Wet Night, Wild Winds Saturday

46 Comments

6:47PM

Low pressure will continue to cross New England tonight then rapidly deepen as it departs into eastern Canada this weekend. Here in southern New England it will be warm enough for mainly rain to occur this evening, with some pockets of heavier rain and even some thunder possible. Mixed precipitation and snow, including some heavier snow for the mountains of northern New England, will take place. All of this will be heading out late tonight and early tomorrow, replaced by strong and gusty winds. Wind gusts around and possibly over 50 MPH on Saturday may be enough to cause damage and power outages in some locations. Though it will still be windy into Sunday, winds will be down some from Saturday. Temperatures will be mild Saturday though strong winds will make 40s feel like 30s. Seasonable chill is likely Sunday.

It still looks like a quiet start to next week with moderating temperatures, and unsettled weather heading in as we reach the midweek period. More on that as we get closer to it.

Forecast for Eastern MA, southern NH, and RI…

TONIGHT: Overcast with areas of fog and periods of rain with a chance of thunderstorms, ending by midnight with breaking clouds following. Low 34-39. Wind NE-E under 10 MPH, shifting around to SW then increasing to 20-30 MPH gusting 40-50 MPH late.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. High 41-46. Wind W 25-35 MPH with gusts 45-55 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Low 25-30. Wind W 20-30 MPH with gusts 40-50 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. High 36-41. Wind WNW 15-25 MPH with gusts 30-40 MPH through midday, diminishing slowly in the afternoon.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 19. High 41.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 28. High 46.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. PM light mix/rain. Low 29. High 40.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 33. High 44.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 22. High 42.

46 thoughts on “Wet Night, Wild Winds Saturday”

  2. Thanks TK.

    Dates for my trip are 3-8-3-18, I will be Rangoon, Mandalay and Inle lake (I think a little cooler just based on elevation). It appears to my untrained eye unseasonably hot. I am more concerned with rain more than anything. Thanks again !!

  3. Thanks TK. I have my battery powered operated radio and flashlight ready just in case the power goes out. After losing power with Irene and the Pre Halloween Noreaster I hope its a long time before I experience another power outage.

    1. No no. Losing power is an adventure. I figure being able to see wind speed and losing power all at once would be the cats meow. Hopefully in this house things will happen in threes. Irene October and Feb 25 – hehe

  4. I didn’t mind losing power after Irene since the weather was warm. With the Pre Halloween Noreaster the nights were on the chilly side and my place after two days got close to 50 degrees. Thankfully two days later the power came back.

    1. Darn. No fireplace? Sorry. Can’t help but wish for power out. In hindsight should have brought in wood before it rained. Well darn again. Except wind was equally high in Jan with no outages that I remember so would be surprised (pleased) if we lost it now

    1. Hmmm…is that really Henry or just another AccuWeather employee? I am not convinced because I would expect Henry to do a snow dance (i.e. make a complete fool of himself in front of his co-workers) a lot longer than 8 seconds, lol. 😉

      Casual Friday?? 🙂

  8. High Wind Warnings trimmed back across SNE. Those temps are going to feel colder thanks to those gusty winds today.
    Things get interesting around mid week but I am thinking more rain than wintry precipitation right now. Plenty of time for that to change but the trend this winter has been for the warmer solution and the trend is your friend.

  10. 4.1 inches of snow all the way south to Laconia, NH…much further south than I thought. Looks like White Mtn Region of NH did well………I know about 9pm last night, every ob from that region was reporting either moderate or heavy snow.

  11. Hello 00z EURO for next week, just blasts us with snow.
    Here is NWS from Taunton
    WED THRU THU…THIS MAY TURN OUT TO BE A FAIRLY COMPLICATED SCENARIO
    WITH QUASISTATIONARY FRONT NEAR SOUTH COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND
    POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF SFC LOW CENTERS MOVING ALONG IT. ECMWF HAS A
    COLDER THERMAL PROFILE THAN THE GFS. BLENDED THICKNESSES BETWEEN THE
    GFS AND ECMWF MODELS WITH TILT TOWARD THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF.
    THIS COULD POTENTIALLY BE A CHALLENGING PTYPE SCENARIO WITH SNOW
    NORTH AND RAIN SOUTH WITH MIXED IN BETWEEN. MOST OF
    AREA…HOWEVER…MAY CHANGE TO SNOW BY LATE THU OR THU NIGHT BEFORE
    ENDING WITH SFC LOW PROBABLY STRENGTHENING SE OF ACK. HAVE ALSO
    BLENDED TIMING BETWEEN THE 00Z ECMWF AND THE 00Z GFS. THIS EVENT IS
    FAR ENOUGH OUT WITH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO
    QPF…THERMAL PROFILES…AND TIMING. THE LARGE SCALE TRENDS WOULD
    POINT TO AT LEAST SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

    1. Yes…and Thursday is March 1st…..meteorological spring….just the logical time for winter to begin…..only in New England.

