Sunday June 5 2022 Forecast (8:36AM)

40 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 5-9)

High pressure brings fair and seasonably mild June weather to us today and Monday, even as the high slips off to the east later Monday. By Tuesday, the high’s departure is enough to allow clouds and eventual showers in from the west as a trough sends low pressure and a frontal system our way, but we will probably get through a fair amount of the day without any rain, based on current timing. The trough’s passage will be rather slow, so unsettled weather will continue into midweek, culminating with a possible heavier batch of showers later Wednesday / early Thursday as a low pressure wave passes through. Drier air should return by later Thursday.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 71-78, coolest coast. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH but some light coastal sea breezes midday-afternoon.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 72-79, coolest South Coast. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers, especially later in the day. Highs 73-80, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 57-64. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring the morning. Highs 72-79. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy with showers likely in the morning. Sun/cloud mix afternoon. Highs 70-77. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming W 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 10-14)

A weak westerly flow continues. High pressure should bring fair weather to start and end the period with best chance of unsettled weather mid period. Temperatures near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 15-19)

Continued generally weak westerly flow pattern with mean trough position not too far to our west which sends a few disturbances through the region, producing shower threats. Still holding off on the idea of a switch to East Coast ridge later in the period, but watching for that possible pattern shift.

40 thoughts on “Sunday June 5 2022 Forecast (8:36AM)”

  7. Thanks TK.

    Another Top-10 day setting up. If only we could keep these going into the summer, or at least for the rest of this month. 🙂

    1. Next 10-14 day, I think you have your wish.

      With some kind of 500 mb high pressure up near Davis Strait, Greenland vicinity, that then encourages 500 mb low pressure near mid/southern Hudson Bay which for us, sets up a jet stream flow that features Canadian airmasses and low humidity.

      Some signal in the very long range, that 500 mb lower pressure will return to the high latitudes, which should allow the mid-latitude jet stream to move further north, with associated warmer weather and bouts of humidity.

      But probably not til the solstice and thereafter.

      1. Thanks Tom. I believe July and August are our hottest months on average anyway. It has to come sooner or later, unfortunately.

        When the Celtics were in the Finals vs. Lakers, the June heat was absolutely horrific. I forget which year specifically in the 1980s.

        Was it in 1984?

          1. Come to think of it, the day my mother graduated from BHCC in 1987 was a very hot day as well. It was outside of course.

            Perhaps the entire 1980s decade was just hot overall? Maybe TK can speak to that.

            1. Hmmmmm. We have hot days in summer of course, but there was another brutal summer that I remember in the 1980’s……could it have been 88? Only reason I recall is we have a picture of Mac in a small kiddie pool with the three kids. The next summer we joined Framingham CC…golf for Mac and swimming for the kids and me. I think that was the year I turned 40.

  9. 1984 NBA Finals game 5. It was in the low-mid 90s outside and upper 90s inside the Garden.

    The other one I recall is the 1988 Bruins vs Oilers Stanley Cup Finals game. It was warm, very humid and both teams had to skate around their defensive end to try to stir the air to help with the fog that had formed above the ice. Then, the power failed and they played the game in Edmonton.

  10. 1980s summers…

    1980 was hot.
    1981 & 1982 were not particularly scorching, but 1982 was a very humid summer, one of the most humid that I can recall.
    1983 was scorching hot, and while we had our bouts of heat periodically and rather frequently, the stand-out was the brutally hot September. That summer set some statistics that have not been approached, such as the # of 90+ days at Logan.
    1984 was a fairly warm summer overall, but less sunny than the previous.
    1985’s sticks in my memory as being a “normal” summer.
    1986, the heat never arrived. It was cool overall, but this summer was notable for the NW flow tornado outbreak in August.
    1987 was typically warm but more up & down.
    1988 was brutally hot, with a particularly long stretch of unrelenting heat during the first half of August, but it ended early, at the end of the day on August 15, when a tornado watch was issued but only a dying line of showers/storms moved through, breaking the heat, which never really returned.
    1989 was a fairly warm summer, but nowhere near 1988 levels.

    1. Thanks, TK. Amazingly, my memory didn’t fail me. The first week of June 1984 was brutal also.

  11. TK whats your thoughts on CSU’s Atlantic hurricane season forecast and the latest ECMWF forecast? It looks insane but I have a hard time not trusting it as it has done decently or has under done it since 2014.

    1. Active, but short of “insane”. 🙂
      Conditions lean toward an active season. However, a bit of a cooling trend in the western Atlantic noted lately which may have a slight mitigating effect for East Coast storm threats, if it holds.

      Caribbean & Gulf of Mexico are hotter spots, literally and figuratively.

  12. Thanks TK.

    Gorgeous day here at the softball field in Windsor CT. Sun, wispy cirrus clouds, temps in the upper 70s and a nice breeze. Definitely a top 10 day!

    Vicki – now the we are in June and the snow season is officially over, I think we should do a check on the snow contest guesses and declare a victor!

    1. Thanks for the reminder. I won’t have my computerj til Tuesday but think the final list is on the contest test page

          1. And only a tenth of an inch off! Blind luck. Thanks go to that big storm at the end of January for pushing Boston above normal 🙂

    1. It won’t be long until the trails start filling up with snow. Well, about 145 days, but who’s counting.

  18. I’m a bit gutted by the news of Shelby Scott’s passing. She was a force of nature, if you will, a trailblazer. May there be many storms for her to report on up in heaven. And may the locals up there measure the accumulating snow in “Shelbys.” RIP, Shelby.

    1. What a special comment. Thank you, Joshua.

      I can honestly say that I believe many will think of Shelby for years of storms to come.

  19. NHC continues advisories on TS Alex, but in the name of correct information, Alex has been non-tropical for several hours already. Proper analysis clearly shows this and the system has fronts. Tropical systems do not have fronts.

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