Friday August 5 2022 Forecast (6:58AM)

106 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 5-9)

A hot spell continues as the Bermuda High set up remains dominant through at least Monday, possibly into Tuesday, before breaking. So this also includes the coming weekend. While down the road there are stronger signs of a break in the heat, while I previously said this pattern reminds me a little bit of one we evolved into in 1988, it won’t last quite as long as that spell of hot August weather did, so while this is a good old fashioned stretch of hot summer weather, it’s far from unprecedented. We’ve seen a few records fall recently, but we’re not exactly picking them off like a shooting gallery this summer either, which ran near to below for temperature until the middle of July before we flipped to a warmer / hotter regime. Anyway, of more immediate concern is the continuation and slow expansion of our drought, as areas that do see rainfall often see it in short-lived heavier bursts from showers and thunderstorms, and it doesn’t really absorb well, just running off, and being low coverage in terms of the entire region. And with somewhat limited opportunities for shower and thunderstorm activity, I’m not looking for any improvement in the drought situation either. What looked like a more productive day today will be anything but, with just pop up storms that don’t have the ability to sustain themselves for long, and just rain themselves out without moving all that far, and again low coverage. This chance will diminish as we enter and go through the coming weekend. But it will return again during Monday with the approach of a frontal boundary from the north. This front may take until Tuesday to fully enter and cross the region so the shower and storm threat will continue then too.

TODAY: Cloud/sun mix. Isolated to scattered midday and afternoon showers and thunderstorms, any of which can produce torrential downpours, cloud-to-ground lightning, and possibly brief gusty winds. Highs 90-97 except 83-90 immediate coastal areas, especially South Coast. Dew point lower to middle 70s. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming SW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. An isolated shower or thunderstorm possible early. Patchy fog. Lows 70-77. Dew point upper 60s to 70. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs 88-95 except 80-87 some coastal areas. Dew point upper 60s to 70. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point middle 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. A slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. Highs 88-95 except 80-87 some coastal areas. Dew point upper 60s to 70. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 68-75. Dew point upper 60s to 70.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs 89-96, cooler South Coast. Dew point near 70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Lows 68-75. Dew point upper 60s to lower 70s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 82-89. Dew point around 70. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 10-14)

An area of high pressure moves in during the middle of next week with fair weather, lower humidity, and more seasonable warmth, then slides to the south with a spike in humidity and a shower and thunderstorm chance later in the week before a drier trend toward the middle of the month.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 15-19)

Continued hints that the hotter weather heads back toward the Midwest / Plains of the US and leaves the door open for a couple shots of cooler air from eastern Canada, but with continued below normal rainfall.

106 thoughts on “Friday August 5 2022 Forecast (6:58AM)”

    1. 2 local pizza places have a sign on the door “closed due to the latest heat wave”. Both have been around for 20+ years.

    2. Also said this morning, we have had the last 8PM sunset and it will be almost another year before the next one.

      1. I must say, I do miss the light.

        My daughter is working on Glasgow this summer, and it’s light out until 10:30pm. At its peak in late June, it didn’t really get dark until after 11pm. The weird thing is, of course, you don’t really have a summer there. Lisa was telling me about having to wear a scarf and that, for the most part, it’s been in the 50s/low 60s during the day and often 40s at night. During the UK’s great heat wave of 2022, it got to 81F in Glasgow for one day and then ferocious thunderstorms rolled in dropping temperatures back into the 60s.

  12. I searched for restaurants closing due to heat. I found a fair amount in the PNW But nothing here. Pizza places were often named. Remember our AC systems are not built to keep up to a high demand such as this….especially when you have open, brick ovens.

    Olive do you have the names of the places you are seeing closed? I’d like to support them if only in a small way. Closing is surely not something they want to do

      1. TK said pretty much the same. How is Mrs OS? Are your AC units keeping up?

        I live in fear that the neighborhood will blow yet another fuse and ultimately transformer. But in the same breath know I’m blessed to have AC whereas many are not. We didn’t in any of the previous prolonged heat waves

      1. SAK…..I believe if take the time to read, Eric said it was based on what the GFS and Euro were saying. You will also notice that I said Eric posted this last night

        I’m curious….does that mean you are questioning TKs forecast?

        1. Eric said that at 2:46pm yesterday, based on yesterday’s 12z model runs. The 18z, 00z, and 6z runs since then do NOT show that any more, and by the way, if you took the time to read like you said, you’d see that that TK doesn’t forecast that either.

