Tuesday May 10 2022 Forecast (7:31AM)

29 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 10-14)

For now we hold onto the air flow from the ocean with low pressure to the south and high pressure to the north. Eventually this changes as the high to the north, while weakening, slips down over our region with much lighter wind Thursday and Friday, still allowing coastal sea breezes but allowing the region to warm up, especially away from the coast. Once we get to Saturday we’ll have a more regionwide southwesterly air flow that warms more of the region except where that wind still crosses water before reaching land. It looks like this 5 day period will continue our dry spell too.

TODAY: Cape Cod clouds at times, sunshine elsewhere. Highs 56-63, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH gusting over 20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 46-53. Wind E to SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 57-64, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH, a few higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 46-53. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65 coastal plain, 66-73 interior. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 48-55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75 coast, 76-83 inland, but may turn cooler in any coastal areas in the afternoon. Wind variable to W up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes possible.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 77-84 except cooler coastal areas especially South Coast and Cape Cod. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 15-19)

Hanging onto the warm air but still watch the coast for cooling on May 15, but it should be fair with just some clouds at times. Cold front from the west moves through May 16 with a shower threat, but still warm temperatures. Fair, cooler weather as Canadian high pressure arrives toward the middle of next week, based on current expected timing.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 20-24)

Guidance remains in waffle mode between weak zonal flow and a weak blocking pattern. We’ll likely be on the fence between the 2 with no strong anomalies in temperature but vulnerable to maritime influences especially coast, and a continuation of the trend of below normal precipitation.

29 thoughts on “Tuesday May 10 2022 Forecast (7:31AM)”

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    We can complain about the cool weather and the on shore winds, BUT it has been primarily Sunny. We all know what it could be, so the sun is a blessing.

  6. Thank you, TK.

    JPD is right. Lots of sun this spring. Too dry, to be sure. But, it’s good to have the sun around. Furthermore, the next 3 months will be the quarter of the year with the most sunlight hours. While I’m not a fan of summer (anymore; I loved it as a child) I do like the long days.

  8. According to the AccuWeather.com met on WBZ radio, today is first day of “Solar Summer”.

    1. There are almost as many varieties of summer as there are varieties of Special K cereal. 😉

  9. I listen to 162.550 Worcester weather on my hand-held amateur radio. Better bundle up, people. Forecast for wind-chill for today is 129 degrees below!!!

    3. I think that has been the wind-chill in Marshfield last weekend and early this week. 🙂 🙂 🙂

  10. I’m going to give Logan one shot at 80° on Saturday. They may even be thwarted on that day.

    I will be flabbergasted if they hit 80 any other days around that.

    Also, for tomorrow, there are a lot of advertisements of warmer weather but I think areas from Boston southward may actually end up cooler tomorrow then they are today.

    1. Of course. From March through May the average wind
      direction at Logan MUST BE EAST or a variant of EAST!

  12. Nantucket received .15 of an inch of rain this morning with the most recent spoke of energy rotating around the low to our south.

  13. This has been a good few days for aiding our June weather.

    There’s been a big surge of warmth across Hudson and James Bay, thinning some of the ice cover and the snow cover has receded north by a couple hundred miles in eastern
    Canada.

    We haven’t yet made much progress on our 3rd cold source region …… the ocean ……. but hopefully soon.

    1. And here you have a map of snow cover to our north – well, 650 plus miles to our north. https://weather.us/model-charts/german/newfoundland-and-labrador/snow-depth.html

      The snow does completely melt away in June in Labrador. That’s when black fly season starts. It’s very nasty up there. Their summers are short, but bountiful in terms of flowers and ultimately harvest in late August. 80F degree days do happen inland. Along the coast, 80F is very rare. Along the coast, clouds and cool temperatures feature prominently all summer, while the interior often has abundant sunshine, especially in July and early August. Frost returns by late August/early September, with snows to follow by late September/early October. Fall is actually shorter than summer. It’s a very long winter up there.

    2. Western North Atlantic’s temps have been on a slow cooling trend, relative to long term averages, recently, including the New England Coast and especially areas to the south.

  14. The latest GFS keeps Boston in the 50s Thursday and 60s Friday, finally gets them to 70+ Saturday / Sunday. ECMWF is similar, and while the GFS gives them a run at 80 briefly on Saturday, both models generally say NO to 80+ there this weekend.

    1. I may have asked this before, but are we trending towards a cooler than normal summer?

      I don’t recall still wearing my winter coat in May, not even in 1977…nor 2009 for that matter. I have always put it away at some point in April.

      Of course I wish I had it on May 18, 2002. 😉

      1. As you know, even deck sitting in snow, I don’t wear a winter coat. But I have been wearing a light weight coat when I sit out this week…. Very un-Vicki like

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