Tuesday June 21 2022 Forecast (7:20AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 21-25)

The summer solstice occurred this morning at 5:13 a.m. and the first day of summer will be a nice one, with high pressure in control, keeping advancing clouds mostly at bay. This is part of the same pattern we’ve been in for a number of days now – a fairly blocked atmosphere with not a lot of progression. In fact, retrogression (westward movement) of features becomes a player in this forecast. While a northwest to north air flow sends clouds into the region, the start of a retrogression of the pattern first sends a bubble of high pressure westward and keeps the clouds from overtaking the region for long stretches of time. In fact, an area of rain that will try to move in early Wednesday will also be largely thwarted, save for a possible shower early in the day favoring western portions of the WHW forecast area. So for the most part, both today and Wednesday will be nice days if you can deal with some clouds at times. But eventually the westward movement of features will get us into unsettled weather, as the low pressure area that plagued us with cool air, cloudiness, some showers, and a gusty breeze over the weekend will make its return for an unsettled day on Thursday. This time though it looks like just a short-stay, and it should be on its way out by Friday as things start to move to the east again. This will also set us up for a nice start to the first full weekend of summer.

TODAY: More sun than clouds. Highs 68-73 coast, 73-78 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Pre-dawn rain possible southwestern NH, cetnral MA, and eastern CT, possibly western RI. Lows 51-58. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: More clouds than sun. Highs 68-73 coast, 73-78 inland. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain developing. Lows 56-63. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Highs 66-73, coolest coast. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Rain ends, clouds break, patchy fog lingers. Lows 55-62. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 75-82. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 78-85. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 26-30)

Down the home stretch of June we go during this period, and it looks like a largely dry pattern with only one rain threat. We start warm and moderately humid to end the weekend June 26. A cold front brings the chance of showers and thunderstorms June 27. High pressure settles in with fair weather for the middle of next week, cooler at first, then moderating.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 1-5)

Signs of a dry and seasonably warm to very warm stretch of weather for early July with high pressure in control much of the time. Will probably deal with one frontal passage during this period of time with limited shower / t-storm threat.

46 thoughts on “Tuesday June 21 2022 Forecast (7:20AM)”

  2. WBZ radio anchor comment of the week…

    “As we begin the summer solstice…”

    Makes me wonder just how long the solstice actually goes on for. 😉

    2. Then I have a stupid question: What should have the anchor said to announce the summer solstice?

      1. TK answered that in the discussion:

        The summer solstice occurred this morning at 5:13 a.m.

        The anchor should have said that and then perhaps followed with we will have summer until 9:03 PM on September 22nd when Autumnal Equinox occurs.

        Well and INFORMED announcer would have said something like that. 🙂

      2. The solstice occurred at 5:14am.

        Its just an exact time when the north pole is fully centered in its maximum tilt to the sun.

        At 94.5 million miles away, its probably a full 4-5 day period, 2 days either side of the solstice, where its the maximum 23.5 degree tilt into the sun. But 5:14am this morning was the exact center. Its amazing they can calculate these times.

      3. No question is stupid, Philip. 🙂
        Except some of mine.. hahaha!

        The Solstice is momentary. He really meant to say the beginning of summer. 🙂

  3. Good morning and thank you TK

    How’s the weather look for Sunday?
    We have a big graduation party in Pembroke for our
    2 grand nephew twins. If it is too hot and humid, the Mrs. won’t make it. 85 with dp 64 or so, might just barely be ok. 87 with dp 68 or 69 won’t do it at all. The older she gets the worse it is for her.

    Many thanks

      1. Thanks Tom, but we know how accurate the GFS has been lately. 🙂 🙂

        Upper 80s with dp in the 50s would be ok. But I fear dps well into the 60s and NOT 50s.

  5. Thanks TK. Do you have a ballpark idea on rain amounts for Thursday? We are working on a project outside and hoping there’s not going to be a rainout.

  9. By this time last year, Boston had recorded 8 days of 90+ including a 5-day heatwave*.

    *Thermo wasn’t right but going by the fact it was recorded on it.

