Saturday March 19 2022 Forecast (10:08AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 19-23)

The final full day of winter will have a bit of a spring feel to it as we are still on the milder side today with showery weather. There is a frontal boundary though that will sit over the region, keeping northern MA and southern NH a little cooler for a good part of the day. Along with the showery episodes, triggered by a broad low pressure area moving into the Northeast, we’ll also see areas of fog. One of the impulses coming along later today and this evening will make the atmosphere unstable enough for possible thunder. Once this goes by, we’ll get some drier air into the area overnight and Sunday as the low pressure circulation begins to move away. We welcome the arrival of spring with the Vernal Equinox at 11:33 a.m. Sunday, and the day, despite being breezy, will be fairly mild, as colder air is locked up behind a trough that won’t come through our region until the evening. This may trigger a quick rain shower, and it will introduce cooler air for the first couple full days of spring early in the week. Another cold front will deliver colder air to the region by late Tuesday and Wednesday, at which time we’ll start to see clouds advancing ahead of our next storm threat, which may start as snow for at least parts of the region as early as Wednesday evening. But that’s several days away so there’s plenty of time to focus on it later…

TODAY: Cloudy. Episodes of showers. Areas of fog. Highs 45-50 southern NH and northern MA, 50-55 elsewhere. Wind NE-E under 10 MPH southern NH and northern MA, SE-S up to 15 MPH elsewhere.

TONIGHT: Cloudy evening with areas of fog and passing showers, along with a possible thunderstorm. Breaking clouds but patchy fog overnight. Temperatures steady 45-55 or may even rise briefly. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH evening, SW similar speeds with higher gusts overnight.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Chance of a rain shower late afternoon or evening. Highs 55-62. Wind SW-W 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds. Lows 28-35. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of snow/mix/rain at night. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 24-28)

Low pressure impacts the region with what ultimately ends up as a rain event to start this period, and a follow up system brings a precipitation threat around mid period, but less certainty as to the character of that system. Drier weather takes over later in the period. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 29 – APRIL 2)

The pattern in this time frame likely finds us in that previously-mentioned battle zone between Canadian cold and southeastern USA warmth, and I’m leaning toward the colder side winning out here, including additional precipitation threats which are obviously too far away to speculate much on.

31 thoughts on “Saturday March 19 2022 Forecast (10:08AM)”

    1. You can always tell when the West Coast girl with the East Coast heart is planning a trip!

  2. MJO …. hahaha! It’s going to make a merry-go-round trip soon right into favorable area for late-season flakes.

    I love when we get teased with a 70 degree day and then we go right back to reality. 😉

    1. That’s pretty much been the theme this winter, near record high temps followed by significant snow events. Will this continue into early spring? 😉

      1. Well we did have a cold January, and records were not really dropping that prolifically. We got near several and set a couple in the region, but it was mild in December and February for sure.

        I think we’re in a cooler regime overall starting next week, for a couple weeks – fewer or no warm spikes – and that’s also when we see some chances for late-season flakes, especially inland / higher elevations as we go along.

        1. Come to think of it, this morning Josh did mention snow likely for NNE next week while we get rain down here.

  3. That overnight Wednesday snow potential “could” end Boston’s lead in the season’s snow race with Worcester. We will see. 🙁

    B = 54.0”
    W = 53.6”

    1. I can look at the maps going forward and generally spy out 3 potential events this could take place in the next 15 days.

  7. Thanks, TK.

    Drove through some nasty downpours at 10:45 on Rt. 140 on a quick trip to New Bedford.

    Lightning strikes right now with a cell just south of Montauk.

    1. The atmosphere a few thousand feet above us is conducive to upward motion. 😉

      This is the type of set-up where it doesn’t matter how cool the surface is. The top of that layer is the same as the ground. The rest of the atmosphere doesn’t care. We had such a set-up (though more dynamic) on March 29 2020 – the day my house was struck by lightning.

    2. We had a burst of rain just as I arrived at the local farm for a curb pickup. Fortunately, it stopped quickly. They know I always have a podcast or book I’m listening to and that I can sit forever and enjoy the view from the highest point in Sutton……so I am never in a hurry for them to bring the order out. ❤️

      1. Better than tornadoes like the rest of the nation has to go through every spring. If it wasn’t for our maritime airmass, we’d be in trouble as well.

        1. We’re really going to be into the heart of the chill 8-14 days out through early April.

          Wow!

      2. We’ll get back to warmer springs (and cooler autumns) but it’s a very very slow process as the AMO is rather unpredictable on how quickly it enters and exits a phase.

        1. Is it possible some of us might not live to see it? I’m thinking about the old timers here (including myself) at WHW.

          Could it be still many years from now?

          2. That remains to be seen. We don’t know all that much about AMO yet. It’s a long-term learning process.

    1. They were expected out that way. That activity will not be severe when it crosses New England later this evening.

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