  13. Hey Matt…. Good call yesterday when you said South Carolina would see tornadoes.
    The mid week storm system is something to keep an eye on but I would not get that excited for it at this time considering how this winter has gone. Hopefully this will be the one to break the trend.

    1. I was thinking it must be howling down your way Tom…….sniff, I miss being there 🙁 Windy here but not as high a wind as we’ve seen other times this winter. Steady between 4-10 mph. Have yet to have a gust over 12

      1. It is…..according to the local airport ob, the wind is sustained in the 15 to 20 mph range, gusting to about 30 mph. Every once in a while, there’s a gust that you can hear and the barrels and such out back rumble around.

  16. The Wed-Thurs timeframe and next weekend have wintry potential but the +NAO, +AO and -PNA is going to be really difficult to overcome. So far I see no letup in that department anytime soon. Even Henry Margusity has somewhat given up…lately he only mentions the immediate future. He doesn’t even try to speculate long range for any east coast storms anymore. 🙁

    But…let’s see what happens mid-week and beyond! 🙂

    1. Hey Philip…. This is one of the reasons I am not excited about wintry precipitation next week due to the positive NAO
      and negative PNA. I think this will be mostly rain with maybe some wintry precipitation at the onset for parts of the interior.
      I hope I am wrong with this.

  17. Very happy for ski country. I thought earlier this week they would fare well from this storm. The dynamics looked increasingly good as the week progressed. And it looks like a repeat performance coming up midweek. My daughter emailed me last night at 11pm to say “white-out conditions at the lodge [AMC Highland Center, which is on the western slopes of the Presidentials].” Needless to say, she said she’s “lovin’ it.” I think they’ll get additional snowfall today and tomorrow, a few more inches, and then on Monday evening, and then a larger storm Wednesday into Thursday.

    I do not see much in the way of snow in the Boston area the coming days and weeks, but at least there’s a return to normalcy up north. When we look long range we could see the mountains get more snow over the coming 2 weeks than they have all winter combined.

    1. Joshua – will pass that info to my son – thank you and your daughter for sharing it. Great news for that area!

      1. Nice !! Even had snow down to Laconia. Would be nice to build a base to have snow last into late March. I’d think that’s the best time of the season to ski and cross country ski during the longer, brighter days of late winter/early spring.

        1. True, very true. As they say up north, fill up the `bowl’ with snow in February and March at Tuckerman’s so that the real skiers (myself not included) can trudge up the mountain the old-fashioned way and barrel down the Ravine once they get to the ridge.

      2. Yes, I think when we have children we sort of enjoy vicariously. I’m happy because she’s (my daughter) happy, even though I’m not experiencing what she’s experiencing.

    2. Joshua…any chance that NNE could throw us a (snow) bone for us folks here in SNE in the coming days or weeks before spring? 🙂

      1. Yes, I am actually more a little more bullish on snow chances now than I have been in many weeks. I actually do see a slight and subtle pattern shift. Not much. But, I doubt whether we’ll see abnormally high temperatures in the near future. Sure, 50 is possible next week, but I’m highly doubtful we actually reach 50 for awhile. Also, note a change on Wednesdays, which does represent a real break in the trend. This week we’re probably going to see cold air filter in with the coming storm system on Wednesday. That’s something that has not happened on Wednesday at all for months and months. In addition, just the fact that we’re getting precipitation and lows that are trekking close to us and over us makes a snowstorm a possibility, especially as marginally cold air is still in our vicinity.

      1. Agree with you JJ. I think that SNE will not see major snows with the current conditions. However, CNE and NNE is a different story, and even SNE could see some minor to moderate events.

  19. Whoa! We just had a gust of wind in Brighton that literally shook my sunroom! If this continues, I wouldn’t be surprised if the NWS upgrades the advisory to a warning… at least in the Boston area. Hold on to your hats today!

  20. All last night the news was talking about strong winds. To my surprise I am not seeing that here in Pembroke, we have some flakes falling though, extream minor. Is the wind going to pick up here does anybody know.

  21. Is it me or has anyone else noticed that this winter most Saturdays are relatively mild and Sundays are always bone chilling cold? I sense a definite pattern that never fails to verify.

  22. I said this a few weeks ago that its seems when we get this short blasts of cold air they seem to be on the weekends.
    Will see what the 12z runs have to say. I am thinking they will show a warm solution but I am hoping I am wrong.

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