DAYS 1-5 (MAY 31 – JUNE 4)
A transition from the feel of summer to the feel of earlier spring takes place today as we see a strong back-door cold front, which has already reached the NH Seacoast as of 7 a.m., power its way southwestward across the WHW forecast area during the morning and early afternoon today, and by the end of the day the entire region will be immersed in a maritime polar air mass. After this, the boundary sits just to our southwest while a weak disturbance passes by tonight from northwest to southeast, a stronger one follows it up later Wednesday, and yet another comes along Thursday night into Friday. This points to an unsettled first 3 days of June for our region, with the wettest periods most likely being Wednesday PM & Friday AM, leaving a good part of Thursday rain-free – however don’t expect much sun at all, other than some limited amounts today. Finally by Saturday, a stronger push of dry air from eastern Canada will clear us out to start the weekend.
TODAY: Partial sun, then mostly cloudy. Chance of drizzle eastern coastal areas by late-day. Highs 68-75 NH Seacoast and Cape Ann / Cape Cod MA and 75-82 elsewhere this morning, falling thereafter to 56-63 by late-day. Wind shifting to NE 5-15 MPH with higher gusts from northeast to southwest across the region this morning after starting out W up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of drizzle and fog, especially near the coast. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms possible, mainly evening. Lows 51-58. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible near the coast early.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Areas of drizzle and fog, especially near the coast. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, mainly late afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Patchy drizzle/fog. Lows 51-58. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 62-69, coolest South Coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, especially overnight. Patchy fog. Lows 55-62. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, favoring the morning and midday. Patchy fog. Highs 63-70, coolest coast. Wind variable to N up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouds break evening. Clearing overnight. Patchy fog early. Lows 52-59. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 71-78. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 5-9)
High pressure should continue a fair weather weekend through June 5. Potential unsettled period June 6-8 with a frontal boundary nearby. Additionally, during this time we’ll likely be watching a low pressure area, originally of tropical origin but transitioning or transitioned to post-tropical, passing to our south without impact other than stirred up ocean waves, but its worth watching with with normal uncertainly this far out. High pressure should return with fair weather to end this period June 9.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 10-14)
A weak westerly flow should be the dominant pattern and we may find ourselves near a boundary between cool air to the north and warmer and more humid air to the south. This could increase chances of periodic shower activity but at this point it doesn’t look like a change to a wet pattern. No extremes of temperature expected into mid June.
Thanks TK !
Bd front has passed Portland and Portsmouth. Won’t be long now.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Logan is up to 81 already.
Makes me wonder how hot it would have been without the bdf. And how high will logan go before frontal passage?
That bdf will feel mighty good. It feels much more humid compared to yesterday.
Thanks TK.
An April-like feel to start June? It will be interesting how the new month will turn out with temperature and precipitation.
Thanks TK.
front has passed Beverly and looks like it is now passing Logan where it is 82, but not for long. btw, Beverly is at 61.
Thank you, TK.
Logan now 62!!!
20 degrees in about 10 minutes! Pretty amazing
Still 81 here, but I am expecting it to plummet momentarily. 🙂
Wow !! Neat !!
Big gust if wind! I suspect it is the BDF!
Monitoring temperature. Let’s see how fast it falls.
Looks like the wind report at ob time was sustained at 25, gusting to 33.
Wonder what it’s like for those few planes taking off/landing at that moment. You think your taking off into the wind, then suddenly it’s a tail wind.
I can Smell that the front is through. Change of air mass.
Sensor beginning to fall. Down to 79 and picking up steam. 🙂
Thank you TK
My son and daughter-in-law wandered not far from Mark and especially JJ’s area this past weekend. Southern Berkshires, Northern CT, Hudson River Valley
https://imgur.com/a/C7djmWY
What a beautiful area
I’m in Uxbridge this week with my older daughter, so I’m not as familiar with weather signs.
It’s currently 78 with 65 DP. Same temp in south Sutton with 68 DP
Very light breeze here
Down to 72 here.
Down to 69
BDF has passed Bedford, MA
82F to 63F in marshfield in last 20 minutes.
Thanks, TK.
We enjoyed yesterday morning at Elm Bank and midday in South Natick at the falls. What a great spot, and a gorgeous day!
I’ve always loved that area. What a perfect day for you.
Once upon a few days ago, the GFS was touting today and the first few days of June as hot ones for Boston. The verification scores I posted yesterday say it all.
BDF has passed Norwood.
Down to 68 here.
Thanks, TK.
Temp. was 80 degrees about 20 mins. ago. Then wind picked up and what looked like a dust storm moved in. Our windows were open. I suspect that dust was just pollen and it has lightly covered everything near open windows. Temp. down to 73 degrees. I don’t recall ever seeing anything like that before. It covered a big area as I could see it to the west, too.
