Sunday AM Update

36 Comments

3:13AM

Just an updated forecast for now, full discussion and forecast for the week ahead later today.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. High 38-43. Wind NW 10-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear. Low 19-24. Wind NW 10-15 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Sunny. High 35-40. Wind NNW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 22. High 46.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 36. High 51.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Low 39. High 47.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow showers. Low 36. High 44.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 21. High 37.

36 thoughts on “Sunday AM Update”

  3. I like the EURO’s portrayal of most of the next set of disturbances or lows going just north and west of the region.

    In spite of all the mild Feb weather, I don’t necessarily think its been because of a strong southeast ridge.

    I think the southeast ridge is going to assert itself the next week or two and with the strengthening sun factored in, there’s going to be some very mild to warm weather just south of the region. CPC NAO outlook features Positive NAO the next several days, even moreso than seen, which I think suggests a chance at a stronger southeast ridge returning.

    I think that on one of these systems that passes to our northwest, the warm sector with some sun is going to give our region a 60F plus day, maybe 70F within the next 2 weeks.

  4. My family has a couple more days in the Ft. Myers area. It’s been a little over 80F since this past Wednesday and now……as they are just ahead of a trailing cold front from the storm missing our region……the wind is from the south and the dew point is 70F !!!!!!!!!!!! On the eastern side of the peninsula, where the S/SW wind is somewhat of a land breeze, they are anticipating coming close to the record highs of 87F in Fort Lauderdale and Miami. I keep checking their weather daily and it’s making our 40s seem cold. 🙂

    1. Wow – record breaking everywhere. Are they having fun, Tom?

      I talked to my brother-in-law yesterday who lives outside of San Francisco. He had taken his daughter and some of her friends to Tahoe. It is uncharacteristically snowless – enough to play in but not to ski in. He said they went over to Squaw Valley and there was more snow but he felt they’d made a lot of it. Odd winter

      1. Yes…they’ve been to the beach nearly everyday. They are heading to see the alligators today.

        The plan next year is to pay the higher flight costs during the school break and I’ll be able to join them. 🙂

        1. Tom wonderful that they are having a good time and even more wonderful that you will be able to join them all next year!!

  6. The “big” storm down in the Mid Atlantic is going to come in lighter than expected, with more rain involved as well. Some met’s calling for 4-8+ around Richmond VA are likely to be disappointed when they get no more than around 3 inches.

    1. I actually have relatives in Richmond and other locals within the state of VA so they will be glad for the lower snow amounts. They are not snow lovers like I am. 🙂

      1. Richmond, VA currently at 41F……..looking around the mid-Atlantic region, it’s difficult to find any stations close to 32F, even in the more inland elevated areas.

    2. Matt’s answer is right. Dry air played some role, but the core of the energy went just S of New England (some thunderstorms down there). It just isn’t the year to get stuff up here if you like it. 😉

    3. We had a light dusting in Lunenburg yesterday at around 6 PM. It was enough to make the grass white until the sun hit it this morning.

  8. today through monday night will be mostly sunny with highs in the mid 30s to low 40s
    lows in the 20s
    tuesday and wednesday will be warm with highs in the mid 40s with lows in the low 30s some temps in the low 20s
    thursday through friday mostly cloudy and unsettled with rain showers highs in the upper upper 40s and low 50s. lows in the low to mid 30s
    saturday sunny highs in the mid 30s lows in the low 20s and upper 10s
    late week weather system seems to be a prolong event of two or three systems

  9. I just saw tru green do 2 houses on my street applying a liquid on the lawn, what they applied I’m not sure what they applied but it looks like the lawn company’s have started there year, they r around 2 weeks ahead of last yrs 1st application, it could hit 60 degrees Wed

    1. Interesting Charlie – I was wondering the other day if my husband should go ahead and put down the early spring treatment.

    1. I will repost it here for those who do not have a FB page.
      _______________________________________
      At mid February and on-pace for the least-snowy winter on record, not only at Boston but in the suburbs as well. HOWEVER, who would be willing to bet that even with the prediction of a mild March too, somehow those now rooting for the record will be disappointed by 1 or 2 snowfalls? I am. It’ll be like having a 5-0 lead in a hockey game, the game well in-hand, and the other team scores with a few seconds left just to spoil your shut-out.

      1. I’m willing to bet we don’t get more than 3 inches for the rest of the year, no matter what happens in march this will go down as the winter that never came, I’ve never seen such a winter that we’ve previously saw, take it easy 🙂

        1. Am I the only one who thought longshot’s guess of a 3 inch snow total was never going to hold up?? As I said – I had to ask twice because I thought it was a tease.

  11. 44F at Logan and low 40s most other places, even Worcester has made it to 40F.

    I’ll guess with the dry air and all the sun, Logan gets to 45F or 46F, which is barely cooler then yesterday.

    I think this is a sign of what is to come. On any day that’s going to be sunny or when the region is in a warm sector, take the over on the forecasted temps.

    1. Look no further than the next Wed-Fri timeframe. At least this morning, most of the forecasts had gone towards 53F to 54F for Wed and TK is at 51F as well…and then, the new 7 day outlook maps seem very bullish on a warm surge next Friday. They have Boston at 55F and I always find them to be extremely conservative in their temp predictions.

  14. I think there is little hope for snowfall for the rest of the season. Records will be broken, rest assured. With the outlook of a warm March, warm and dry ground, split flow and no blocking or phasing, does not bode well for accumulating snow. If mets are saying the records will not be broken, after looking at these factors that stack up against snow, they are not to be taken seriously. If it actually does snow and the records are not broken, these same mets will have remind us they called for this back in mid February. Typical for model hugging ameture mets out there that study the colors on the model runs but could not apply one once of science to them. I actually let my dog ate the IWS Model this morning, very sad. Pray for some rain this spring and a warm enjoyable summer.

    1. I agree in principle with what your saying and given persistence, it seems reasonable to have a large expectation that a significant snowfall isn’t coming……….and with that said, I think every year, the chance at a significant snowfall is there into early to mid April. For me, that’s not said to cover any outcome…I just reason that anytime your region sits south of chilly eastern Canada along with a frozen Hudson Bay while it sits north of the Atlantic ocean and a warm gulf stream…the possibility is there.

      1. There’s a chance we can get a hurricane in June but it rarely happens, I don’t mean to sound like a downer but I’m just saying, have a great day 🙂

    2. You know what’s weird is when I was a kid my grandfather used to say when it didn’t snow don’t worry about it we can get snow into the beginning of May, he must have seen snow in may many time in the early 1900’s, it just goes to show ya that now it has trouble snowing in March nevermind May 🙂

    1. My daughter and I were talking about it yesterday. I’m with TK – if we are going to break a record – let’s do it! I’m clearly into the spring mode and honestly we have not had a real spring in years so I would love for it to go on for a while.

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