Thursday March 10 2022 Forecast (7:42AM)

69 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 10-14)

Many parts of our region have a beautiful snowscape this morning with a light snowfall stuck to the trees, but not enough to result in any damage. Grab your camera now (early morning) because in a few short hours it will all be a memory thanks to the strengthening March sun and warming temperatures today under nearly full sunshine (just some passing fair weather clouds this morning and a few high clouds during the afternoon). High pressure moves overhead this evening when we’ll see a fairly quick temperature drop due to radiational cooling, but that drop will slow down overnight as the high moves offshore and a very light southerly air flow arrives. This trend continues Friday with a sun/cloud mix with some increase in high and mid level clouds ahead of our next storm system. That one will play out in a bit more dramatic fashion than its predecessor as low pressure moves rapidly north northeastward over the eastern US and passes right over our area while intensifying during Saturday. Initially it brings a shot of windy, milder air with a decent rainfall, but as it passes, cold air will be set to move in quickly, and may result in an accumulating snowfall in the far western and northwestern portions of the WHW forecast area (central MA and southwestern NH) with possibly a few snow showers making it a little further southeast as the end of the precipitation will generally beat the arrival of the colder air. But what nobody will miss out on is the strong and gusty winds that take place from late Saturday into Sunday behind the departing storm. Along with that, the cold air shot will be quite sharp for this time frame, and we’ll be experiencing single digit and even slightly below zero wind chills, especially during the first 10 hours of Sunday. Brr! Winter’s not quite done with us yet, as the experienced folks here know very well. But here’s some good news. That sharp cold shot is short lived, and by Monday we’ll at least have the feeling of early spring back as we lose the wind and boost the temperature about 15 degrees from Sunday’s readings…

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 24-31. Wind calm evening, S up to 10 MPH overnight.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Rain likely overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain through mid afternoon, heavy at times and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain turning to snow in southwestern NH and higher elevations of central MA later in the day with accumulation possible while rain ends as mix/snow showers late-day into evening further east. Highs 50-57 by midday and early afternoon but a sharp temperature drop west to east late-day. Wind SE-S 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W by late in the day.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow showers evening. Lows 18-25. Wind W-NW 15-30 MPH, gusts 35-55 MPH. Wind chill falling below 10, occasionally below 0.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusts 35-45 MPH, starting to diminish late. Wind chill below 10 in the morning.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 15-19)

While there will still be an active pattern overall, our weather will be quieter as we avoid major systems, seeing 1 or 2 more minor disturbances come through with variable temperatures and a couple precipitation threats during this period, favoring March 15 and late March 16 to early March 17.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 20-24)

We welcome spring with the equinox at 11:33 a.m. EDT on Sunday March 20 and a weather pattern that presents a temperature battle and a couple periods of unsettled weather, fairly typical for this time of year.

69 thoughts on “Thursday March 10 2022 Forecast (7:42AM)”

  1. Saturday to me has the hallmark of some late winter early spring sneaky snow potential out in the hills. This is the day Worcester Airport noses ahead of Boston IMHO and won’t look back.

    1. Euro most Robust for your area, even gives Boston about an inch or so. CMS and GFS, not so much as they show most of the moisture gone before the cold. We shall see.

    2. I was thinking the same as I read TK’s comments. Oh well. She gave it a good run

      A friend asked if the cape and island would be ahead of Worcester at this point. Anyone know?

  5. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Looks to be “about” 1 1/2 inches here in JP. Did not measure.
    Not even in the mood to stick a ruler into the snow.

  7. Looking at a tweet from Eric Fisher Worcester only trails Boston by 1.9 inches. Will see if Boston still holds the lead after Saturday.

  9. Jules, you don’t post much but I wanted to thank you for your daily proof read. Not bad for 3000 miles and 3 time zones away! 😉

    1. Aww, thanks! Happy to do it; it’s (not) surprisingly entertaining and educational for something that has no direct impact on me (other than the ability to make my brother annoyed that I know his weather better than he does. But then, he annoys easily as you know 😉 ). Only about a week before I start to pay closer attention for a bit though!

  10. In my opinion, the regular NAM is butchering the Fri night/Saturday system with its lead wave out in the ocean south/southeast of us.

    The 3K NAM looks a bit more reasonable to me.

  15. Question re spotters. Is there a way to tell where a spotter is located within a town. The totals for Sutton are consistently a bit high….and I absolutely know and have said here many times that this town varies by location. It say SE Sutton…..I am assuming that means southeast which is where I am. Whitinsville is literally in my backyard and it’s trained spotter measurements are always the same as mine.

    1. Its not it’s. I hate that it autocorrects every time; but then if I proofed before posting , I’d catch it.

    2. It depends on how the report is submitted. The NWS reporting form gives the option to use device location at report site, which will use latitude/longitude to put the location relative to the city/town “center”. For example, mine will show up as Woburn 1ESE as I am one mile ESE of the post office in the city common area.

      However, you can submit a report without this info, so there will be instances in which you can’t determine a more precise location.

      1. Thanks, TK. That makes some sense to me. I can see how every single person cannot have his/her location monitored. While the person reporting when we were in Framingham was wayyyy off and seems to have been removed since that time, I’m not saying this person is incorrect at all. I am just fascinated by the different weather information within the town – as you know.

        I’ll check to see if there was more information beside the report. So, I am correct in thinking that SE Sutton means Southeast?? I should also be more careful to identify as SE. Good lesson learned here.

    2. Thank you for these links, JJ. No matter which way this turns out (and I’m kind of rooting for Boston for no particular reason), this is fun to track. I’m glad Philip brought our attention to it quite a while ago.

  18. Vicki if I was a betting person I think after Saturday Worcester will pull in the lead. This thing is screaming a few inches of snow for the interior as the storm system is pulling away.

      1. He has it ending as flakes with no accumulation in the city, and up to a couple inches in Metro West.

          1. Probably not. Too early to declare that on March 10 with the equinox still 10 days away and climatology showing many snow events into April.

            There are already signs (contrary to my previous initial idea) that we may go cold & somewhat stormy in late March for a period of time TBD.

    1. My proofreader on the blog here can identify. She’s out there in CA too. Ouch. Makes us “lucky” here in a relative sense of course.

      1. When I spoke to my BIL a few days ago, we were only slightly behind his area. May not take too long to catch up. Either way, I figure it is the very least we can do if it has any chance of healing ukraine.

        1. I agree. I haven’t even gotten that upset about the gas since we pretty much knew this would come, and keeping in mind that while yes it sucks to have to pay this much for gas right now, it pales in comparison to things like having to leave your family members to either stay and fight, or go to another place, not knowing if you’ll ever see them again, while innocent people are being slaughtered. Sad.

              1. Agee also. In the midst of the horror, unity and patriotism is something the world can learn from.

        2. I used to live in Fairfield CA which is about an hour East of SF on I80. Prices were high then in the late 90’s. I never understood it with all the refineries that are in Vallejo in the East Bay.

          1. It seems to me California prices are higher in most areas than the rest of the country. And we know Boston’s COL is high.

  25. The updated “snow race” BOS vs. ORH:

    Boston = 53.8”
    Worcester = 52.1”

    Boston hanging on by a thread…or shall I say “snowflake”? 😉

    All Worcester needs is a couple inches on Saturday. A sure bet I suppose? 🙁

    1. Not a “sure bet” but they definitely have a much better chance as it stands now.

  26. In my opinion, the 00z regular NAM looks much better tonight for our next storm.

    None of this snow to the coastline lunacy long after the main low passes by.

    As soon as the low passes by, a drier northwest wind will end the precip, as finally depicted on the 00z NAM.

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