DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 30 – APRIL 3)
It’s been cold, and March isn’t going to end that way, but with a temperature up-swing and a return to some unsettled weather. This will be the result of low pressure moving into the Great Lakes tonight and Thursday then into southeastern Canada by Thursday night. An area of high pressure bringing us fair weather and a chilly day today will shift off to the south, and the approaching low’s warm front will then move into our area tonight and through the region on Thursday. It may be preceded by a period of precipitation, which may fall as snow and/or sleet in some areas west and north of Boston, before it moves through and we warm up on Thursday. But by later Thursday, we’ll already be seeing the approach of the low’s cold front, and with plenty of moisture in place, in contrast to our very dry air now, we’ll have numerous showers in the region, even the potential for some downpours which may contain thunder. This sweeps offshore overnight and a good portion of Friday, while breezy, will feature a sun/cloud mix and fairly mild air to start off the month of April. Another rain shower is possible as a secondary cold front moves through during the afternoon or evening. This will lead to a cooler and breezy but fair weather day for Saturday. I’d been optimistic that high pressure would hold off any unsettled weather through the weekend, but a lot of guidance indicates the next system may be here as early as Sunday with more clouds and at least a minor threat of some rain shower activity, so I am leaning this way now…
TODAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early then variable up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. A period of snow/sleet/rain possible, frozen most likely north and west of Boston, during the evening. Lows 30-37. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of passing rain showers, becoming more likely by evening. Highs 56-63, except cooler South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy evening with rain showers likely including the potential for downpours and embedded thunder. Breaking clouds overnight but still the chance of passing rain showers. Lows 48-55. Wind S 10-20 MPH, gusting up to 30 MPH, shifting to W overnight.
FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Rain showers possible favoring eastern areas around dawn. Passing rain showers possible in the afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusty.
SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sun giving way to clouds. Late-day rain shower chance. Highs 51-58. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 4-8)
Unsettled weather potential is highest in the April 5-7 period based on current timing and expected pattern, which will feature variable temperatures in a battle zone between southeastern US warmth and Canadian cold.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 9-13)
Overall pattern similar, typical springtime battle zone. Unsettled weather seems likely at some point, favoring mid or late period.
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK !
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1200_torn.gif
the bigger label up top did not copy. This is for tornado probability.
yup, those of us familiar with that map knew that. 🙂
Thanks. Harvey mentioned this last night.
My Brother resides in Lafayette, LA which is just SW if the most intense risk, but he is still in the 5% zone.
Hoping all goes well for him.
Thanks Tom. It usually does. For whatever reason, tornadoes seem to miss Lafayette. So far at least.
Wow. Just that scares me let alone an actual event. Prayers for all in that area.
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK
Thanks, TK!
Thanks, TK.
Thanks TK.
TK – Could Worcester edge closer to Boston tonight? Actual “accumulating” snow for those west and north?
B (54.0)
W (53.6)
12Z runs of models would suggest no, but who knows. 🙂
I don’t think it happens tonight.
Thanks, TK.
The western part of the country is in serious trouble with water levels. A few nights ago, my brother in law was explaining restrictions to me. They include each household cutting water usage by 15 percent. He said the states largest reservoir is at an all time low. I didn’t ask, but assume he meant Lake Mead.
https://twitter.com/sullyfoto/status/1508985132601864193?s=21&t=_EUY4YaP2LE0QewEQFt0Lw
http://mead.uslakes.info/level.asp
I saw this re Lake Powell also
https://twitter.com/sullyfoto/status/1508985132601864193?s=21&t=_EUY4YaP2LE0QewEQFt0Lw
A faint and somewhat partial sun halo
https://imgur.com/a/F4Wn6eB
But, it is there. 🙂
It is indeed. I had trouble seeing it with the phone.
Narrowing my prediction for Worcester to pass Boston in seasonal snowfall total: The April 5-15 window. It will happen somewhere in there. 😉
Eric….
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1508932513766551554?s=21&t=2p7ue37hAjmzLijDSKd39w
Cherry blossoms zapped
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1509163247282307074?s=21&t=2p7ue37hAjmzLijDSKd39w
Forsythia. Oddly, the ones we had in framingham didn’t care at all about freezes. The only thing we ever lost was a bleeding heart. But then I covered everything with sheets…..not the bushes 😉
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1509163675873161223?s=21&t=2p7ue37hAjmzLijDSKd39w
Amy, how are your pansies?
My pansies are still in the basement under grow lights. It’s looking like they will safe outside starting tomorrow…
Good news.
Model prognostic data is going to be bad because of a a dearth of data input due to budgets, supply chains, labor, and infrastructure depletion. Your most trusted meteorologist will be your best source of forecast reliability for the month of April.
Yeah but I have a weather app that tells me exact highs and lows out to July 31 2027! It’s DA BEST! 😉
I think a story to be watched tonight thru April 1st is a coronal mass ejection.
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g3-strong-geomagnetic-storm-watch-now-effect-31-march-2022
I would expect minimal if any weather effects except that we all might see the northern lights. There has been buzz about effects in the digital world along with the usual amount of wild statements. I suppose we could experience some digital interruption but it seems like a Longshot.
Very interesting. I’m laughing at your word play. Very clever
Probably too cloudy to see the northern lights though. 🙁
I may sit out just in case. I’ve been on the deck for at least an hour. It’s relatively comfortable now that wind has quieted
Another very sad story. Mac and I watched him
From the start in moonlighting 🙁
https://amp.usatoday.com/amp/7219022001
All over the news!
Yes. He is loved. His wife’s comment made me cry.
This is quite late but…
Happy Birthday Jeopardy!!!
3/30/1964
The big payoff = $345
❤️
I’m seeing posts of potential tornadoes in several areas in the south. There is a line of tornado warned boxes
https://imgur.com/a/wnJ3QwF
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/mar/29/met-office-increase-heatwave-threshold-across-parts-england?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
It just goes to show you that one man’s heatwave is my idea of a nice day. 28C=82F and it’s my favorite temperature.
Any chance our heatwave threshold might get raised?
New weather post…