Wednesday June 1 2022 Forecast (7:26AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 1-5)

An unsettled and cooler than normal start to June the next few days as we sit on the cooler side of a boundary that came through as a back-door cold front Tuesday. Disturbances are traveling northwest to southeast across the Northeast in a northwesterly air flow aloft while we hold onto a variable but generally onshore maritime flow at the surface. These disturbances will bring us the chance of showers and thunderstorms from time to time, activity favoring this afternoon and evening. A bit of a shift in the upper wind pattern takes a more west-to-east moving disturbance our way via the Great Lakes Thursday night and Friday morning with additional wet weather. Any rain we get we can use as we have been running rather dry. Improvement comes just in time for the first weekend of the month, and while it definitely isn’t going to feel like mid summer as it’ll be a bit cool, the air, with a fair amount of sun and low humidity both days, will feel nice. Upper level low pressure not too far away Saturday will help trigger some diurnal cloud development but any showers will stay up across Maine. Sunday, we may see the advance of some high clouds from warming aloft.

TODAY: Cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs 55-62, coolest in coastal areas. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms evening. Patchy fog. Lows 51-58. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 61-68, coolest in coastal areas. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Lows 55-62. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with showers as well as areas of fog and drizzle morning. Breaking clouds afternoon. Highs 63-70, coolest coast. Wind variable to N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Gradual clearing. Fog patches evening. Lows 50-57. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 71-78. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy early, then clearing. Lows 51-58. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 71-78, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 6-10)

Two troughs to move through the Northeast bring a couple episodes of unsettled weather during this period with temperatures near to below normal. Too early for details / timing of each system and its products.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 11-15)

Overall weak westerly flow pattern should bring fair weather for the June 11-12 weekend based on current timing, then additional unsettled weather thereafter.

26 thoughts on “Wednesday June 1 2022 Forecast (7:26AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.
    Someone made an outstanding forecast for last evening.
    Well done, whoever that was. 🙂

    1. I don’t see much in SW NH….and I may be very wrong that is where you said you live. I did see an area of rain fox through that area just about as you posted

  8. Thanks, TK

    The blob moving NW/SE now seems to be close to the track the storms took last night. Please send some rain our this way. 🙂

  10. So, I think the GFS has had runs recently with a rex block in Canada and a resulting trof in eastern Canada and a cool to mild seasonable to slightly below average temp pattern in the northeast right into mid June.

    Many times, I think, as time passes by, subsequent GFS runs end up retrograding the pattern further west than originally projected.

    Wonder if this is starting to happen on today’s 12z run as at the mid range, around hr 186, the trof looks further west and the east coast ridge looks a bit more stout.

    1. It’ll be a while before I trust that model, but I will say that today’s 12z operational is probably the first run in quite a long time that I feel has an actual handle on the pattern…….

      For days on end the things it was spitting out reminded me of a baby’s bib after their first spoon feed…………………

  12. I’d like to report absolutely no rain here. I d9 see something to,the west and would appreciate it if it didn’t slip south of here

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