Monday April 18 2022 Forecast (9:07AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 18-22)

It seems like we’ve been talking about Patriots Day forever, but it’s here. This holiday is celebrated in Maine, Connecticut, and Massachusetts, so not every part of the WHW forecast area has this day as a holiday, but in Massachusetts, it’s a significant one in that we now see the return of the Boston Marathon to this day after 2020’s was cancelled and 2021’s was held as a limited-participant race and held in October. And of course there is also the traditional Boston Red Sox late-morning first pitch home game today. We’ve seen all kinds of weather over the years on the day of the Marathon, including snowflakes in the air, wind and rain, and temps as high as the middle 90s. Today, the early-morning low temperature at the start line of the Marathon in Hopkinton MA was 33. But there is bright April sun shining and the temperature, which has already reached the upper 30s there as of 8:00 a.m., will be climbing through the 40s and into 50s along the race course and across the region, although along the coastline that temperature rise will be halted right around 50 as we see a light northerly breeze evolve into a sea breeze. This sea breeze will penetrate a bit of a distance inland, so many of the runners, especially the middle and later runners, will be arriving in the city of Boston and running into a sea breeze head wind. This is also a good time to remind anybody planning to be out along the course to support runners, or at the baseball game at Fenway Park, or anywhere outside for more than just a few minutes, it’s a good idea to apply sun block as you can acquire a sunburn in under an hour if you’re in direct sunlight. Despite the chill of early morning and the afternoon sea breeze, the weather is “being nice” to us, waiting until all these activities are completed before it turns on us. This will be a result of a low pressure area developing and moving up the Middle Atlantic Coast and into our area tonight and early Tuesday. There is enough cold air in place as the precipitation arrives that some snow may fall in the higher elevations of north central MA and southwestern NH, but a more certain snowfall will occur west of the WHW forecast area in the Berkshires – not unusual for April. But the vast bulk of this system will be a rain event with gusty wind, the direction at any given location determined by the low’s exact track. By Tuesday afternoon, the low center will already be heading away from us and into southeastern Canada via northern New England, and at that time we’ll see a drying trend and gusty westerly wind with chilly air. On Wednesday, we will still feel a bit of a chilly breeze between approaching high pressure and the storm over the Canadian Maritimes, but by late-day and nighttime that wind will be gone as the high center moves over us. But this will also set up a chilly Wednesday night and Thursday morning, and a large temperature diurnal (difference between morning low and afternoon high) as we get into a warming southwesterly air flow ahead of an approaching frontal system on Thursday. This system should pass by with limited rain shower activity later Thursday and early Friday, but a gusty shifting breeze and a cooler Friday…

TODAY: Sunny morning. Increasing high clouds afternoon. Highs 51-58, turning cooler coast midday-afternoon. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

TONIGHT: Thickening overcast with developing rain and the potential for mix/snow with some minor accumulation interior higher elevations. Lows 33-40. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Overcast with rain likely morning. Breaking clouds afternoon. Highs 46-53. Wind NE to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy evening, clearing overnight. Lows 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers late in the day. Highs 60-67, cooler South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 23-27)

Pattern evolution potential from zonal to blocking. Unsettled weather episodes around April 24 and April 27 are rough guesses at this point.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 28 – MAY 3)

Blocking pattern potential. Near to below normal temperatures, near to above normal precipitation. Detail this far in advance not possible.

53 thoughts on “Monday April 18 2022 Forecast (9:07AM)”

    1. Yes it’s pretty good considering what can and has happened on the day of this race…

  3. Thanks TK.

    I had no idea that Maine and Connecticut celebrate Patriots Day as well. I thought we had it all to ourselves. Oh well.

  4. Good morning and thank you TK,

    Down to 33 here in JP early this morning. Pretty chilly.
    It has recovered to 47.

  5. Thanks, TK. Apologies for my absence yesterday and my not thanking you for the forecast, which I did read. My only excuse is that I was sick – the usual GERD/IBS crap; literally.

    Also, Mark, thank you for sharing your wonderful photos as well as tweets from others (eg, North Dakota).

    Hearing and seeing a lot of folks around the globe “surprised” that it’s snowing in parts of the U.S. and elsewhere (eg, was snowing in Kyiv yesterday – just wet snow, but still). Never ceases to amaze me how people are surprised at what is quite normal; namely snow in April across parts of the Northern Hemisphere. This year has been colder than normal in much of the Northern tier of the Lower 48 and considerably colder across most of Canada. It’s also been colder than normal across most of Northwestern Europe. Still, snow in April is a very normal phenomenon.

