Friday July 22 2022 Forecast (7:28AM)

63 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 22-26)

Hot weather will continue through the weekend, but today and Saturday will have lower humidity than the sultry spike we experienced yesterday. While only limited locations saw thunderstorm activity yesterday afternoon and evening, you didn’t have to see one of those to get the benefit of the lower dew point air the front causing them has delivered to the region. Qualification: This is not a push of refreshing dry air from Canada, but it’s definitely less humid than yesterday, so it will be a slightly drier heat really. But that’s something, if you are not a fan of the higher humidity. Make the most of it? These two days will also feature fair weather as high pressure dominates, but just a tiny little atmospheric disturbance will be drifting across the region this evening, and that may be enough to allow a couple isolated showers and thunderstorms to at least approach the western reaches of the WHW forecast area in CT, MA, and southwestern NH, late this afternoon or this evening (reflected in the forecast below as a slight chance of a brief evening shower or storm). The humidity makes a come-back Sunday, and that will also be our hottest day of the stretch, as it is clearly obvious now that the next approaching front will not be quick enough to send cloudiness into the region sooner. So expect a Sunday scorcher – no way around it other than the slightly cooler air on South Coast beaches and especially Cape Cod due to the southwesterly wind blowing across ocean water before reaching these areas. The heat breaks for Monday, although the humidity will be slow to exit, as a cold front ambles its way across the region. This enables showers and thunderstorms to develop and be around for a good portion of the day, but I’m not expecting a widespread beneficial rain – just an unsettled day until the frontal boundary as cleared the region. Right now I expect this will happen at some point by mid to late afternoon, but I may have to tweak that timing on future forecast updates. Regardless, lower dew point and seasonably warm air will be ours by Tuesday.

TODAY: Sun with some passing clouds at times. An isolated shower or a thunderstorm is possible far north and west of Boston later in the day. Highs 88-95. Dew point middle to lower 60s. Wind W 5-15 MPH, few higher gusts at times.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening with a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in southern NH, central MA, and far eastern CT. Mostly clear overnight. Lows 65-72. Dew point lower 60s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 90-97. Dew point 60s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy ground fog. Lows 68-75. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. A late-day thunderstorm possible southwestern NH and central MA. Highs 92-99, cooler South Coast. Dew point middle 60s to near 70, highest near the south coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Lows 70-77. Dew point near 70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms, favoring morning to mid afternoon hours. Highs 81-88. Dew point near 70. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog mainly interior lower elevations. Lows 65-72. Dew point falling into 60s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 82-89. Dew point upper 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 27-31)

High pressure brings dry and seasonably warm weather 27. Heat/humidity returns with a chance of showers/t-storms on July 28. Another area of high pressure brings dry/warm weather for July 29-31, based on best guess at timing of systems at this point.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 1-5)

Higher humidity spike early in the period including a chance of showers and thunderstorms, then drier air and seasonably warm weather following.

63 thoughts on “Friday July 22 2022 Forecast (7:28AM)”

  1. Olive, two tornado warnings in your neck of the woods during the past week and we haven’t heard from you. Did you blow away on us? Report! We want details! At least let us know you’re safe out there in the southwestern NH wilderness. 😉

    1. I’m still alive. Thank you! Next time I will certainly give a report.

      Thank you for the forecast today.

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.
    As I expected, nothing in the city yesterday. However looked pretty wild to our North and West .

  4. Thanks TK.

    Amazing that we can’t get any widespread shower activity with so much humidity in place.

    1. You need more than just humidity.
      You still need something to help form the showers.
      Yesterday we had that but as I suspected the coverage was going to be limited. The kickers and the instability were present in northern MA northward. Today and tomorrow the dew point is noticeably down.

  6. JPD, how is your wife doing? Hope she is ok, still a ways to go just from this current heatwave alone. At least 4 more days including today.

    1. Thank you Philip and Capt as well.

      She is not feeling very well and getting tired of being confined
      to a couple of AC’d rooms. This weather is absolutely brutal for her. She keeps saying how much she HATES Summer!

      We had to watch TV the last 2 nights on one of our computer’s in one of the Air conditioned rooms. Thankfully we can get the whole Xfinity lineup on the computer.

      1. Thank you for an update. This is rough for all but brutal for anyone who struggles with heat.

  7. Thanks, TK.

    Just back from Michigan, where it was humid but never as hot as 90. I hope everyone is managing these days all right.

  8. Thanks, TK!

    I agree 100% with Robert. This is a great place to be!

    I also ask with Philip, Dave. How’s Mrs. OS? I always think of her during uncomfortable stretches like these. I hope she’s okay and coping.

    I heard from a friend of mine who lives in the Bages region of Catalunya in Spain. Bages has had one of the worst fires in western Europe. He and his family are okay, but he does know folks in the region who have lost their homes. His in-laws were in the area where the fire started (intentional, by the way). They are fine but had to shelter-in-place because of the think smoke.

  9. Thank you, TK.

    Drought and heat are really taking their toll this week on vegetation, grass, and trees. Been seeing clumps of leaves fall to the ground, not because of the autumn ritual but rather due to desiccation. What a difference a year makes.

    TK’s asking for “details” from Olive regarding tornado reports from southwestern NH reminded me of this scene: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mBx-eT8D5nc

  11. Yesterday was one of the most humid days I’ve experienced in northern New England. Can definitely feel a drop in the humidity this morning. Warm breeze, but the air just feels lighter to move through.

    We explored further north yesterday, north of Berlin, NH and seemed to be in a pocket where the strong storms were north and south of us. 🙂

    Towering cumulus clouds in the mountains are a beautiful thing to see.

