Friday June 10 2022 Forecast (7:26AM)

13 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 10-14)

Heading into the middle of June now – many people think summer, but we’re still in the days of late spring, and our pattern will reflect that in the coming days. First, after the fanfare of the last couple days we get to enjoy a couple quieter days as high pressure slides across the region today into Saturday with fair weather. Abundant sun will shine today but we’ll have an active breeze between the high center to the southwest and low pressure in eastern Canada. The wind will be much lighter but the sun will be more limited Saturday as we see a lot more high cloudiness from a disheveled disturbance trying to get its act together as it passes well to our south and the remnants of a disturbance try to push in from the southwest. We’re going to see some unsettled weather return Sunday into Monday as an upper level low pressure area and associated surface disturbance slides west to east across the northeastern US. Clouds become dominant Sunday, though we may still sneak some sunshine in especially in the morning. The greatest chance of shower activity will be Sunday evening and Sunday night, with some lingering activity and additional pop up showers Monday. Thunderstorms may join the party on a couple of occasions – most likely Sunday night and again in a more isolated nature Monday. Hard to pin-point this particular occurrence and it’ll be something we have to watch. Canadian high pressure builds in behind this disturbance Tuesday with fair weather but on the cooler and breezy side as well.

TODAY: Sunshine with passing late morning and afternoon fair-weather clouds. Highs 75-82. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind W diminishing to under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 59-66. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers, especially late day. Highs 75-82. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows 60-67. Wind S to variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 75-82. Wind variable to W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 71-78. Wind NW-N 5-15 MPH and gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 15-19)

High pressure should bring fair, mild, and dry weather early in the period. Mid-period unsettled weather is possible with a low pressure and frontal system pushing through from west to east. High pressure would return later in the period with fair weather again in an overall west-to-east flow pattern.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 20-24)

As we get to the final days of spring and first days of summer, I’m continuing to look for hints of a shift in the pattern to more dominant high pressure to our south which would result in a warmer pattern. Reluctant to dive into this idea still as there are still hints of some cool Canadian high pressure areas wanting to get into the act, so leaning toward a more up-and-down temperature pattern with short-lived unsettled episodes during air mass transitions, obviously impossible to time specifically so far in advance.

13 thoughts on “Friday June 10 2022 Forecast (7:26AM)”

  6. Thanks TK.

    Hopefully we will continue to get more frequent rain events, as long as they occur overnights. It appears our current “mini” drought is over for now. The next drought monitor map “should” be clear for our area with no more colors.

    If I heard correctly, the next updated map won’t come out until next Tuesday.

    1. We have not had much rain. The other night was 1.20 but the ground is still solidly dry.

      Yesterday There were a half dozen birds playing in and drinking from the tiny bit of water collected in the trampoline skirt.

    2. That event was not even in the ballpark of closeness to ending the light to moderate drought. The next map will show little change, if any.

      0.25 to 1.50 inch over a few hours, most of which runs off, isn’t going to really do anything. Take it from an ag met who used to work with a hydrologic expert. 😉 We will need several rain events that are not like yesterday’s, and a more persistent pattern of regular rainfall for quite some time to reverse it.

      Also, having them overnight versus daytime is no additional benefit.

      1. Our lawn feels like straw and it came in full. But it will return. It hurts to walk on with bare feet. And we have been watering early am. I’m not sure it is worth the $$.

        I think philip wants rain at night for commute reasons which I get. I believe a good deal of his commute is outdoors.

        As for no more beneficial at night, I need help with that. I know watering early morning rather than during the day is a better option so the water isn’t burned off by the suns heat. But then when it rains, the sun is covered by clouds. Is that the reason daytime rain is as beneficial? Or is it that filling bodies of water is the focus? Or is it……?? Thanks, TK.

Comments are closed.