Back To Abnormal

80 Comments

7:55PM

Now that the disorganized winterish sort of event is winding down as snow in most places, and rather slowly at that, the only lasting impact from it will be tonight’s freeze-up as temperatures sit in the 20s in most locations (bit milder coast and southeastern MA for a while).

Not far behind this departing system is the next low pressure area, but like many others this season, this one has a destination that brings it on a track north of southern New England, putting us on the warm side. Only some brief snow/sleet may occur Friday night at the start of the precipitation from a bit of cold air hanging on. But eventually this becomes a numerous rain shower producer, but moves through rather quickly, fast enough so that the sun may even make an appearance before Saturday is over! Some lingering upper level low pressure troughing in the region means that lots of clouds will return on Sunday and probably linger on Monday as well, with a trend to chilly temperatures for a short time.

As we reach the middle of next week, it looks like a significant warm-up will take place, along with fair weather – a taste of spring (not that far different from what much of the winter was like).

Forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Snow tapering off and ending from west to east with additional accumulation of less than 1 inch except locally just over 1 inch interior southeastern MA. Low 22-27. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy to partly sunny. High 35-40. Wind N around 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain may begin as sleet and even wet snow especially northwest of Boston. Numerous rain showers all areas after midnight. Low 30-35 early then temperature rising back toward 40. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with rain showers in the morning. Breaking clouds in the afternoon. High 45-50. Wind E-SE 5-15 MPH in the morning, shifting to W 10-20 MPH in the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 30-35. Wind W 10-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Slight chance of light rain showers in the afternoon. High 40-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 25. High 35.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 15. High 40.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 25. High 50.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 35. High 60.

80 thoughts on “Back To Abnormal”

    1. I am surprised to hear that the roads in Milton are snow covered. Ride to Quincy at 5am should be fun. Do you get food from Mr. chans. Loved that place.

      1. I do like Mr. Chan’s–happy to hear from someone who knows it. Abby Park is nice for a sit down dinner, but I prefer Wharf 88. I know the roads in Milton today–I pick my husband up around 7:30-8:00; it was fine until I’d say 6:30–white knuckle driving is not my favorite thing to do.

    1. Snow just ended here and immediately the roads have gone from snowcovered to just wet. Just shows that the heat held in the pavement is making a difference even at night with colder air moving in. That was much too quickly to be just from the road treatment which was put down hours ago.

  3. There’s been numerous moderate and even heavy snowshowers, there seems to be a band that keeps reforming overhead, it’s trying to whiten rt1

  7. That stuff is barely hanging on down in SE MA. The radar looks like Whack-A-Mole.

  12. Snowing in Quincy; sticking to everything. 28.6 degrees!

    Looking forward to 60 degrees. It will feel so nice!

  13. Moderate to heavy snowshowers seem to be losing intensity, after all said and done I’ve received about 1 in a half inches total, now the question is will it take shorter for it to melt away than it did to fall? Haha 🙂 I think Sat’s rain and temps in the mid 50’s u can say bye bye to the snow, so we got 24-36hrs to enjoy before its gone.

  14. 8″ of snow total in my Worcester back yard. I’m definitely going to make a snowman tomorrow before it all melts away. 🙂

    That said, I’m looking forward to the warm up! At this point, I’m ready for spring.

  15. I think I’m going to add some photos to the WHW Facebook Page in the next few days. Maybe I’ll even add one of some of the staff here. 😉

  23. be careful on the roads this morning it looks icy.
    sadly this nice scenery is going to get washed away by the end of the weekend for me.
    3-5 inches in my yards It is really crunchy right now.

  24. My biggest shock was when I opened the blinds in the bedroom this morning. It snowed for 30 some hours and I obviously knew it was there but to see all white was still a shock………… it’s been a long time and it looks wonderful!

    1. It does look nice doesn’t it. And since it was just sticky enough and snowed for so long with very little wind, it got into all the nooks and crannies of the trees, houses, etc…looks like a postcard.

  25. today: mostly cloudy highs in the low 30s
    tonight’: a mix of sleet ,freezing rain and snow. I have a feeling a winter weather advisory for some interior locations outside of 495 lows in the upper 20s
    saturday. rain showers and a chance of thunderstorms highs in the mid 40s
    saturday night showers ending early lows in the low 30s
    sunday mostly sunny highs in the low 40s
    sunday night. mostly clear lows in the upper 10s
    monday partly sunny highs in the low 30s
    monday night and tuesday mostly sunny highs in the mid 30s lows in the lower 10s
    tuesday night mostly clear lows in the low 20s
    wednesday through thursday mostly sunny highs in the upper 40s ,lows in the low 30s and upper 20s

  27. does anyone think stowe vt will keep its good packed powder snow pack or next saturday and less important what do people think what wachuset will be like tuesday.
    Do not worry i am not skipping school we have the day off anyway because of the primary 🙂

  28. some models are hinting at a small area of low pressure forming and traveling to the south. possible light snow event cape and island?

