Monday June 6 2022 Forecast (7:03AM)

19 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 6-10)

This work week (Monday-Friday) will feature unsettled weather in the middle book-ended by fair weather. We start with high pressure in control as it slides from over our region to offshore today into Tuesday with fair weather. A frontal system approaches later Tuesday sending in the clouds and eventually a round of showers Tuesday evening into early Wednesday. This front passes through and enough dry air gets in to shut off the showers for a time, but the front doesn’t get far, and a wave of low pressure traveling along it will bring us a round of rainfall Wednesday night into Thursday morning before a stronger push of dry air clears us out later Thursday. This sets up the fair and dry weather for Friday as high pressure moves in.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 73-80, coolest South Coast. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 52-59. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of showers by evening, favoring eastern CT, central MA, and southwestern NH. Highs 74-81, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 56-63. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring the morning. Highs 68-75. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 58-65. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy with showers likely in the morning. Sun/cloud mix afternoon. Highs 70-77. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming NW.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 71-78, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 11-15)

Uncertainty in the forecast for the June 11-12 weekend. Most of our guidance has low pressure making a run at the region, but the timing varies, and this is not unusual to see on various models beyond a few days. Suffice it to say we can expect a period of unsettled weather at some time this weekend as it stands now, but it may be only for a number of hours and I’m not quite sure what the timing is quite yet. Re-evaluation next update. Trend is for fair weather early the following week and maybe some unsettled weather by the very end of the 6-10 day period. Temperatures near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 16-20)

Continuing the idea of a weak westerly flow but mean trough position to our west by a short distance, sending minor disturbances and a couple shower chances. Temperatures mostly near normal though a bit variable – no extremes expected.

19 thoughts on “Monday June 6 2022 Forecast (7:03AM)”

  9. Judging by the obs, this may be the best weather day of the warm season so far.

    Pleasantly warm, low humidity, lots of sun and a light breeze.

    Looking forward to 2:30pm and getting outside.

    1. For me, it will be 3:00 p.m. to getting outside. Too many of these Top-10 days are going to spoil us. 🙂

  10. These are beautiful summer days. We’ve been spoiled with lots of sun all year – 2022. This isn’t just a recent phenomenon.

    It is quite dry. So do take along sufficient water to hydrate if doing outdoor exercising. I keep forgetting and I pay for it by becoming dehydrated.

  11. Good afternoon,

    Sorry, I have been zooed out at work! Barely a moment to breath.

    Thank you TK.

    BEAUTIFUL DAY!!!

  12. I gots me this meteorological feeling that the weekend system is gonna be a miss to the south.

    1. If this happens coastal areas will still likely see an onshore breeze keeping temperatures relatively cool, correct?

      1. Depends on the track of the system. There has been some guidance that has taken a low center west of our area. Other guidance has taken it over or just to the south. And still other guidance has indicated a grazing.

  13. TK, is today’s 00z GFS an example of convective feedback?

    Seems like GFS went haywire again for the Thursday morning low.

    Thanks !

    1. It’s just haywire, in general. I don’t trust it much yet at any time range.

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