Tuesday July 5 2022 Forecast (9:26AM)

31 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 5-9)

We’re beyond the big holiday weekend now, which was quite nice for the most part after just some interruption from showers / storms on Saturday. Going through the remainder of this week, we have a couple rounds of unsettled weather to contend with. The first, later today and tonight as a low pressure disturbance crosses the region in a northwesterly air flow. First, the warm front from the system will approach and move through this afternoon with a threat of a little bit of light rainfall, but much of this struggles to make it to the ground as it battles the dry air in place. Moisture spikes this evening ahead of a cold front, which offers a better chance of showers and possible thunderstorms as it moves through the region from northwest to southeast late evening to early overnight hours, basically a couple hours either side of midnight based on current expected timing. Behind this system, high pressure brings nice weather for Wednesday. However, this time it’s only a one-day stand for the great weather, because we’ll already see clouds moving back in Thursday ahead of that frontal boundary trying to lift back as a warm front. That boundary may struggle to get all the way through the region, and will be a general pathway for a wave of low pressure to move across our region later Thursday night and Friday with showery weather. The rainfall and temperature details are a little fuzzy for Friday and are dependent on the exact position of the frontal boundary and track of low pressure – so some fine-tuning will be necessary. Canadian high pressure is expected to arrive just in time for the weekend on Saturday with more great weather – low humidity and pleasant temps!

TODAY: Partly sunny morning. Mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain, favoring southern NH and northern MA, this afternoon. Highs 78-85, cooler South Coast. Dew point rising toward 60. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy early to mid evening with isolated showers. Mostly cloudy late evening to early overnight with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Breaking clouds but areas of fog toward dawn. Lows 60-67. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind variable to SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW toward dawn.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling below 60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early then variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Dew point below 60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point under 60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Dew point under 60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers, possibly thunderstorms. Highs 76-83. Dew point over 60. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers early, then clearing. Lows 57-64. Dew point falling to near 50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point 50s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 10-14)

High pressure is expected to bring fair, dry weather to finish the weekend on July 10. High pressure shifts to the south and a boundary sits north of to near the region with higher humidity and an increased chance of showers and thunderstorms later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 15-19)

High pressure in control most of this period. Near to above normal temperatures, mostly dry weather with continued limited rain chances.

31 thoughts on “Tuesday July 5 2022 Forecast (9:26AM)”

  6. Thank you, TK. What a great show on the esplanade last night. The tribute to David Mugar brought tears as did the Ukraine national anthem at the end. Heather Headley is a wonderful talent. We really enjoyed Javier Colon and I am always a huge fan of fife and drums. I don’t care for screaching so was not as fond of Chaka Khan but it is a matter of taste and I know others like her.

    Great fireworks display. Did you stay for that part?? 😉

    1. I saw a little of the fireworks before leaving — they were great, as always.

      Also loved Heather Headley and Javier Colon. I had earplugs jammed in as far as possible for Chaka, so I could appreciate the energy without dealing with the volume!

      1. Ohhhhh I really needed a good laugh. Thank you VERY much.

        What a perfect explanation of how to enjoy Chaka.

        Am I correct that you are part of the pops orchestra? I’m really sorry to ask again.

        1. Not the one that plays at Symphony Hall, but the one that plays July 4th and out-of-town concerts (there are sort of two orchestras; it’s complicated).

    1. You are so kind to ask. Mom is not alive. We found her on our property line but the turkey vultures found her first. I’ve been on the phone literally all morning and finally connected with a rehabilitator who will take them tomorrow. We only saw one of the four last night so don’t know if they died also or the fireworks scared them. So we wait until tonight to see how many come out.

      1. Adding. I’m very discouraged by Mass wildlife. It didn’t know to recommend even though it is mass.gov that lists them to call. And their advice was wait and see if they make it…circle of life and all that.

        And on top of that. The wildlife person thinks they may have rabies and can’t take them. Always fun

        1. Thanks for the update Vicki. Surprised that it was difficult getting in touch with a wildlife person especially in your area. I guess I can imagine finding someone in a city area like Boston…nearly impossible.

          Maybe a blessing in disguise if the babies are never seen again given the dire circumstances.

  12. Poor Lowell….

    As I stated the other day they postpone their Saturday fireworks many hours in advance because of a weather app forecast when consulting and actual meteorologist would have eased their worries. Because of the tight schedule of the pyro company they are now obligated to hold the event tonight whether it is raining or not… With the exception of lightning in the area. Lightning will not be a problem this evening, but it will be raining on their rain date while they fire fireworks in front of a very thin crowd compared to what they would have had on Saturday. Oh well. This kind of stuff is going to keep happening as long as weather apps are valued over meteorologists. 😉

    1. That is odd. Atlas makes the decisions with us based on its knowledge. If that doesn’t happen, we pay….which is as it should be. The contract is very specific. I wonder what pyro co Lowell was using.

    2. They had to go 40 minutes early.
      By the time the scheduled shoot time arrived it was already soaking rain. Thankfully somebody was watching the radar….. Just got the display in with minutes to spare.

      1. Not sure I follow but glad they got it in

        I am surprised the pyro co is not the one to make the final decision. Atlas was here 6.5 hours prior to set up. I wonder if that played into it

  13. No signs of heat with the latest 6-10 8-14 day outlooks for SNE. Instead normal temperatures for both those outlooks. Could we make it through mid July without a heat wave???

    1. In 2009, we made it through mid July but if I recall, the heat began shortly thereafter.

      We got through July 4th with fabulous weather and temperatures but my fear is that Labor Day will have HHH. Just a gut feeling is all, that we get a late season surge of heat. Hope I’m wrong.

      I don’t know about NNE but I can’t picture SNE getting away without at least some persistent heat. I’ve never seen it in my lifetime that I can recall.

      1. 2009 never turned overly hot, but August and September was stellar summer months.

        And if you have lived here most of your life you have seen us go through a summer without persistent heat quite a few times.

        Some notables: 1986, 1989, 1992, 2001, 2009.

  14. Periodic pattern appears to be that the jet stream keeps the searing heat to our west, southwest, and south. The jet stream buckles somewhat west and northwest of us, allowing relatively humid-free Canadian air in for a few days. Then we do get humidity from warm fronts but they don’t drag the really hot air in, and subsequently that’s followed by cold fronts that push out the warm front and usher in the low humidity air with seasonable temps. Rinse and repeat. We’ll see how the rest of the summer shapes up. For now, New England is not having a hot summer.

    1. Not surprising to me that we’ve lacking sustained heat. I mentioned this was the way I was leaning for at least the first half of summer back in the spring. The signs were there – northwest flow, ridge west of our area, and no Bermuda High.

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