Wednesday September 7 2022 Forecast (7:48AM)

33 Comments

Today completes the transition from wet weather back to dry weather, but a little time is needed for the low level moisture with lingering drizzle and light showers in parts of the South Coast region. As high pressure builds slowly into the region but its center stays to the north we’ll have a northeasterly air flow through Friday, and while still having to contend with some clouds at times into Thursday, the trend will be back to sun each day. The high pressure area will sink to the south over and eventually just to the south of the region during the weekend which will feature dry weather and a warming trend. In summary, after our healthy rainfall event, it’s back to a stretch of dry weather. As we head through late week and the weekend, we’ll experience larger swells and rough surf along the coast due to offshore tropical activity – strengthening Hurricane Earl – moving north to northeast, passing just east of Bermuda early Friday and starting to curve northeastward over open water heading into the weekend.

TODAY: Abundant clouds and areas of drizzle and light showers South Coast to start then more sun there while there is a sun / cloud mix elsewhere. Areas of fog early morning. Highs 66-73. Dew point falling into and through 50s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Areas of ground fog overnight. Lows 48-55. Dew point lower 50s to upper 40s. Wind NE to N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 71-78, coolest coast. Dew point lower 50s. Wind N to E up to 10 MPH, except 15 MPH at the coast.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy ground fog forming. Lows 53-60. Dew point lower 50s. Wind diminishing to calm.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 74-81, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy ground fog forming. Lows 53-60. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-83, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy ground fog re-forming overnight. Lows 54-61. Dew point 50s. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77–84, coolest South Coast. Dew point upper 50s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 12-16)

The potential for some unsettled weather as a trough of low pressure and frontal system cross the Northeast from later September 12 through early September 15 with temperatures near to above normal during this time. Generally fair and seasonably mild weather later in the period as high pressure returns to the region.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 17-21)

The final 5 full days of summer should feature a fairly dry pattern with temperatures near to above normal as high pressure controls most of the time.

33 thoughts on “Wednesday September 7 2022 Forecast (7:48AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    I am looking forward to watching Hurricane Kay the next few days and its impact on the Baja of California and how much of an impact on California and other areas of the southwestern US.

    1. I’ve been wondering what impact it would have. CA is having a tough time. Mac’s brother said it was 107 eastern Bay Area yesterday and 111 the day before. They never had AC. But recently have they needed it occasionally so installed two mini splits.

      1. Well, potentially 2 fold.

        For a brief time, could increase the winds from the E or SE and that could work against containing any fires.

        At some point, moisture aloft should combine with daytime heating to increase shower/storm chances over the weekend. Some chance a general rain area could even briefly move over southern CA and with an E or SE wind, the east side of the hills/mountains down there could be in for some heavy rains. If there’s fire damage to the vegetation, that could increase a flood risk.

  5. Thank you, TK!

    North I just saw your question from yesterday. Basement stayed dry. How was yours?

    SIL starts installation of our heat pump today so I’m happy we don’t have water down there.

    1. We started going to Stowe in 1977. It sure hasn’t changed and I love it. I didn’t see your photo yesterday but I have Rockwell’s image on my bedroom wall. Mac and I stayed at that Inn (on the right) years ago. What an amazing place to sit on the porch in a rocking chair with a glass of wine and people watch. The Rockwell museum is in Stockbridge. Mac’s parents and mine had all of the Saturday evening posts …..just never thought of keeping them. Very sad.

      https://imgur.com/a/69zaY30

  10. Thanks TK.

    3.35” of rain in Coventry CT from the total storm event (late Sunday though last night). It was the perfect kind of rain…a long duration soaking moderate rain event with some occasional heavier downpours. This following up on our 4.5” August has really put a nice dent in the drought. The grass and landscaping are looking noticeably better today. Unfortunately that means I will now be spending part of this weekend mowing!

  11. I got a total of 0.97 inch for Logan. Does that sound correct?
    Seems correct to me. Similar total here for sure. 🙂

    I’ll take it, but wanted more.

  12. The benefits from Kay will outweigh any negative impacts for CA. This is generally good news! The Southwest is having their drought attacked more this year than any time recently. And CPC’s outlook for the months ahead says there is more good news for the Southwest. Things are starting to change out there.

  13. My total was 0.92, so I think Logan’s is accurate. Boston itself is clearly not out of the drought woods. If I’m counting correctly we’ve had a grand total of around 3.6 inches of rain since the last week of June. And it’s showing everywhere on my run today. More fallen branches, lots of yellowing and browning leaves as well as bare branches. The 0.92 did help a bit, but it’s a far cry from what was needed.

    1. …Suffolk County…
      Boston 6.5 SW 2.20 in 0730 AM 09/07 COCORAHS
      Jamaica Plain 2.09 in 0750 AM 09/07 COOP
      Brookline 1.26 in 0905 AM 09/07 AWS
      Chelsea 0.8 N 1.13 in 0700 AM 09/07 COCORAHS
      1 E Allston 0.93 in 0904 AM 09/07 AWS
      Logan AP 0.87 in 0854 AM 09/07 ASOS
      Boston 0.80 in 0846 AM 09/07 CWOP
      1 NW South Boston 0.66 in 0905 AM 09/07 AWS

  14. I probably sound like a fuddy-duddy, but when I overheard people (parents) near a school say today – “it feels like fall, nice and chilly and crisp” – I was thinking, no, it’s not chilly and it sure ain’t crisp. That will come for sure, in a few weeks. But, what we’re experiencing now is a fairly gradual decline in temperatures and even dew points (still quite elevated this morning, in my opinion, when I heard the comments). This is not September 2013 (or maybe it was 2014) when we had quite a few mornings in the 40s. That felt crisp and fall-like.

    2. Well for what it’s worth, the Boston temperature is -2.2° F departure for September so far.

      This includes a -7.5° departure on September 2, a -2.7° departure on September 3, a -2.2° departure on September 5, and a -5.4° departure on September 6.

      With a low of 60° and a high of 71° today they will run about -3° departure.

      So it is definitely a cool September so far, albeit only one week in. But I will definitely agree it has not been all that crisp since September 4. The first three days of the month however had dew points as low as the 40s, so those were rather crisp, especially September 2 when Boston started out in the middle 50s and never got out of the 60s.

  15. So I think I know what the folks at the bus stop meant. It isn’t crispy with a 59 DP. but even at 69 the breeze is quite cool. I’m borderline thinking of swapping shorts for sweats.

    2. Yes I agree. 59 dew point is definitely not oppressively humid but it is certainly not in the crisp category either. The dew points are slower to come down with a wind off the water.

      1. Absolutely agree. And I donned a lightweight sweatshirt which has me laughing since I barely wear something that heavy in the dead of winter.

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