    No 90+ so far this year. 89 is the high to date.

  10. Thank you, TK, and Happy Midsummer to all

    Mac spoke of the huge celebrations when he lived in Sweden….second to Christmas.

    1. ’tis a huge deal there.

      My son and I set up a tree with led lights that change ever so slightly at midnight every day to move completely around the color spectrum over exactly one year’s time. It shines into the back yard from a garage window.

      We activated it as green on March 20. Today is reaches the mid point of yellow. From here it trends to orange then red as we move through summer…

      By the first day of autumn it will be perfect purple, and by winter solstice a deep blue, then a journey back toward green as we move through winter and toward spring once again.

      3. I still debate spending the$$. If I started now, is there a way for it to know it is June?

        My midsummer meal is planned……shrimp and cucumber salad with smoked salmon bagels. And an aquivit (Tito’s really) spritzer to toast Mac

        1. You can start at any point if you have the way to set the lights. I’d have to check with Nate specifically on what app he’s using and how. If you end up doing it, let me know. 🙂

  11. JpDave, I think things may work out for you and your wife dewpoint wise Saturday.

    This Thursday upper level low is lifting out Friday and building in behind it, is higher 500 mb heights for Saturday.

    But the building in heights isn’t set-up to direct deep tropical moisture and oppressive humidities from the Gulf or Atlantic.

    Modest level of humidities, with dps somewhere in the mid 50s to low 60s.

    2. I saw this on Facebook. Reminds me of things I have done. JR is a cool guy. 🙂

  13. Naming heat waves.

    Arguments have been presented for this and I am not sure where it is all headed. I believe that NOAA and NWS are getting some pressure to do this. It might be happening in other countries. There are probably some on this blog who know tons more than I do.

    I think I have some homework to do.

    1. I will NEVER, EVER think this is a good idea.
      Why the EVER LIVING **** (haha) do we have to name EVERY THING?

      That is the stupidest idea in the history of stupid weather-related ideas.

      Naming heatwaves. Think about it. Can we name arctic outbreaks too? A heatwave is a heatwave. It has a name that is perfectly suitable. Heatwave. A wave (or string) of days that are hot, specifically, 3 or more at or above 90. And what if it so happens that cities A, B, and C are lined up in the same state, but city B is below 90 on day 2 of 3? No “heatwave” there. So, are they still in the named heatwave area, or are we going to draw a little bubble around them leaving them out of it because, well, it’s technically not a heatwave there. Stupid idea. Absolutely terrible.

      It’s hot weather. Hot weather can be dangerous. Focus on the hot weather, not what the freaking NAME of it is. It’s hot weather! They are totally on the wrong path if they ever try to name those events. They are not entities, like a tropical cyclone. Ugh!

      Another example of how stupid this is: Southern states. It’s 90+ almost every day for 3 or 4 months, so technically. Does that mean that they will be under a named heatwave for weeks at a time? Or does the name have to change after a certain amount of time. What if a city in the middle of a state is cooler for a day or two then heats up again? Are they in a little circle that has a different name now? Do you see how stupid and potentially confusing this is? It’s a really, REALLY bad idea.

      Ok I feel better now, but please know this: I will not change my opinion on the naming of heatwaves. Stupid. But thanks for letting me have a semi-Dave-style rant. That felt nice. 🙂

      On a lighter note, I had a great walk in the woods today. 🙂

      1. I don’t mind naming some things, but the sad part is we don’t seem to know when to stop. This just seems silly

        1. Yes indeed. I just think in this particular case it would really take away from the focus on the actual danger of the heat. Extreme cold and extreme heat are #1 and #2 weather killers, so if we went by this, we should be naming arctic air masses before heat waves. It’s all silly at that point.
          🙁

  15. Amazing how we went from Thursday “washout” to “bone dry”…and at least partly sunny no less. All in less than 24 hours. 😉

    “EVERYTHING fails in a drought.” – BB

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