Monday May 9 2022 Forecast (6:57AM)

64 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 9-13)

The set-up we had over the weekend – high pressure to our north, low pressure to our south – is still in place, but the overall orientation of the pair has shifted to the south a little bit, and this will be our regime for today and Tuesday, keep us dry but cool and breezy. On Wednesday, the low to the south stretches out somewhat and a lobe of it tries to get closer by rotating northwestward from the waters southeast of New England, so we’ll get a band of clouds back into the picture for part of the day. I’d waffled back and forth a bit on a shower threat for this, and for this forecast I’ll put it back in play as a possibility for Wednesday for eastern sections of Massachusetts. Finally, on Thursday, the high pressure center, even though weaker, will have made its way over our region with light wind and a warm-up, especially away from the coast where sea breezes can still develop. This warm up should establish itself further by Friday as we get the axis of high pressure to sink to the south a little more and help the overall wind flow shift to more westerly, giving our region its first preview of summer…

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-63, coolest coast. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 56-63, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 46-53. Wind E to SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy in the morning with a possible rain shower southeastern MA and RI. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 57-64, coolest coast. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 46-53. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67 coastal plain, 68-75 interior. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 48-55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75 coast, 76-83 inland, but may turn cooler in any coastal areas in the afternoon. Wind variable to W up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes possible.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 14-18)

Surface high pressure drifts to the south then east. Need to watch a potential boundary to the north that can slip down as a back door front over the May 14-15 weekend. Right now calling for fair and warm weather and a bit cooler at the coast May 14, a few more clouds and a possible shower May 15 and then may clear out with that day having a better chance at a wind at least somewhat onshore for the region and cooler for all areas. Pattern tries to have a little more west to east movement early next week with a frontal system moving through with a shower threat around May 16 then a turn to fair and cooler weather, but this part of the forecast remains low confidence.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 19-23)

Guidance is split between weak zonal flow and a weak blocking pattern. We’ll likely be on the fence between the 2 with no strong anomalies in temperature but vulnerable to maritime influences especially coast, and a continuation of the trend of below normal precipitation.

64 thoughts on “Monday May 9 2022 Forecast (6:57AM)”

  5. Thanks, TK.

    35 was our low. 63 in the house. So far we are holding our own without heat despite the fact it has been a cooler than average spring. The wind is much calmer as of now. We will see how it goes.

    1. Yesterday afternoon, when the clouds thinned and the sun became stronger, the temp upstairs in our house rose from 63F to 68F. Having the sun now makes all the difference in the world, even here in the arctic. 🙂 🙂 🙂

  6. Snow flurries two years ago today. Significant snow 45 years ago(if my math is correct), May 9 and December 9 seem to be interesting dates weather wise

    1. You are correct Vicki.

      May 9 -10, 1977. Boston received 0.5” with much more in the suburbs.

      It was my junior year of high school and I actually got an unexpected snow day. 🙂

  11. Up to a whopping 53 degrees here in JP.

    We touched 60 yesterday ( a couple of degrees could be attributed to the sunshine on the instrument package) very briefly before falling back to about 54 by late afternoon.

    Time for a WARM UP, but I fear that will be a VERY slow process near the coast. 🙂

  12. Thank you, TK.

    So, Vicki, the car you had – a 1969 Mustang Mach (a 4-speed manual?) – was similar to the one Steve McQueen drove in Bullitt – a 1968 Mustang GT – in that epic San Francisco car chase. By the way, the Mustang is chasing a 1968 Dodge Charger RT.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJZ-BHBKyos

      1. I am a huge fan of that movie. Even the 390 Mach I was a faster car. I could hold my own against the charger. A friend had one. It was 375 if I recall. I do know it wasn’t a hemi.

        I might have participated in some street racing but my memory is fuzzy on that 😉

  13. Thanks, TK!

    Hope all the moms, nanas, step-moms and those who have a maternal role in anyone’s life had a great day yesterday!!!