          1. Omg…..I SAID ERIC HAD POSTED IT LAST NIGHT so folks would not think it was a tweet from today.

            My sincere apologizes for not mentioning the VERY EXACT time Eric posted. In order to read the tweet, a person needs to open it. It never occurred to me to mention the exact time Eric tweeted because I was pretty sure most were intelligent enough to see the time stamp when it was opened.

            Look..I’m so darned tired of having to check and recheck wording on everything I post on here because of your need to prove everyone wrong. You have repeatedly shown that no matter how wrong you are that you will always double down on your comments. And it isn’t just me you pick at, but I understand I’m your favorite target.

            I don’t pretend to be a meteorologist. I just love weather. TK tries to make this a blog where we can discuss and learn. We have never had to guard our wording on WHW. Thank you for now making what has always been a fun place uncomfortable.

            Don’t reply. Please if you read nothing else …..do not reply to me …..now or ever. I have no place in my life for bullies.

            1. You posted something that was out of date by 18 hours, and opposite to what every forecast shows, including the one on this blog. But I ‘m the one that’s wrong and it’s my fault. Got it.

  14. If I can acquire a decent bank loan, I am going to get my house AC’d via my oil company next year. They install central AC as well as oil related services. Hopefully they can do payment installments.

    I have absolutely had enough of this…CLIMATE CHANGE!!! >:-(

    1. Philip, mass save is offering a significant credit for heat pumps or mini split systems. Between 5000 and $10,000 . My SIL as far as I know does not work in your area but is always willing to speak with anyone looking for input.

    2. Well, some of it may be related to climate change – certainly the trend globally has been warmer – but I do think a lot of it is just summers in the Eastern Seaboard states of the U.S. (and some other states, too). We’re prone to spikes of heat and humidity. The good news for a metropolitan area like Boston is that the expiration date for sustained heat and humidity (for 2022) is approaching. Not there yet, but another 4 weeks or so. I’m trying to hang in there for another month. Maybe then my daze will be over.

      1. Yes we have a history of Bermuda High setups that go all the way back to the beginning of our observing of weather and I can safely assume before that as well. 😉

        The Atlantic ridge is a semi-permanent feature in the summer.

      2. You might want to consider AC as well. We are not getting any younger. The extreme heat now literally makes me temporarily ill, not just “uncomfortable”.

        Back in the day as a kid, we certainly had our share of heat, but Canadian air masses came to the rescue after a few days. Canada has being cut off at the pass for much more extended periods nowadays. Even remnants of tropical systems have now forsaken us. The last I heard, nothing but dust comes out of Africa.

  15. Logan is at 90 with calm wind. Guess what, that may do it for the day, unless there is another 5PM ish wind shift to land breeze.

    Either way, it is another day of 90.

  16. Eric was sure bullish on 100F for yesterday. Good thing I don’t make bets on weather. 😉

    Of course I very rarely play the lottery.

    1. He and a few others highlighted the Merrimack Valley area as most likely to hit 100. A few places did.

      My forecast high for Boston was 97. They hit 98.

      When it comes down to it, 98 and 100 are essentially the same. One of them just lacks the “glamour” the other one has. 😉

  17. He did mention that areas NNW or Boston might see 100 and they did. If those folks bet they would have won.

  19. Triple digit heat in Boston is rare, but does happen. Similarly, 0F is rare in Boston, but does happen. Without doing a search I wonder which happens more frequently. My guess is 0F. I may be way off.

    1. Yeah, in sun at Fenway for the pregame party before Def Leppard/Motley Crue/Poison/Joan Jett right now it’s quite toasty. There’s enough of a breeze to offset it though.

  23. Is it possible I’m seeing the Merrimack valley storms all the way from the south coast ? The northern horizon certainly has some beautiful towering cu.

  25. Plenty of convection out there now. Can we get some into my area? Here’s hoping. Sure looks like it.

    I hear thunder!!

  26. 12z GFS vs 12z Euro for Mon-Wed and sensible weather in southern New England.

    Looking at 500mb and 850mb, it’s not huge differences between the 2, but big differences in temps for certain areas.

    Interesting to watch further runs this weekend.

  29. I wonder if that storm that’s warned that is bearing down on Boston’s SW suburbs is producing hail ?? Purples and light whites showing up on NWS radar.

  32. Our northern sky is getting more beautiful by the passing minute.

    Few tiny cells popping on south shore, so clouds coming closer.