    Stay cool everyone. Thinking of your wife JpDave and others who struggle with heat and humidity, especially of this duration.

    Oh, the water temps in these mountainous rivers will cool anyone off. I think the temp could hit 125F and the water wouldn’t get to 60F. 🙂

  13. 88º as we approach the noon hour.

    Looking at my notes, today marks the 11th anniversary of the hottest day ever in Taunton, 103º, on July 22, 2011. It was 100º on July 22, 1991. It was 102º here on the infamous August 2, 1975.

    There have been 14 100º+ days in recorded Taunton weather history, going back to 1893. Three of them occurred in 2002. The last one was July 20, 2013. The first one was August 10, 1949.

    2002 also was the year of a 10-day heat wave here (August 10-19).

    1. July 22 has a history of heat….but then I’m sure other summer days do as well. My oldest was born July 22, 1980, and there were days of very hot and humid. Many of her birthdays have been extreme heat….I use the word extreme loosely.

    2. We got married on the “infamous” August 2, 1975 — It was a great day!! And 102 in Scarsdale, NY as well. No AC…

  14. I have been hearing that Sunday is going to be the worst of all (100F with 70+ dewpoints). Hope that will be the only day like that we see this season.

    1. It is extremely unlikely that places that hit 100 have a dewpoint of 70 or higher. The GFS has temps near 100 N/W of Boston, but drops dewpoints into the 50s during the afternoon. The ECMWF has widespread 98-102, but like the GFS drops the dewpoints into the 50s and lower 60s. The NAM has temperatures in the middle to upper 90s, with afternoon dewpoints in the middle to upper 60s. The Blend of models is similar to the NAM.

      Basically, your choices are ridiculously hot but not nearly as humid, or very hot and ridiculously humid. Given that the models all show south to southwest winds, I’d lean toward the ridiculously humid, but not nearly as hot.

      To get near 100

      1. Last part got cut off – To get near 100, you really need West or West-northwest winds around here, to downslope off the Monadnocks and Worcester Hills. However, downsloping also dries things out. As I mentioned, the models have south to southwest winds, that is not a hot direction for most of eastern Mass, as the trajectory comes over the water for a long time before getting here, hence more humid, not as hot.

  17. It’s official. This sustained heat is getting to me. Been feeling unwell for a couple of days. In a bit of a daze.

    The good news is I have been getting a bunch of work assignments. The bad news I can’t concentrate well, and need to pretty much every day, including weekends, to get the work done.

      1. Headed to East Central/Northern Vermont tomorrow. It’ll still be hot during the day, but it cools off a bit more at night. I can work up there in peace and quiet … surrounded by deer, foxes, and bears, and my sister, her husband, and daughter, as well as several cats, a dog, chickens, a rooster, several sheep, two horses across the road, a pig pen adjacent to where the horses are. It’s sort of like Noah’s ark up there, well, without the biblical floods this time.

  18. Briefly touched 95 here today. Over the last 6 days here’s what I had here.

    Sunday – 90
    Monday – 83
    Tuesday – 92
    Wednesday – 96
    Thursday – 93
    Friday – 95

    I shutter to think what tomorrow and Sunday will bring.
    These temps are good as my sensor has been moved out of the sun into solid shade.

  19. Just checked the ocean temperature at the Block Island buoy 79.2 degrees. Could it go up to 80 degrees by Sunday? Maybe.

    1. Wow.

      My oldest and her family were at Gooseberry beach, Newport and said water was warm enough to stay in all day.

  21. My pool hit 82. It’s never gotten that warm. It’s a big pool and it takes a lot to heat it up. (50,000 gallons)

    It’s never been above 80 in the seven years I’ve been in this house. Let’s see if it can push to 83 next couple of days.

  23. Sox are down 10-0 in the 3rd inning. I’m afraid that the team we saw go 10 and 19 to begin the season is the real team, not the one that mostly beat up on mediocre competition for a stretch. They’re dead in the water. It’s actually really hard to lose 14-1; 13-2; and now be losing 10-0 in 3 consecutive games played (there was an All-Star break in between) when you’re a major league team. That’s a very dysfunctional team. Some talent, yes, but a train wreck otherwise.

  24. Nice night tonight up Hampton beach , loving these hot summer days as that’s how it should be & how I remember summers in Marshfield as a kid growing up

    2. Just in case:
      The record for most runs scored by a team in a single game is 36, set by the Chicago Colts (now the Chicago Cubs) against the Louisville Colonels (which joined the National League in 1892) on June 29, 1897. The modern-day record of 30 was set on August 22, 2007, by the Texas Rangers against the Baltimore Orioles.

      2. The 30-3 broke the previous Red Sox record of a 25 run spread between Sox and browns. I think in 1950

            1. Time to move forward to Patriots training camp next week, and even that team has lots of questions to answer. They could very well disappoint also. We will see.

  26. I really had to laugh when media said the Sox season was over.
    No, it’s not. How many times do people stay things like that based on the score of one game? Yes they have had ups and downs this season, but they’ve had good stretches as well as bad ones. The season is NOT OVER. Why can’t anyone understand that it’s not over until it’s mathematically over? Why bother playing games if that isn’t the case? Why? Because it has to be statistically over to be actually over.

    28-5 loss.
    1-0 loss.
    Here’s a little fact: Both of those scores count as ONE loss.
    The team has already moved on. Many of the fans, and the media, apparently have not. 😉

    Oh yeah, new weather post…

Comments are closed.