Sunday June 19 2022 Forecast (8:37AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 19-23)

A Sunday morning that feels more like April than June, just a few days before the summer solstice – but that is what we have, and you can thank a cold pool sitting over there region, the eastern member of an omega block (low-high-low). We had some pretty decent coverage of rain overnight in eastern areas, where it was most needed. While this helps a little, it won’t be followed by any more beneficial rainfall any time soon, so we’ll likely remain in the “abnormally dry” to “moderate drought” in a good portion of the WHW forecast area as we move into late June. In the more immediate future, we will have a very cool day today, but the wet weather that started it off will be on its way out, so we’ll just be contending with lots of clouds and a chilly breeze. The clouds finally get out of here during tonight. On the larger scale, the blocking pattern we’re seeing now will relax somewhat and transition to more of a zonal flow pattern during the coming days. While this is ongoing the overall configuration of that pattern will still feature a ridge of high pressure in the central US and a downstream northwesterly tilt to the air flow here. The trend will be to warm up into midweek, but it will be slow. We’ll have to contend with one disturbance that will be moving along the flow but is also instrumental in trying to get the warmer air here, so for timing right now I think a shower threat will exist later on Tuesday (mostly at night). We may have a bit of a set-back in temperature around Thursday as the boundary gets pulled back to the southwest and a ripple of low pressure brings a little more unsettled weather for that day…

TODAY: Early showers exit eastern areas, otherwise lots of clouds and limited sun. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Decreasing clouds. Lows 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 68-75. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 75-82. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 55-62. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 77-84. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 57-64. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 24-28)

We still may see a boundary struggling to get through the region to start the period, which may begin unsettled. Leaning toward a warmer and more humid June 25-26 weekend but this may come with at least the chance of a few showers and thunderstorms. Greater chance of showers/storms around June 27 before drier/cooler air arrives late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 29 – JULY 3)

The trend for this period looks like it wants to put high pressure over to just south of New England with a warming, mostly dry pattern. But I cannot say with high confidence this is how it will turn out quite yet.

38 thoughts on “Sunday June 19 2022 Forecast (8:37AM)”

  2. Thanks, TK.

    Light snow overnight atop Mt. Washington. Currently 27F with windchill of 9F; freezing fog. It’s gotten colder in the past few hours. Impressive for June 19th.

    1. My brother told me about this last might. Perfect timing for our dad in heaven to do a bit of late spring skiing. ❤️

  3. Thank you, TK. 0.73 here. I suspect I’m among the few who do not mind a few days of this weather. Yesterday was perfect for being outside. Kids were all in and out of the pool. I do hope today clears out for dad celebrating. Retrac, I hope your family get together was special.

  7. Thanks TK.

    Happy Father’s Day! 🙂

    It would seem that we are having Mother’s Day temperatures on Father’s Day. Rather ironic, huh? 😉

  8. This morning Dave Epstein hinted at the possibility of a wet weekend through the end of the month. He was far, far from certain though.

  11. I wasn’t being sarcastic yesterday in saying we need a 95F – 100F day to even today out.

    The high so far at Logan is 60F. The average high is 77F. Perhaps by later today, Logan can get to 62F, if the instability clouds break. That would be 15F below average on the high temp.

    Well, from July 1 thru mid August, the average high is at least 80F, maxing out at 83F around July 22nd-July 23rd.

    So, if you add 15F to any day in that time frame on high temps, that’s 95F to 98F to offset today.

  12. It’s a gorgeous day here at the softball tournament in Windsor CT. A bit breezy but 100 percent sun and pushing 70F.

    Hopefully more of this sun pushes east by late afternoon.

    1. Oh my. We have not seen the sun and temp has been 62 all day. Enjoy and best luck at the tournament.

    2. Very cloudy here all day with a few sprinkles/shower the last hour. Temp has been around 60 all day. Maybe even upper 50’s.

  15. Vicki, your good luck wishes must have worked…..Bombers won the championship game in the tournament! It was a nail biter. 9-8 in extra innings!

  17. Right now, rain and 44F in Van Buren, Maine. Dips to 41F tonight and into the 30s tomorrow night. A few more nights like this the leaves will start to change.

    1. 🙂

      While seasons are shifting and Van Buren is considerably further north than Rangeley, I recall cooler nights in June there also.

    2. Haha! I saw a changed leaf today, but that was because of drought stress and some trees ditching a few leaves.

      The leaves change largely in response to sun angle. This is just a chilly June air mass. Not a lot of records going down. 😉

      We’ve actually had a mild spring overall – so this doesn’t support the idea that we continue to be cooler every spring. I’d noted that I expect a shift in that trend.

      Boston was 2 degrees above normal in March, 3 degrees above normal in April, 1.5 degrees above normal in May, and is running about 1 degree above normal so far in June. So yup, mild spring. We’ve had some cool episodes (late April, parts of May, and currently). We haven’t had much heat yet, save for that 1 spike in May just after my birthday, but it hasn’t been particularly chilly either, when you average it all together.

      1. Meanwhile, the PNW has endured a miserable Spring. Seattle had it 4th coldest and 8th wettest Spring on record. Mountains are still snow-capped in the Olympic Peninsula of Washington and all across SE Alaska, in some cases, right down to sea level.

        While we were in Skagway, we took a ride on the White Pass and Yukon Railway up to White Pass. There was still snow on the ground in patches below 2000 feet, and once we got above 2500 feet (White Pass is at 2864 feet), the snow depth was still several feet in most spots along the tracks.

        Glacier Bay had snow all the way down to sea level in many spots, and hundreds of small (mostly the size of a coffee mug) icebergs in the water.

        I took over 1200 pictures, and if I ever get home (still stuck in Seattle waiting to board my thrice-delayed flight), I will post them on my Google Photos page and post the link here.

        2. Ugh. That sounds like a version of my son trying to get home from NJ by bus the other day. 6:40PM Thursday turned into 1:35AM Friday…

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