  33. Some welcome rain in Back Bay. Not buckets of it, but still. I have heard some thunder in the distance but not seen lightning.

  34. Temp down to 74 here.
    BEST Thunderstorm I have seen in years!!!!
    Can’t be sure how much rain as my rain gauge has
    crapped out. Based on puddles, something like .2 to .4 inch, perhaps a tad more if lucky.
    And it was windy here for sure. I’d say gusts over 40 mph perhaps to 50mph.

  35. A 30-minute very heavy at times shower (downpour) here in Dorchester. I got home from work in the nick of time. It appears to be done as of this posting.

    It behaved much like a very heavy mid-winter snow squall, without the snow. Visibility briefly was nonexistent.

  36. We are getting pounded here in pembroke with torrential downpours, wind , lightning & incredibly loud thunder .

  37. Seems to be a difference of opinion for temps on Tuesday.Eric still has 95 for the day while others are 10 degrees lower. Know it’s a bit early but I am trying to plan some Cape time. Any thoughts? Thanks.

    1. I’m not sure which Mets set the 10 days today and don’t know some of the local Mets as well as others. wbz has 95, whdh has 91, NBc10 has 85, WCVB has 84, TK has 89. Other than the temps everyone gives, I can’t say more other than perhaps the cape cape will be cooler. I do see a chance for storms which may have more impact than the heat. Good luck and I hope you have a great time

    2. At that many days away that type of forecast difference really not all that unusual.

      It’s seldom continues to be that big of a difference at one day closer. The various guidance has been somewhat all over the place as previously stated, but that’s really nothing new and it’s just up to the interpretation of the forecaster.

      You could make a case for it being that hot that day, or a case for it being much cooler than that. Tomorrow, hopefully it will be a little bit more clear.

  38. A cool (literally and figuratively) gust front came through and knocked the temp from 95º to 77º. Only 0.07″ in soft showers. The heavy stuff stayed just to our north (Norton and Easton), hit the Kryptonite and then bounced over toward SSK and Tom.

    1. I’ll take that. Since we no longer can water, I’m putting out feelers to see who would like to hay our lawn

  41. Maybe some experts can weigh in on this. A jeopardy question said planting rows of trees in the east and west side of your house can cut down on AC charges in summer. I would have thought south??

    1. The thing that comes to mind is this…

      South would apply if we assume the house is in the northern hemisphere. If it’s a southern hemisphere house then it would be north. But in either hemisphere east and west would cut down on both the low sun of the morning and the low sun of the afternoon shining directly in the windows.

      Perhaps the thought process here is that you are going to get sun shining into the eastern and western sides no matter which hemisphere you are in whereas it would have to be one or the other for the other two directions.

      So they went for the sure bet.

    2. Chandler Wobble. Because the Earth is not perfectly spherical. These changes have always happened and are nothing new.

      The two earthquakes that caused the tsunamis were also reasons for slight changes in the speed. One can only imagine how the speed differed during the ice ages and ice-free polar times this planet has had through its history. The moon will always negate these effects over time, however.

      The various news stories will use this to push whatever narrative the origin pushes. Stick to the science of it. 🙂

      Oh yes… “Shortest day ever” the headlines say. So, we’ll ignore the fact our rotation rate was much faster millions of years ago when the moon was much closer to the earth. And imagine the tide cycle then? Good thing we were not around for that!

  44. I don’t post much here anymore but was sad to just read that Bruce Schwoegler passed. May he Rest In Peace.

  46. Very sad indeed, I grew up watching him on channel 4 and could not wait to see him give the weather during the evening news. He was my all time favorite on air meteorologist. One of my most cherished memories was the time he came to Sturbridge to serve as the grand marshal of the town’s bicentennial parade when I was in high school. I had the opportunity to speak with him and told him of my interest in becoming a meteorologist, he asked me for my name and address and I was more than ecstatic to find a packet in the mail several days later with a bunch of weather literature, cloud chart poster, and some black and white mimeographed printouts of satellite photos of New England from the previous day that were hand autographed by him. It was such a brief maybe 5 minute meeting with him and I was shocked that he remembered and took the time to send this to me. He was such a class act, RIP Bruce.

  47. I have an autographed photo of Bruce he gave me after his lecture on the Blizzard of ‘78 at the Old South Meeting House back in the 1990’s. I still have it displayed in my room today. 🙂

Comments are closed.