  10. As far as Patriots Day goes, yes CT started to recognize / celebrate it in 2018, but it’s a non-paid holiday, so basically it’s a regular day. In MA it’s more dependent on where / who, but for many it’s just a regular day. Public schools are off because it’s vacation week anyway.Maine: Who knows, Maine is pretty much another planet.. 😉

    Outside of our area, it’s also observed in Wisconsin and North Dakota (since 2019). In Florida, it’s “encouraged”. I’m not even sure what that’s supposed to mean, but as far as things go, Florida is about as odd as you can get for making sense with regard to anything. The only things that makes sense to me in that state are citrus fruits and Disney World. No, Miami is NOT included. Bizarre.

    1. I doubled over laughing at your comment on Maine. You’d think it would recognize patriots day since it was then part of MA…if memory serves me. That said, I’m always surprised New England or even the Eastern states do not celebrate it as it was the start of their independence also.

    3. If I’m not mistaken isn’t there 2 Patriots days? September 11th I believe is also called Patriots day.

  11. It’s an absolutely beautiful day here at Fenway. Not a cloud in sky, and since my seats are in the sun, it’s fairly mild.

        1. They are wearing home whites with red trim today.
          They wore the yellow with light blue trim for the Saturday and Sunday games.

          1. They should wear the yellow/blue uniforms all weekend long imo. The entire 3-day weekend is all about the Boston Marathon itself. It just so happens this particular year it also coincides with Easter and Passover.

            1. If they never wore those again, I would be happy. They’re the “Red” Sox. There should be red in the uniforms they wear.

            2. While I understand they have standard uniforms, I tend to agree, Philip. They are Boston and the Red Sox of old were very community minded. In truth, while I know the colors blue (even though light) and yellow were intended for Boston Strong, they also represent something else that needs our support.

  12. In my neighborhood, Monday is normally trash day but due to the “holiday”, it will be deferred until tomorrow. Figures it would be the rainiest day of this week. 😉

  13. I don’t understand why some other states celebrate/recognize Patriots Day. We in Massachusetts have very good reason. Lexington & Concord 1775.

    1. There’s nothing wrong with other states doing it. It’s not just about Massachusetts. It’s about the beginning of the Revolution which had implications far beyond where it took place.

  14. Thanks TK. Beautiful day. House stayed warm enough even with temp at 27. OhDEER is here. We are starting to see ticks on dogs and people.

    1. Indeed. Shows you HOW far West this thing is expected to track.
      Imagine if it were 150-175 miles more to the East??????

      1. For obvious reasons, I don’t want to think about that scenario. 😉

        Even if both Worcester and Boston snowed simultaneously, Worcester would likely win out easily this time of year.

  18. I am not disappointed with the storm track. If this was December through March different story.

  21. Speaking of Patriot’s Day – April 19, 1775 – it was a momentous day in our nation’s history. I think it should be a national holiday.

    247 years ago tonight (April 18, 1775), Paul Revere made his famous ride. That day was cloudy, cool, and quite rainy (so April, right).

    “Listen, my children, and you shall hear
    Of the midnight ride of Paul Revere,
    On the eighteenth of April, in Seventy-Five:
    Hardly a man is now alive
    Who remembers that famous day and year.”

    — Henry Wadsworth Longfellow (1860)

    On April 19, 1775, the sun reappeared. It was a cool, crisp morning, though it would warm up to around 55F in Lexington by mid to late afternoon. Probably cooler in Boston.

    The British had planned to bring their small cannons with them. The cannons would have come in handy, but the paths were very muddy. The cannons got stuck in the mud on the road from Boston and had to be left behind.

    1. Awesome post.

      For our bicentennial, I happened to be at Longfellow’s Wayside Inn in Subury for diner. I was thrilled that a fife and drum corps and minutemen were very present throughout the Inn

      I suspect most have been to the Wayside Inn, but if not please visit. It is one of the few places I miss after moving from the area. It is the oldest operating inn in the country. The dirt road directly in front of the entry door is the original Boston Post Road moved there by Henry Ford when the road layouts changed.

      The grist mill still grinds some of its corn meal. The little school house is that of Mary had a Little Lamb fame. And the Martha Mary Chappel is lovely

      1. Thanks for this Vickie. For some reason, I have been thinking about the Wayside Inn lately. We used to go there quite often when we lived in Marlboro(ugh). I have some great memories of the Inn, especially spending time in the tavern with my wife’s very-Yankee uncle who has since passed away.

        2. I’m smiling. I hope you get back!!!

          The tavern and the small rooms for dining are the character of the Inn. We spent many summer nights picnicking on the grass in front of what our son called the grist-a-mill. After Mac passed, I’d still go for breakfast. One of the waiters and the hostess would sit with me for short periods for company.

          I suspect most who have been to the Inn have very fond memories.

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