Boston Area Forecast Update

111 Comments

4:37PM original

11:35PM update

OVERNIGHT: Cloudy. A few periods of rain mainly southeastern Massachusetts. Low 33-38. Wind SW 5-10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Mix develops Boston southeastward and light snow northwest, then snow all areas in the afternoon, but mostly on the light side, except a few periods of moderate snow possible interior southeastern Massachusetts.. Snow accumulation of 1 inch or less especially on unpaved surfaces except locally 2+ inches in parts of interior southeastern Massachusetts. Temperature steady 33-38. Wind W under 10 MPH shifting to N and increasing  to 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers early. Flash freeze possible on untreated surfaces. Low 10-15. Wind NW 10-15 MPH and gusty.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. High 25-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 6. High 34.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. PM rain or snow showers. Low 29. High 42.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 29. High 45.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy.  Low 25. High 40.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 30. High 44.

111 thoughts on “Boston Area Forecast Update”

  1. Many thanks for the updat TK.

    18Z GFS total qpf. DOWN from 12Z run and quite a bit less than NAM.

    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=index&image=&page=Param&cycle=02%2F10%2F2012+18UTC&rname=PRECIP+PARMS&pname=precip_p36&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=039&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M

    Is this due to it being the real deal? Energy just takes this thing more OTS?
    Or is this due to it being the 18Z GFS? 🙂

    1. Origins of storm? I’d sure like to see more of a NE movement on these
      echos. Furhter indiction that most of the action will be OTS?

      1. That’s good – I’m glad. He sounds like a tough little guy – he will be fine! It just seems harder on the adults, I guess.

  4. On a side note I’m happy to announce from jan 2010 to jan 2012 the Boston population has gone from 617,546 to 625,857

    1. The state as a whole grew about 40,000 residents, the census est for 2020 Boston is suppose to have almost 700,000 residents

      1. Great place to live! Part of the work I do involves knowing pop trends esp generational. The trends have been unreliable lately but not far enough off to put MA in negative

      1. I thought I was going to have to pump the gas out of my snow thrower and into my car before it went bad. 🙂

  9. Vicki, Glad to hear your grandson is doing OK. What a scare for everyone that must have been. He’ll have fun telling all his friends how he got his scar on his forehead! “…and it was this big, (big breath) and I got a zillion stitches, (big breath) and I didn’t even cry!” HA 🙂

    1. That was a welcome smile. Thanks. Much to everyones dismay he is trying to recreate the mishap. Apparently was exciting having police and fire and ambulance all here focused on him :). Not to mention toys nana will get him !!

  17. Is it the cold front that is keeping the real juicy part of the storm OTS? And what are the chance of it diviating from the current forecasted track, making a slight jog to the west at the last minute? Like right around Boston! Ha!!

    2. Scott, when you say coastline, are you talking SE MA and the Cape or does that include up to Boston, too?

  25. Logan is sitting at +6.2F thru Feb 9th and is about to record another +9F today. I’m guessing with tomorrow, Sunday and Monday, that should temper to about +4.5 to +5F, but then its above normal again middle of next week.

  27. Hi all! A nighttime check in out and about on this Friday night. Again no change to the #’s but may cut back slightly outside 95.

    1. Hi Hadi. Sure, Logan…..or anywhere within the area from the Mass/NH border to Cape Cod…..

      Imagine if it ends up being a dusting to 1/2 inch at most. Today was day #14 of a stretch where the region has recorded a total of a trace of precip…..and the weeks before that were fairly dry as well. In a pattern like this, things underproduce ( in my opinion ). I am hoping for a surprise of a few to several inches.

    1. I think it’s possible they will cancel, I don’t see over 2 maybe 3 inches tops somewhere south of Boston,

  34. Tweet from Matt N

    With latest guidance trending east with storm, slight adjustments – very similar forecast. Updated maps: mnoy.es/xDXh0b

  35. Tweet 3 mins ago from Todd G

    I never thought this storm would be a big deal, even less of one now with latest guidance trickling in. Again, don’t cancel any plans. #WBZ

  42. Warm and raining in Pembroke. It was not to get that cold tonight and will be warm first part of tomorrow. Cold air just not going to make it in quick enough.Kevin just said my area still in 3-6 zone. NO WAY. I suspect when I get up around 7am tomorrow it will still be raining. Big bummer. I wanted this to happen. Oh well.

  45. All 11:00 pm newscasts now have widespread 1-2″…probably no accumulatons most areas on tomorrow morning’s forecasts before all is said and done. 🙁

        1. 1 inch or less for all but a small area of southeastern MA which may have a little bit more.

          Ironically, a few online sites have upgraded the storm, but I can’t see why they’d do that.

  49. Advisory has been cancelled just as many of you thought it would be. Oh well, maybe we’ll get something around the 17th of the month???

  51. Watertown and Messena, NY….as well as Burlington, VT are in the teens. South and east of those areas are in the upper 20s to mid 30s. The temp drop mid to late afternoon or early this evening should be quite interesting to watch.

    1. Nowcasting the radar, I’d say from Providence to Boston, points south and east has a handful of hours of light to occasionally moderate precip to come this morning.

  52. For today I will be measuring snow, if any, in inch. I will measure in centimeters so it will make me feel a bit better. 🙂 —– 🙁

  53. I havent had a chance to see the long range EURO, but the 0z GFS is concerning to me and not for its lack of snow…….Its for the lack of precip.

  55. Sorry my spelling is atrocious.

    We have a dusting on grassy and dirt surfaces.

    Tom how much of a impact with the ocean have on your “accumulation” compares to 8 miles west in my location?

    1. I dont think much because we also have exactly what you described above with respect to a dusting on the grass and dirt surfaces.

  58. Snowing lightly in Sudbury. Dustings on grassy surfaces and cars – paved areas no snow.

    At least it’s snowing – kind of! 🙂

  59. Maybe we can measure the snow ‘depth’ in terms of individual snowflake layers? Pretty sure we got at least three deep here!

  61. I thought I was holding this thing lower than most people and it’s still going to come in even lower than my totals… LOL

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