Wind picked up here also. I thought someone was burning. I can’t tell if it is dust or mist or fog. It is at ground level.
Temp is still 84 in both uxbridge and south Sutton
It’s pollen
Disgusting but I’m surprised I had not thought of that. Thanks SSK
Yup pollen it’s happening everywhere, gross is what it is !!!!
It may be “gross”, but the existence of pollen allows our own.
It may be “gross”, but the existence of pollen allows our own.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
Look hard in north-central Mass and I think the front is visible with a very thin band of clouds moving WSW
64 here in JP.
The ONLY good thing I can say is that it is SUNNY without the crapbag stratus clouds.
Before I left for work this morning, I shut all my “east” facing windows. When I get home, I’ll probably shut the rest of them. I’ll see, depending on how chilly the house feels.
TBD: Will I need to turn the heat back on temporarily?
I’ll be doing just the opposite. AC has been running here in sw until 3 today. But with temperatures dipping into the low and mid 50’s tonight all windows will be opening.
Temp and DP dropping here
Thanks, TK…
Terry has written a blurb on this morning’s “Pollen Storm” upon the arrival of the BDF:
https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/pollen-storm-boston-temperature-drop/
https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOiJsb2NhbCIsImNlbnRlciI6Wy03MS45OTQsNDIuMTEzXSwiem9vbSI6OCwiZmlsdGVyIjoiV1NSLTg4RCIsImxheWVyIjoiYnJlZl9yYXciLCJzdGF0aW9uIjoiS0JPWCIsInRyYW5zcGFyZW50Ijp0cnVlLCJhbGVydHNPdmVybGF5Ijp0cnVlLCJzdGF0aW9uSWNvbnNPdmVybGF5Ijp0cnVlfSwiYmFzZSI6InN0YW5kYXJkIiwiY291bnR5IjpmYWxzZSwiY3dhIjpmYWxzZSwic3RhdGUiOmZhbHNlLCJtZW51Ijp0cnVlLCJzaG9ydEZ1c2VkT25seSI6dHJ1ZX0%3D#/
also visible on radar, if the link works. 🙂
Is that pollen or ground clutter?
Interesting comment re the why from Pete
https://twitter.com/petenbcboston/status/1531667846459232262?s=21&t=XIFiPM73M0SVGg1bo-gEqQ
My annual start of hurricane season blog is now up:
https://stormhq.blog/2022/05/31/hurricane-season-is-here/
It includes updated stats to show exactly how overdue we are for a direct hit from a hurricane.
Thanks! Great stuff!
We don’t get to see “pollen fronts” too often because having a strong back door front has to line up right with about a 10-day period when pine pollen production is at its maximum. Today was one of those times. 🙂
As for the amount of pine pollen this year, it’s about normal, and right on schedule too.
Heavy rains and mud slides lead to more than 100 deaths in Northeast Brazil: https://twitter.com/BBCWorld/status/1531726991887671299
This day in weather history goes back to 1998
https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/1531621526008635393
It is hard to believe but tomorrow will be the 11 year anniversary of the Springfield tornado.
Absolutely unbelievable that it was eleven years ago.
Thank you, JJ, as always for your in weather history posts
I love love love tonight’s weather. Sadly, I won’t open windows. Everything is yellow ….a deep layer of yellow.
Otherwise, Olive, I’d be opening mine also. Olive…what is sw?
I am still wondering what this will become.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
It will become “Alex”. That Gulf is too warm to not develop a named tropical system.
Oh phew. I thought you had said Alice.
I thought I saw some cumulus clouds above the low stratus a bit ago.
Showers/storms getting closer …….
Most are East of me I think but some lightning in this area
And west of us, but I can hear the thunder increasing in frequency.
Flew by here. Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Thanks TK. Which day did you post the model verification info on?
I think it was the end of the comments on Sunday’s update.
Thanks. If I remember last year the Euro performed better in the warmer months and the GFS didn’t but then the GFS did better in late fall and winter.
I’d have to check but that’s probably right.
Somebody east of here is getting quite a light show. Maybe norfolk area?
What the heck is happening from Framingham to Medfield and 8 to Norfolk. What I am seeing and hearing in Sutton has to be from there. It it seems too far away?? Or the radar isn’t showing something.
Westwood is getting hit with a strong thunderstorm and a nice drink of water finally after a mostly sunny day. My kind of weather.
Ahhhh that’s what I’m seeing. What amazes me is I can hear some of it Also. Nice to see you arod. I hope all is well
Looks to have settled over that way. The heat lightning has stopped 😉 😉 😉