Thursday April 28 2022 Forecast (7:24AM)

25 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 28 – MAY 2)

An upper level low pressure area – a pool of cold air – will sit just east of our region over the next 3 days. We’ll be on its western flank and vulnerable to cloudiness generated by it, along with breezy conditions and cool weather. Finally this system pulls to the east and we are calmer and milder by Sunday, the first day of May. Will that last through Monday? Probably not. Looks like another low pressure system will be waiting to move in by then as things start to move west to east again, but at this point it looks minor.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-49. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Afternoon rain showers possible. Highs 60-67. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 3-7)

High pressure dominates eastern Canada. Slowly eastward-moving weather systems dominate our pattern. Unsettled episodes most likely early May 4, later May 5 into May 6. Mildest early period, then a cooler trend again.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 8-12)

Overall pattern looks similar with very little overall change to the set-up, resulting in kind of typical mid-spring weather with no extremes of temperature or major storminess, but a couple episodes of unsettled weather.

25 thoughts on “Thursday April 28 2022 Forecast (7:24AM)”

  2. Thanks TK !

    What a beautiful winter morning !!

    Down here, 104.7 FM from Cape Cod comes in pretty well. The host is Dave Reid.

    If I heard him correctly, I thought he said Springuary weather today and tomorrow. Perfect !! Hadn’t heard that term before, but I like it !!

  5. Thanks TK.

    At least overnight lows will stay a few degrees above freezing. Have even the suburbs seen their last 32F?

    1. I doubt it. I believe one of the Mets mentioned on twitter that we may see a frost a couple times this weekend. Memorial day has always been the time to plant anything that doesn’t tolerate frost.

    2. Considering I had a 32 in for many of my forecasts across souther NH and the northern/western suburbs of Boston for tonight, I’d say no.

  7. Interesting night. Nat grid was here from 11ish-2 am. They ended up replacing the transformer in our yard and had to cut the power for a couple of hours. They were remarkably quiet. The kids dog didn’t hear a thing and he hears and barks at most everything. Hopefully, the transformer will solve the problem. If not, it gets difficult

      1. Still to early to even think about iced coffee, at least for me. Plus, this chilly pattern isn’t helping in that direction just yet. I’ll very much stay with the “hot” coffee for awhile still.

  11. Good afternoon all!

    Another cool & gusty day. This is our blocking pattern right now. As I’ve mentioned many, MANY times, there is a general misconception by many that “blocking” means “overcast/wet/cold” for New England. Not always. This time it’s cool, but mainly dry. It depends on the orientation of the pattern. I mentioned a few days ago that it looked like we’d be on the cool but mainly dry side of the pattern while it lasts. And it won’t be around in this exact configuration for too long. As alluded to in my forecast above and SAK’s weekend update, things will be moving along enough for high pressure to build in this weekend and another low pressure system to move in from the west at the start of next week. That system does not look too impressive as it will be kind of getting pulled apart. It’s not a very progressive pattern returning – in fact it still shows some blocking, but the type that allows systems to move eastward underneath high pressure to the north, and not one where surface systems get stuck for days in the same places.

    CPC’s 6-10 day, 8-14 day, & 3-4 week outlooks continue to emphasize cooler than normal over about 50% to 75% of the country, including the Northeast, basically taking us to mid May. This, if correct for New England, will erase our positive temperature departure that we ran for the season so far due to a mild March and first half of April.

    In more global (tropical) news…

    * The southern hemisphere is experiencing a near-record quiet season, with ACE at only 63% of normal. Zzzzzzz.

    * Across the Globe, 2021 saw only 37 tropical cyclones that reached hurricane/typhoon intensity. That is the LOWEST number of storms of that intensity in over 4 decades (since 1981).

    That’s all for now. 😉

    1. Will you finally declare Boston the winner over Worcester for the 2021-22 season in snowfall? 🙂

      B = 54.0”
      W = 53.6”

        1. Still hoping for accumulating snow in June. That has never happened in Boston. In fact, I don’t think it has ever snowed at all in June or July in Boston. Perhaps August, too, but I don’t know.

  12. Seeing a lot of remarks around local / regional social media about how wet it’s been this spring. That’s funny considering the entire region is running a deficit of generally 1.50 to 2.75 inches. It’s been a DRY spring. Dry. Not wet. Dry.

    Dry. The opposite of wet. It’s not that difficult to look up the information either. Heh.

    1. Yes. It’s definitely been dry. How on earth can the media think otherwise? All it takes is a little bit of observation.

      I remember the TV forecasts this past weekend calling for “unsettled weather” this week. I didn’t understand the call then and I certainly don’t get it now. It rained a little a couple of days ago. But that was it. I would not call this week unsettled. Windy: Check mark. Cooler than normal: Check mark. Unsettled or wet: No check mark.

      1. The perception of weather in general is different because of how it’s fed to the public, and certain things left out and other things DRIVEN upon.

        For example, the stats I mentioned above. NOBODY will mention the lack of tropical activity in the southern hemisphere and the lack of strong tropical cyclones for the year 2021. Why? Because it’s not exciting enough. And that’s a crock. It’s INFORMATION. This isn’t entertainment. It’s SCIENCE. And people better start recognizing that again.

        Yes, we want to make it entertaining in the aspect of keeping people interested, and there is a way to do that, even with the “boring” stats. A lot of people just aren’t really that good at it. 😉

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