Wednesday April 6 2022 Forecast (7:21AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 6-10)

Quite a number of days ago we talked about watching the April 6-8 period for unsettled weather. Well, here it is. We’ll be impacted by several low pressure areas over the next few days, with lingering impacts even into the weekend. This is how it breaks down. Today, the first low pressure area will be moving eastward and taking a track just to the south of New England. We’ll be on the northern side of its envelope of rain, which will have its greatest impact on the WHW forecast area from mid morning to midday, heaviest to the south of I-90, then taper to just drizzle and patchy light rain later in the day. A region-wide easterly air flow off the Atlantic combined with the overcast ensures us of a very chilly and raw feeling day as well. Between this first system, which departs overnight tonight, and the next one which approaches Thursday, enough dry air may work in to cause breaks in the clouds, but we won’t get all that much benefit from that in terms of sun, except for the possibility of seeing a little bit early Thursday, as much of the cloud-breaking time will occur before sunrise. Wet weather comes back in from west to east later Thursday, but we may get through much of the day rain-free. It will still be cool Thursday, but up a few degrees over today. The storm system bringing us this round of wet weather will be more complex than its predecessor, starting out as low pressure in mature to decaying stage entering the Great Lakes, then redeveloping over the northern Middle Atlantic region. It is this redevelopment that will move right up across our region Thursday night and early Friday, bringing us our heaviest rainfall, which will be more in the form of showers with even the chance of some thunder. This system will start to move away during Friday, with partial improvement and milder air moving in, but upper level low pressure still over the Northeast means that we keep a rain shower chance in place during Friday, and even into the weekend, especially Saturday, as it will take a few days for the upper trough to traverse the entire region. We’ll see that rain shower chance drop off Sunday, not to zero, but less than Saturday. The trade-off will be that we’ll also undergo a cooling trend…

TODAY: Overcast. Rain eastern CT, RI, southern MA, expanding northward for several hours, then tapering to drizzle and periods of light rain west to east midday on. Highs 45-52. Wind E 5-15 MPH, 10-20 MPH coast, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clouds break. Fog patches linger. Lows 37-44. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Broken clouds may allow a glimpse of sun around sunrise, then thickening overcast. Rain returns by late-day west to east. Highs 46-53. Wind E-SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in coastal areas.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Numerous rain showers. Chance of thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady 46-53. Wind SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with additional rain showers around during the morning. Partly sunny with a slight chance of a passing rain shower in the afternoon. Highs 57-64. Wind variable up to 10 MPH early becoming W 10-20 MPH and gusty.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered rain showers mainly midday-afternoon. Highs 56-63. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusty.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated rain showers mainly afternoon. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 11-15)

The upper level pattern says dry spell and above normal temperatures, but I’m often a little skeptical about how easily we can pull off a stretch for 5 days in April without “something” going wrong, and I am skeptical this time. We need to watch a boundary to the north and high pressure in eastern Canada, often underplayed by medium range guidance, in case we end up with a back-door front or a boundary nearby that becomes a running-board for a disturbance or two. It may not be all sunshine, warmth, and emerging flowers next week, but the pattern does look better than this week at least.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 16-20)

The pattern wants to try to stay dry and on the milder side to start, but we may be contending with a large cool pool from Canada by mid to late period. This part of the forecast is very low confidence, however, and is only a step above saying “I have no idea what’s going to happen yet…”

41 thoughts on “Wednesday April 6 2022 Forecast (7:21AM)”

  5. TK, thank you. Interested in your wind forecast for the next 4 days. Was thinking about some ocean kayaking … maybe not!

    1. I remember well. I took the Orange line home from work that day and had to walk 1 mile from Forest Hills station to my house directly into the wind. But, even though it was cold, I loved it!

  10. Red Sox Yankees game postponed tomorrow. The game will be played on Friday at 1:05pm
    Speaking of baseball back on this date in 2007 in Cleveland. Meteorologist James Spann posted this on his blog

    ON THIS DATE IN 2007: In Cleveland, Ohio on the 6th to the 9th: The opening-season series between the Indians and Minnesota Twins is wiped out by a snowstorm and a cold snap. The Indians led 4-0 when their home opener Friday on the 6th was called off by umpires because of heavy snow. The grounds crew who tried to make the field playable with backpack blowers and brooms spent more time on the field than the players during nearly three hours of stoppages. About a foot of snow remained on the ground Monday afternoon the 9th.

    1. Baseball should NOT be played in April, period.
      OR at the very least keep the entire schedule for April below the Mason Dixon line. 🙂

    2. oh my goodness.

      The late start already has every team playing several double headers now.

      I wonder if the dopey players association agreed to continue 7 innings during doubleheaders.

      I can’t believe the players wouldn’t agree to a man on 2nd to start extra innings this year. That was great last year !!

      They are tone deaf.

      1. I may have that backwards.

        Looks like they are keeping the man on 2nd for extra innings, but are going back to 9 inning games for doubleheaders.

    3. This was mentioned as likely in the Storm HQ blog. I agreed then and it is probably the right decision. They may not have all that much rain around at what would have been the start of the game but I don’t think they would stay that way…

      They still have the risk of a passing shower Friday but nothing that should result in anything more than a brief rain delay.. if that.

  11. This will never happen with baseball but I would like to see a 100 game season 50 games played against teams from you own league the other 50 against the other league. Start the season on the Friday of Memorial Day weekend with a stand alone game for the defending World Series Champions and everyone else opens on Saturday of Memorial Day Weekend. By then don’t have to worry about cold and snow for the northern cities where baseball is played. Another thing I wish baseball would do like the NFL does release the schedule during the offseason and give the sport something to talk about like what happens when the NFL schedule is released in May.

  14. It’s always good to start your day with some Shakespeare. I meant to post this weather-related poem earlier today, but didn’t get around to it:

    “You say you love rain
    but you open your umbrella.
    You say you love the sun
    but you find a shadow spot.
    You say you love wind
    but you close your windows.
    This is why I am afraid
    when you say you love me.”

    1. Very fun. Fortunately, I stand in the rain, sit in the sun and open windows for the wind. Does that mean when I give my love that it is true!!! 🙂

        1. I myself don’t like neither rain or wind. A very bad combo at that. 😉

          As for the sun, I love it as long as I can locate the tallest, thickest tree or the tallest building to stand next to. 😉

          Shakespeare knew mankind very well it seems.

  15. I have no problem with MLB starting in April, but it would be better if it was the 2nd half of the month when snow events are generally very rare.

    Around here, the Red Sox home opener on Patriots Day at 11:00 am would be picture perfect! 🙂

      1. Kind of looks like how I always played water holes, except my results left the ball in the pond all of the time!

          1. I have trouble skipping rocks. And if I played …I’d be in the water also. Or woods. Or neighbors yard

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