Monday June 20 2022 Forecast (7:32AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 20-24)

We’re in the last 24 hours of astronomical spring, with the summer solstice occurring at 5:13 a.m. Tuesday, but don’t think that just because the calendar officially says “summer” that we will immediately experience full summer weather. It’s still going to be a struggle to get us there as our weather pattern recently, while not excessively wet, has certainly not been all that warm either, especially during this past weekend when we had some anomalous chill. But we do get rid of that somewhat right away as we start the new week. Today will be a bright and milder day, governed by high pressure, but light wind will allow a sea breeze so the coast will be cooler. A warm front will approach from the west Tuesday and Wednesday, but never quite get here. It will result in some areas of clouds at times, especially Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some onshore flow may add enough low level moisture from some lower clouds and patchy fog Tuesday night and early Wednesday as well, but at this point I don’t think any precipitation will occur, even though the front gets rather close Wednesday. By Wednesday night and into Thursday, however, things change a little. Although the frontal boundary gets pulled back to the south and west somewhat, a low pressure area is expected to develop offshore and should be in a position to deliver some rain to us during that time frame. This low will actually be triggered by another block-up in the atmosphere and a retrogression (westward movement) of the upper low that plagued us over the weekend. But this time it won’t hang around nearly as long, and it should be back on the move to the east by Friday, with improvement here. To be honest, while people tend to frown upon wet weather as we get to summer, any ran we can squeeze out of the pattern is good, as we continue to run a deficit for the year and experience longer term abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across a fair amount of the WHW forecast area.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-70 coast, 70-75 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 48-55. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: More sun than clouds. Highs 68-73 coast, 73-78 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: More clouds than sun. Highs 68-73 coast, 73-78 inland. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain developing. Lows 56-63. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Highs 66-73, coolest coast. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Rain ends, clouds break, patchy fog lingers. Lows 55-62. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 75-82. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 25-29)

June 25-26 weekend looks seasonably warm and a little more humid with a south to southwest air flow. We may see a couple showers and thunderstorms with the increased moisture combined with sun’s heating, but overall it looks like a rain-free weekend. A frontal system from the west brings a better opportunity for showers/thunderstorms about June 27 possibly into June 28 before a push of drier and slightly cooler air for later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 30 – JULY 4)

Signs of a dry and seasonably warm to very warm stretch of weather for the end of June and beginning of July with high pressure in control.

47 thoughts on “Monday June 20 2022 Forecast (7:32AM)”

    1. I seem to recall it also hit 100F June 30th (a year ago).

      And the central US was cool, Texas was largely in the 80s to low 90s all summer. They are off to a hot start this year.

      For sure, a completely different hemispheric pattern.

        1. Yikes…SC and area has been an oven also…..I will not complain about the stretch of weather we have been having.

          Not a cloud in the sky this morning

  5. Thank you, TK.

    Summer solstice means we’re 6 months away from the winter solstice. And so, the earth’s tilt will begin to revert itself 24 hours from now. For some reason, this tilting reminds me of a song on Carole King’s Tapestry (1971):

    “I feel the earth move under my feet
    I feel the sky tumblin’ down …”

    1. Which means the trend back to morning darkness begins. Once we get past July 4th it starts to be noticeable, at least to me. Oh well.

      And when we go to year round DST, there will be 6-7 months straight of no meaningful morning light.

  6. Thanks TK
    From NWS Boston discussions for those looking for heat

    for summer weather fans, while the wait for sweltering summer weather will likely continue into July (or book a flight to anywhere across the Central states)

    1. Interesting. Labor Day weekend may end up much warmer than July 4th weekend this year. We will see.

    1. I saw that and I just don’t get it. A simple check of the forecast from the Mt Washington Observatory beforehand would have raised alarm bells and probably prompted him not to hike above treeline this past weekend. Most of the deaths on Washington are the result of people being unprepared and making bad decisions.

  11. I recall from my week of being a cook for all the scientists on top of the rockpile – Mt Washington – that the rescue teams were called several times by folks. This was late July, and we had no extreme weather, though it did dip into the 30s at night and was mostly in the low to mid 40s during the day. I remember one hiker who came into the hut and said to us “I didn’t know it would be this cold.” Of course, we didn’t admonish him. But, I felt like saying, “dude, there are signs everywhere telling you about the variable weather conditions and how cold it is up here, have you been paying attention at all?” When someone’s shivering and in need of comfort food and a hot shower it’s not the time to reprimand. But, hopefully, he was given a stern talk afterwards.

  13. SAK – welcome back from your cruise. Not sure if you saw my post from a week ago but we are doing an Alaskan cruise in mid August with the exact same itinerary that you did. We are also booked for an excursion on the White Pass railway. Did you go on Norwegian? Look forward to hearing more about your trip. I’m sure by mid August those snow levels at White Pass and in Glacier Bay will have come up considerably but who knows if the pattern out there persists….

    1. Yes, we were on Norwegian. The sea day cruising around Glacier Bay was amazing. Skagway is a quaint little town stuck in the 1890s.

    1. By the way, they did still hold the Mt Washington Road Race on Saturday but shortened the finish line to the halfway point of the Auto Road at 3.8 miles due to the 4″ of rime ice, 2″ of snow, 70 mph winds and temps in the 20’s at the summit. Only the second time in the 60+ year history of the race that has happened.

      https://www.conwaydailysun.com/sports/events/dobson-and-gray-set-new-course-records-in-shortened-mount-washington-road-race/article_0241fe46-f0ca-11ec-a365-d3e9d4037810.html

    2. Saw that this morning. Pretty neat to get snow in mid June. So sorry to read about the hiking tragedy.

      1. I was thinking it is unusual too. But then I remembered Memorial Day weekend was Massachusetts ski weekend on Washington so can’t help but wonder if this was more common

  17. Currently ….

    68F with a dewpoint of 50F in Barrow, AK …. Yes, at 71+ North latitude

    63F with a dewpoint of 49F in Boston, MA only some 29 degrees Latitude further south.

    I give up ……..

  18. Not liking the looks of Thursday on the GFS. Our company has a skybox at the Travelers golf tournament in Cromwell and it is looking wet. Fortunately we are under cover but it would be nice if we could salvage part of the day. GGEM and ICON are a bit drier. Still time….

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