Saturday June 18 2022 Forecast (7:35AM)

51 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 18-22)

The final weekend of astronomical spring will feel more like one that would normally occur about midway through the season. The large scale weather pattern across the US is in the form of the classic omega block (trough West, ridge middle US, trough East – centered right here over New England. And the trough here in our neighborhood brings with it an anomalously chilly pool of cold air with it aloft and resultant very cool air mass from eastern Canada that will be with us all weekend. In fact, despite establishing itself in the early morning hours today, it will be further reinforced tonight and Sunday. We’ll see limited sunshine both today and Sunday. Fortunately (as far as outdoor plans go) the chance of wet weather is limited to just a few hours of scattered showers favoring southeastern NH and eastern MA later tonight to early Sunday morning. From an agricultural / water supply standpoint, it’s unfortunate that we won’t be able to squeeze out more rain from this pattern, because we remain in deficit and still are in need of it. Looking ahead to the early part of the coming week, we see a relaxation of the blocking pattern and the evolution of a more zonal (west to east) flow. This allows temperatures to moderate as the pattern remains fairly dry. This pattern does not allow any significant heat to build in, however.

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 65-72. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers southeastern NH and eastern MA, possibly RI as well, late evening and overnight. Lows 46-53. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Scattered showers eastern MA early. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 68-75. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 75-82. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 55-62. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 77-84. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 23-27)

A general northwesterly air flow pattern at upper levels will be the rule again. A warm front tries to press through the region early in the period, but instead of doing so cleanly, it may struggle, keeping even warmer air from arriving, and possibly bringing the opportunity for at least some rainfall. We should break into somewhat warmer and mainly fair weather toward the June 25-27 period but this is a low confidence forecast at this time.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 28 – JULY 2)

Early period cool-down via Canada, mid to late period warm-up due to more high pressure dominating. Continued low confidence on this outlook.

51 thoughts on “Saturday June 18 2022 Forecast (7:35AM)”

  2. Thanks TK.

    And thanks for continuing to keep any heat away. A “semi-2009” setup perhaps?

    1. The beach cams show a few brave souls on Cape Cod.

      A couple 95 – 100F days in July or August will be the Universe’s way to equal things out.

    2. i was just out and I would like to opine that it is comfortably cool here. Very nice, indeed!

    1. Thats nice !! I hope he had success !

      Its still nice out, but kinda cool for a beach day, unless you probably have on a light sweatshirt and stay mostly out of the water.

  19. Happy Birthday Vicki! I had no idea that June was your month. Too bad today isn’t a bit more “summer like”. Enjoy anyway!

    1. Thank you. This is my weather. A fire and s’mores will cap off the day. It might sound as if it’s my birthday celebration, but it is for my oldest grand. I don’t like to overshadow his birthday or Father’s Day and this way there will be another way when we all get together

      1. Can’t tell for sure from video, but it looks more like a nice blue fish than a striper. They are often found in the same waters.

        1. Im not sure of species or if he landed, but he will be here shortly and do want to ask. Will let you know. It is supposed to be an excellent location for successful fishing

    1. Will tomorrow even reach 60 degrees? I saw a high of 59 somewhere.

      Also happy birthday Vicki and JP Daves wife.

      1. Um, nope. Sorry my wife’s birthday was 2 months ago. 🙂
        But thank you for the kind thought. I think you meant
        SSK’s wife. 🙂

    2. Warm for your area in NH. Most I see around there are mid to upper 50s

      But I recall other birthdays this cool or cooler and many significantly hotter.

  22. Autumn has come early this year. Well, so it seems.

    Notably, the Northeast is the anomaly across the Lower 48. A very extensive dome of (blistering) heat envelops a large swath of the country. It will expand in the coming days, but due to the configuration of the jet stream it will not make it to New England.

    1. I believe the Pacific Northwest (Seattle etc.) is chilly as well.

      Is the U.S. in an Omega Block configuration?

  24. Monsoons in Bangladesh: https://twitter.com/BBCWorld/status/1538115171364790273

    Sweltering heat in France: https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20220618-france-braces-for-sweltering-weekend-amid-record-heatwave

    Of course, CNN goes for the hyperbole, but they’re right to say there is a very large heat dome in the U.S. (that won’t impact us, by the way): https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/18/weather/record-heat-midwest-southeast-weekend/index.html

    Cold start to the Australian winter continues. Lots of snow at Hotham mountain. Southeastern Australia, in particular, has seen some rather persistent cold weather. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/jun/16/australia-weather-coldest-winter-start-decades-east-coast-cold-snap-power-grid-strain

    And, atop Mt. Washington, it’s wintry, though not record cold (21F, set in 1950). I think it’ll get into the mid to upper 20s tonight, with possible snow showers on tap along with freezing drizzle. https://www.mountwashington.org/experience-the-weather/mount-washington-weather.aspx

      1. I talked to my brother earlier who said they has some snow on Washington. Very cool …..well literally I guess and well as figuratively

  26. Well, Vicki, on your birthday Nolan Gorman of the Cardinals just crushed a ball 440 feet to dead center, waaay up in the bleachers (to a section where I often used to sit in the 1970s as a kid, hoping that someone would hit it up there – which rarely happened). What’s impressive about hitting it that far is the ball got no help tonight from the weather or the wind. If anything Gorman had to hit it into the wind a bit in fairly cool air.

    It’s Paul McCartney’s birthday, too, by the way.

    1. Ha! Indeed he did I’m watching and we all cheered.

      When the Beatles came to the US, I thought I was the cats meow to share a birthday with Sir Paul.

      It is also Blake Shelton’s birthday. I am a fan of his also

  27. I cannot than’ you all enough for the birthday wishes. You all made the day extra special.

    We sat by the fire all day and just chatted while the kids ran around

  28. Earlier I wrote that the Northeast is the only cool region in the Lower 48. I was wrong. The Pacific Northwest is cool, too. More typically cool for them than the cool weather we’re getting.

  29. Anyone watching the game keep an eye for a person in the press booth where a crazed woman is knocking their announcers heads together. That’ll be me

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