Friday March 25 2022 Forecast (7:25AM)

34 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 25-29)

Surface low pressure moves away today, but upper level low pressure is going to take its time crossing the Northeast from west to east during the next 5 days, during which time you’ll see a transition from mild to cold, with a few episodes of unsettled weather, and finally some dry weather. Today, as the storm of yesterday departs, the air mass is fairly mild, so a drying westerly wind will make for a nice day as we break the clouds for more sun, but never totally lose the clouds as the air above turns colder. This may help pop a few rain showers later today to early this evening. Saturday, it will be slightly cooler but still relatively mild at the surface, but colder still above us, making the atmosphere a little more unstable, so by later in the day a few more showers and even a thunderstorms may pop up, with the possibility of brief downpours and even small hail in some of them. Sunday, we continue the downward trend in temperatures both surface and aloft, and that atmosphere will still be unstable enough to potentially produce a few diurnal showers of rain, and by late-day and evening graupel and snow showers may occur as it is finally cold enough. When the coldest air arrives early next week, we’ll have a gusty wind and the chance of a few snow showers Monday as it is still somewhat unstable, then finally dry weather with plenty of sunshine by Tuesday.

TODAY: Clouds, patchy fog, and a potential sprinkle or some drizzle early, then a sun/cloud mix and a slight chance of a rain shower by late afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. A mid to late afternoon shower or thunderstorm possible, with the potential for brief downpours and even some small hail. Highs 50-57. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and possibly a thunderstorm evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers midday and afternoon, with late-day showers potentially containing graupel. Highs 45-52. Wind WNW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance of a passing snow shower. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Chance of a snow shower. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 30 – APRIL 3)

Warm front approaches March 30 with clouds moving in, and a chance of rain at night that may start as snow and/or sleet for some locations. May get a quick warm-up March 31 before cold front comes by and returns colder air for the first couple days of April with some unsettled weather as well, and then lower confidence of dry weather and maybe a brief warm up at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 4-8)

Continued low confidence forecast. Up and down temperatures, leaning toward cooler than normal, with episodes of unsettled weather between Canadian cold and southeastern US warmth.

34 thoughts on “Friday March 25 2022 Forecast (7:25AM)”

    1. https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOiJsb2NhbCIsImNlbnRlciI6Wy02Ni4wMTMsNDUuMjQyXSwiem9vbSI6NywiZmlsdGVyIjoiV1NSLTg4RCIsImxheWVyIjoiYnJlZl9yYXciLCJzdGF0aW9uIjoiS0NCVyIsInRyYW5zcGFyZW50Ijp0cnVlLCJhbGVydHNPdmVybGF5Ijp0cnVlLCJzdGF0aW9uSWNvbnNPdmVybGF5Ijp0cnVlfSwiYmFzZSI6InN0YW5kYXJkIiwiY291bnR5IjpmYWxzZSwiY3dhIjpmYWxzZSwic3RhdGUiOmZhbHNlLCJtZW51Ijp0cnVlLCJzaG9ydEZ1c2VkT25seSI6dHJ1ZX0%3D#/

      Looks like they have another couple hrs of moderate to heavy snow to go.

        1. Aside from Ukraine, I am OK.

          If you think I would drive 6 hours just to see some snow
          on March 25th, you are out of your mind.

          I am ready for Spring and just as soon NOT see another flake this year. 🙂

          1. Actually, your last statement speaks volumes. You usually are still on the lookout for that one “last hurrah” of the snow season. 😉

            Hopefully Worcester doesn’t get a cheap “elevation” type of event. It only needs a half inch. It’s high time Boston gets #6 in the rivalry vs. Worcester. 🙂

            1. Well, not this year. I mean if it came, I would still like it. I am just not looking for it this year. In fact I am pretty disappointed it is going to cool off on Monday.

  10. Heavy snow in Van Buren, Maine. That’s way up there in Maine, but across the county they’re reporting moderate to heavy snow, as Tom mentioned. Their spring is even more short-lived than ours. Their autumn is also relatively brief.

  12. The GFS & ECMWF have completely swapped “ideas” between yesterday & today regarding the temperature forecast for April 1. One is ~20 degrees warmer, one is ~20 degrees colder, and they are still ~20 degrees apart for that day.

    I’d lean colder.

  13. One of the major climate models has temps on the cooler side of average for the majority of the time between March 2022 and February 2023. Haven’t seen that model go that cool in a long time.

      1. HAHAHAHA!! … Well I have a kind of sort of feeling we may have a cooler summer than we’ve had for a bit. Not like 2001 though. BRRRRR!!!

        1. Cooler summer. Best news I’ve heard all day, TK. I spent too many days last summer with my head literally in the freezer of my fridge, just to get some relief.

          1. No guarantee obviously. You know how it is with long range forecasting. This is just an inkling based on a few things so far. But we’ll see… 🙂

  14. TK – Bottom line, will any snow potential come with the “coolness” in the next 7 -10 days? Or will it be mostly dry?

    1. The pattern remains active. There will be opportunities. Also keep in mind that most snow events at this time of year are not “seen” more than 48 or 60 hours before they occur.

  15. Warmer days in Ukraine after a fairly long period of cold and some snow. Regardless of the weather type the Ukrainian army appears to be defeating the Russian invaders in many parts of the country. https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1507337746179936296

    The Russian army seems remarkably inept. Problem is Russia does have “the bomb,” which reminds me of a famous short clip from Robin Williams’ famous 2002 tour: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E4LTK8bsoyA

    1. Russia has said it will back off from Kiev. It’s mission there is complete. In other words it failed. It will now focus on liberating Donbas. Sick doesn’t begin to describe Putin

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