Wednesday June 29 2022 Forecast (7:47AM)

40 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 29 – JULY 3)

The feel of summer builds over the next few days as we head toward the holiday weekend. High pressure #1 sits atop us today with dry, warm weather, light wind, and cooling coastal sea breezes. A quick interruption takes place tonight as a trough moves quickly across the region with a late evening shower threat, but it’s gone overnight and another high pressure area moves in for Thursday which will be a great day to end of the month of June. This high slides offshore and cue the heat for Friday, the first of July. However, humidity will be slow to increase so we’ll hold off on the really muggy feel until later Friday night and into Saturday. Saturday is the only unsettled daytime in this stretch, as we’ll have a cold front moving across the region. The timing of this front will determine when the greatest threat of a shower or thunderstorm is, but the general idea is it looks like a midday and afternoon event at this point, from northwest to southeast, starting first in sotuhwestern NH and central MA, starting later and lasting into evening toward the South Coast and Cape Cod. Still, fine-tuning is left to do with this. High pressure builds toward us from Canada Sunday which looks like a great summer day – warm but much lower humidity.

TODAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a passing shower with a slight chance of a thunderstorm, favoring central MA and southern NH. Lows 60-67. Dew point upper 50s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Dew point lower 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 58-65. Dew point middle 50s. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 88-95, cooler South Coast. Dew point upper 50s to lower 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 67-74. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms midday and afternoon. Highs 85-92, cooler South Coast. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Evening showers and thunderstorms possible, mainly South Coast. Lows 62-69. Dew point falling through 60s into 50s from northwest to southeast. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 4-8)

High pressure should hold control of the weather through July 4 into July 5 with a warming trend. A little faster timing on guidance today for the next shower and thunderstorm threat, possibly by late July 5, but have to watch this for changes. A couple more disturbances later in the period bring additional shower and thunderstorm threats and a slight cooling trend.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 9-13)

High pressure / dry air early period. Higher humidity / shower and thunderstorm threat later in the period based on current expected trends.

40 thoughts on “Wednesday June 29 2022 Forecast (7:47AM)”

  2. Thanks TK.

    Murphy’s Law will rear its ugly head for yet another holiday weekend. At least we could use the rain and the front will drop the heat & humidity.

    2. It’s not really Murphy’s law.
      It’s the fact, something I state many many many times here, that it is unusual to go 3 days without at least one disturbance passing through New England at any time of year.

      It actually has nothing at all to do with holiday weekends.

  8. “could” Saturday be an interesting weather day?
    I see some signs of “possible” severe weather. Too early to know yet, but something to watch.

    1. Could be. Comes down to timing. That front maybe a little bit on the early side but that would leave eastern and southern Massachusetts as well as CT and RI most vulnerable for the stronger storms.

  9. Time just flies by. I can’t believe it’s about to be July already. I’m typically an early bird. I begin to notice the sunrise later and later.

    1. It’s going by at the rate it always does. People think it’s fast, but it’s really just normal. 😉

    2. Thanks Olive! Finally someone here that shares my pain regarding later and later sunrises. They are going to become more and more noticeable during the month of July.

      2. But why lament about them when we don’t have them yet? Now is the good time.

        This reminds me of Monday-Friday work people who waste all day Sunday worrying that tomorrow is Monday. They turn their 2-day weekend into a one-day weekend. 😉

        That said, I love late sunrises and I look forward to them so I can get more photos of them. 😉 Yup, my selfish moment. Earned it!

  10. Boston will go into the record books with one 90°+ day through June 2022. Nowhere near the record of 12 days set in the year 1880. Now that’s an old one. 😉

    1. Remember it well. I was a tyke then. Boy was it hot that June. Lived near Copley Square. We played rounders on the Square. Trinity Church had just been built, and we used to go into the church just to cool off.

  11. Another swan tragedy on the Esplanade. Two swans had to be euthanized. They were parents to 5 cygnets. I just saw the 5 cygnets with their mother this past weekend during my run. She seemed fine. But, apparently, she wasn’t, as she and the father were euthanized on Monday. They may have contracted avian flu, or the cyanobacteria – which I had noticed was increasing – made them sick. That nesting area is doomed. Last year, a swan mother died of a seizure; probably a stroke or something like that. https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2022/06/29/2-charles-river-esplanade-swans-euthanized-following-symptoms-of-avian-flu/?p1=hp_featurestack

  12. This may not be weather related. However I just spoke with a close friend that is a real estate agent. He’s very reliable and been in the business for 42 years. He said to expect a housing bust in 1-3 years. He said 90% of the houses in New England are overpriced. Also said if you sold your home in the last 2 years and upgraded to a much bigger more expensive home will be most affected by this. I’m a little scared. Im staying here for the next 10 years anyways.

      1. As with everything, from weather patterns to the economy, the housing market doesn’t remain stagnant. There will be peaks and “troughs.” It isn’t scary to me. It’s anticipated.

        1. My point is many New Englanders will for all intent and purpose get screwed. I will add one more thing is right now your best bet is to sell now and downgrade. It would be a huge investment especially if you intend on staying in the house for at least 10-15 years.

      2. We saw it coming last time. I don’t think anyone is surprised by this. Just common knowledge.

        I would not want to be a younger person starting out….but I’ve felt that way for years. We sure handed them a mess

    2. If you ever move to MA, just stay away from Somerville and Lynn (one of them once you enter you can’t find your way out, and the other one changes its roads around while you’re in there so you can’t exit the way you entered), oh and Attleboro area too – that’s kind of like a Twilight Zone. 😉

  13. Olive makes an excellent point on “time flying.” TK is correct to say it’s going at the rate it always has. BUT, as we age our perception of time changes, rather dramatically. My mother used to say “time accelerates,” meaning the intervals from year to the next get shorter and shorter as we age, not because they’re actually any different, but because our perception of length of the intervals changes.

    And, I must add, it frightens me a little. As a person who does not believe in any hereafter, it’s all going to happen here on earth during this lifetime, and the numbers of years left is diminishing while at the same time each year passes faster and faster.

    1. I’d tend to agree with some but….. Time doesn’t really exist on its own so as much as we feel we can measure it…..we just can’t

      As far as the hereafter. I have far too many instances of “signs” that even an individual who is a firm believer in coincidence cannot explain.

    2. What I don’t understand is why sunrises go back in the other direction the day after the summer solstice, yet sunsets remain the same for most of the summer. They still haven’t budged last time I checked.

      I don’t notice a minute or two, but once it gets to 5 minutes then 10 becomes 20…etc.

      Perhaps the concept of DST warps my perception?

      1. Because solar noon (when the sun reaches its highest point in the sky) is currently moving forward about 20 seconds per day.

        So, say today lost 20 seconds of daylight.

        If solar noon stayed the same as yesterday, you’d lose 10 seconds at sunrise and 10 seconds at sunset.

        But, since when your getting the daylight moved 20 seconds forward, you lost 30 seconds at sunrise and gained 10 seconds at sunset, overall still losing 20 seconds.

        Eventually, the lost daylight per day will exceed the solar noon moving forward and sunsets will start happening earlier.

        Then you get to August when your losing 2+ minutes of daylight per day and solar noon happens earlier and whammo, sunsets lose a ton of time the middle and end of August thru Sept and into October.

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