    1. Yes, just barely…glad it is now over. 🙂

      1. 9.0″ = 1936-37
      2. 9.1″ = 2011-12*
      3.10.3″ = 1972-73
      4.12.7″ = 1979-80
      5.14.9″ = 1994-95

      1. Thanks! I see plenty of heat just wondering about rain. let’s look at it next week and see what you think.

        1. I don’t think we’ll see much change but yes, will look again, just in case. 🙂

  32. Vicki – I have been watching TWC. I think it is a confirmed tornado.

    Quite a potential explosive situation developing in that area. Exciting? Yes – but not good and I am hoping and praying that it doesn’t get that bad.

    Kind of makes me concerned what our spring/summer season might be like.

    1. rainshine – you are right that it was confirmed and apparently an emergency has been declared because it caused a lot of damage. How terrifying. I don’t remember if there was an answer here the other day to the question whether it is early for these types of outbreaks – esp up to PA.

      1. I don’t recall seeing an answer to that question. But according the TWC, ‘though an outbreak like they are having today is not unique – it is very unusual. Also, there is a lot of wind throughout the country.

        On a calmer and nicer note – I LOVE the way it looks outside here! It may not have been that big a snowstorm we had, but at least we got some snow and some winter before spring comes.

  33. DRUM ROLL PLEASE………………

    TAAAA DAAAAA

    For the fifth consecutive month, I am proud to announce that Longshot remains champion snow total amount guesser for Woods Hill Weather 🙂

  34. TK, any chance for one more snow opportunity between now and mid-April? I would like to get just a bit more “distance” from that 1936-37 total.

    If not, then so be it. 🙂

    1. Watch for a 1 to 2 week period after March 15 but probably before the end of the 1st week of April for what will probably be the final chance for “significant” snow.

  38. Hey Longshot, how much snow are we going to get next winter. I want to start doing some planning now.

  40. Quiet here and just rain for tomorrow with maybe a rumble of thunder but a big outbreak of severe weather happening in parts of the midwest and south. SPC has a high risk up for parts of the midwest including tornado watches with a particularly dangerous situation.

  41. Still no old salty. Unusual? And I hope alisonarod is just busy at work and not feeling worse.

  42. TK, your forecast was spot on as usual! However, I respectfully disagree on whether we’ve experienced a pattern change. You suggest we haven’t. Yet, I think we have in New England, if only because we’re getting more precipitation (and some of it in the form of snow – remember, most of NE except the far northeastern corner of Maine had been nearly snowless 10 days ago, and that has changed in a big way for many) and more below normal days in terms of temperature. Today may be our third in a row, which really hasn’t happened this winter. I’m also seeing colder temperatures. Less overshooting if you will. In fact, this began at least 10 days ago: Forecasts have generally been predicting maximum temperatures that have not verified. Today, for example, but yesterday, too. I think tomorrow we’ll struggle to get to 50, if that, in fact I think Boston may actually wind up with a little more snow overnight before it changes to fairly cold rain. My prediction is we’ll get to 48 tomorrow; the mountains will do OK with this system as it’s not generating much QPF, so what little sleet and rain they get won’t do a lot of damage. I think that most ski resorts will actually wind up with some snow on the front and back end of the storm tomorrow. I’m also not buying the “tremendous” warm-up forecast for next week. It’s now been basically pushed back until Thursday. I do think it’ll warm up, but like a more normal March pattern, we will fairly quickly revert to normal and below normal temperatures.

      1. TK, you’ll wind up being right, most likely. With me, my expertise falls short. I think I do have decent weather instincts and observations, but I’m not the expert like you. That’s why I said “I respectfully disagree” because I truly respect what you do, and am grateful we all have a great forum like this.

  43. We are surrounded by mild weather, Buffalo, NY and Watertown, NY are both 45F to 50F. It’s in the 70s in Kentucky and 80s in parts of Tennessee.

    1. Oh my goodness, there are a lot of tornado warnings currently in effect for many of the cells on the squall line running into all of that warmth.

      1. Yes, these tornadoes are wreaking havoc. Terrible loss of life and damage. I’m headed to Nashville for a conference next Wednesday and Thursday. I believe things will have calmed down by then, as the battle line between cold and warmth will have moved north as the cold here eases. By the way, Monday night is going to be quite cold for this time of year. I think Boston could hit 15, with lots of wind, and the Mt. Washington area, including valleys, may have one of its colder nights this winter, with temps dropping to -10/-15.

        1. Yes, that does look like a decent cold shot early next week………..did the Mt. Washington Region do well out of this last system snow wise ?

          1. My daughter said she got about 8 inches at Bretton Woods (actually at the AMC camp, which is a few miles from BW). Mt. Washington itself reported about 10 inches (they’re getting another 4 inches tonight before a changeover to sleet and freezing rain). I believe that 20-50 miles east of there some places got between 12 and 15 inches. They’ve also been having off and on snow showers in between storms, which have produced several more inches of snow.

  44. I’d think if the +NAO continues thru spring and into early summer, then the threat of a well above normal severe weather season is unfortunately very high.

  45. Blog is updated!

    I am heading out for the night. Check in with an updated tomorrow morning. 🙂

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