Wonder if that was the case, as it changed soon after … but I could be totally out to lunch on that. Their actual forecast discussion leads me to strongly believe they were not really calling for “rain & thunderstorms” as they mentioned isolated activity and a weakening line in their forecast discussion. I saw a couple TV guys just a bit ago and they were with me – downplaying it for our region. All the short range guidance indicates the same.
Odd to be sure
While today’s weather has provided us with relative warmth and a bit of rain, Chicoutimi in Quebec (close to where my uncle lives) is getting nearly a foot of snow. Snow is falling in Sept-Iles, too. Freezing rain in Quebec City, with snow tomorrow. My uncle always says it really doesn’t stop snowing there until some time in early to mid May. It starts up again by early November, and sometimes as early as late October.
Not really weather, but if you use FB, maybe follow Mike Wankum. He is sharing the story of a friend in Ukraine.
Thank you for that.
Heavy snow in Utah today. https://twitter.com/HarrietHopfMD/status/1500525122830024710/photo/1
We are heading there for a ski trip Mar 16-20. Cant wait! Great to see they are picking up some fresh snow and more is on the way Wednesday.
Wow. How exciting. Hope you can send pictures. Have a very special trip
Thunder in VT
https://twitter.com/vermontjen/status/1500638226964520960?s=21
Testing
New weather post…