    Today is the 45th anniversary of a snowstorm that left, according to the linked map, left 12-20″ of snow in the Worcester area north to south.
    https://www.wcvb.com/article/the-may-storm-that-stunned-new-englanders/8100161

    Mansfield had 6″ of snow and two days out of school because of no power. There was a major outage in the SE Mass region due to a transmission line failure.

    I have been in a Fiat Spider on the Autobahn. My college roommate got it to 140 mph for a few seconds.

    JPD…What was the Queen song? My link didn’t work.
    There’s a band I wish I had seen in concert.

    1. Thanks for the link to the snowfall map Captain. Amazing how much of the snow fell even well south of the Pike into RI.

  14. Queen at Live Aid was one of the all-time greatest (if not the greatest) live performances in rock history

  15. Used to those 30-35F dewpoints at the coast and teen dewpoints inland ?????

    12z GFS offering 60F to 65F dewpoints Saturday with low-mid 80s for temps.

    Now, in July or August, that’s a bearable summer day.

    But, that should be a shock to the system on Saturday.

        1. About as predictable and typical as it gets around here. I used to tell my ex-wife – when she would remark about how cold spring was – that one day in mid to late May she’ll wake up and it’ll be 86F (had to tell her celsius – 30C).

          1. Bingo. ALL FREAKING WEEK last week and ALL FREAKING DAY today I’ve been having to explain to people that…
            1) Other than a recent cool stretch, we’ve had a mild spring (and dry too after they remark to me how wet it’s been – huh?!).
            2) This is TYPICAL for SPRING in the NORTHEAST.

            Why is it that the general population has become this clueless? Unless you just moved here or were just born, this should be common knowledge – the volatility of spring in the northeastern US next to a cold ocean and not far from land that can get very warm and other land areas that still have snow on them. It’s not rocket science. It’s earth science, but not rocket science. 😉

        1. It tends to be a battle for all seasons as they change. PNW is well below normal. It may have set a record. I can’t recall.

          Odd how our pear trees bloomed just a bit late while other trees are behind schedule

  17. The weakness of the pressure gradient Friday spells a thwarted warm-up for coastal areas. You’ve been warned. 😉

      1. He’s funny when he does that. I love that guy’s sense of humor. 😉

  19. Music trivia Monday!

    Today is Billy Joel’s birthday.
    In 1980, his song ” You May Be Right”, shortly after its release, was covered by what novelty act? 😉

    Hint: Not Weird Al.

    1. I even searched you tube and I have no clue.

      I see that “Glee” covered it, but I don’t think that is who you mean.

      1. Good guess but nope! This was in 1980. The song was not released as a single officially which makes it harder to know about, but it is “out there” on the net. 🙂

  20. GFS brings Boston to 80 Friday. ECMWF keeps it in the 60s.
    I’ll go with door #2 Monty.

    1. I’ll go with the door clearly marked TK. 🙂
      In this case, door #2. Why am I not surprised. We should all re-read last weeks blogs. 🙂

  22. I took the trash out about an hour ago. I had on a short sleeve jersey and although it was noticeably cool, it was comfortable for sure. My equipment was reading 61 in the sun, so it was likely 58 or 59. Still, not all that bad.

    One other thing:

    There was talk of the 1977 snow event on this date. Back then
    the trees were fully foliated. Today, not even close.

    1. Beautiful and a great capture! This is one of my aims in photography, but it might be a while before I can pull this off. 🙂

    1. Bingo! Nice work. 🙂
      If you can stand the Chipmunks, that’s actually a pretty good album. 🙂

  25. Joshua. I couldn’t sit out very long yesterday at this time. Even with the sun on the deck. I agree that today is more comfortable. There is a coolness to the wind but with an uncharacteristic light jacket, I’ll be out for a while before dinner.

  26. Peter B. is getting a little worried about future drought here in SNE. I have been for a while myself. We’re sitting JUST above abnormally dry, and with the upcoming pattern, I suspect we’ll see more “yellow areas” showing up on the Drought Monitor map within the next couple weeks.

  27. For Boston & immediate metro area, NWS thinks only one day will reach or exceed 80 now based on their current forecast. That would be Saturday.

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