Monday September 12 2022 Forecast (6:58AM)

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The forecast for the next 5 days is a pretty straightforward one for our area. The wildfire smoke is gone. The coastal waters are settling down. The weather will be most active early in the week as a warm front moves through early today with a possible shower to start the day, then warm and humid weather. A cold front follows on Tuesday, trailing from low pressure passing to our north. This front brings us our only shot of fairly widespread showers, which may also bring a few downpours, but generally a non-beneficial rainfall. We’ll have to watch for some gusty winds with these as well, but the threat of severe weather, albeit slight, is west of our region. After this, high pressure approaches Wednesday behind that front but a little cold pool above us will help create passing diurnal clouds for a sun/cloud mix, then a sunnier sky can be expected Thursday and Friday as the high moves closer bringing us a change to below normal temperatures.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy start including the chance of a passing rain shower. Partly sunny mid morning on. Humid – dew point 65+. Highs 77-84. Wind S under 10 MPH early shifting to SW and increasing to 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Humid – dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 70-77. Humid – dew point 60+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with patchy fog and showers likely early. Clearing overnight. Lows 56-63. Drying air. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 73-80. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 17-21)

September 17-18 weekend looks mostly dry, warmest Saturday dominated by high pressure to the south, cooling Sunday as a front goes by and high pressure anew comes from the north (eastern Canada). Watching for higher humidity, milder air, and a shower chance early the following week with a trough approaching and arriving from the west. Fair weather returns by the end of the period as a progressive pattern kicks the trough out of here.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 22-26)

Autumn arrives with the equinox on the evening of September 22. The last hours of summer may be warm before another frontal system delivers cooler air to the region for the middle and end portion of this period, but otherwise a generally dry pattern with high pressure in control for much of the time. Despite recent events, not seeing any lasting drought relief and we should remain in drought for some time to come.

61 thoughts on “Monday September 12 2022 Forecast (6:58AM)”

  4. Thanks TK !

    Some puddles around and leftover mist. Appears we received .05 in Marshfield. We’ll happily take it.

  7. Hmmm
    Spc has us in marginal risk for severe
    and also has us in 2% chance of tornado.
    Interesting. so now we have to watch for rotation again.

  9. Buses really packed with school kids this morning. Since BPS opened on Thursday I wonder if many skipped the first day and Friday? It could also be due to the Orange Line shutdown. Last Thursday there was quite a few older kids roaming around the neighborhood. When I was coming out of my Stop & Shop, there was a couple of which looked to be Middle school boys entering with their mother. Today begins BPS Kindergarten.

    Teachers here on WHW: Is there a slight reduction in attendance for the first couple days of school? My thinking is due to not so much skipping school as is parents not yet prepared to send their kids on the first day.

    Just wondering.

  14. ToJpDave’s post above regarding CPC outlook for tomorrow ….

    If I’m reading short range models correctly, the storms to watch tomorrow are not the one’s late in the day with the cold front, but mid morning to early afternoon with a warm/higher dewpoint front, at a time when sfc winds may be more S or SE.

  18. As per MA DESE guidance, there will be no more virtual learning option on snow days. Just sleep in and enjoy! 🙂

    1. Virtual learning will replace snow days in NYC, Maine, Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Ohio and Pennsylvania. 🙁

        1. No problem Vicki. Your response was quite appropriate for this side. It’s both weather and Covid related. 🙂

          1. I was actually hoping that our teachers would respond. I suppose they already know but I didn’t until today. 🙂

    1. You got your stand-out events like 1938, and Hurricane Bob, but the 1954-1960 period was unprecedented for so many impacts on New England in such a relatively short period of time.

      Donna produce a strong wind here that was lifting a hinged roof on a screen house and repeatedly slamming it back down. My father and uncle went out mid-storm to tie it down – successfully, and it was saved.

      1. Belle’s New England landfall in New England was not as a hurricane, but a tropical storm, so technically it doesn’t count.

        Gloria was the first hurricane after Donna to make landfall in New England.

    3. ❤️. Thank you. I was in sixth grade and spent the day a the small porch where I had my homemade weather station.

      I was too young to know how much damage it did. I do know my dad drive my mom to a dr appointment in the afternoon

    1. And, at least by satellite, there’s another one behind these 2, that currently is a nice blob of thunderstorms.

  27. I always feel like September has a night or 2 that could belong in July. This is one of those Sept night’s. Dp’s nearing 70F. Just a very oppressive night.

    1. I have a different perspective. The new heat pump went live yesterday except for improved duct work upstairs. So to keep the folks upstairs comfy, the person downstairs freezes. And considering the fact I sit outside all winter, if I say it is freezing ….well I’m guessing it might snow down here. So sitting outside felt wonderful. Even with a 69 DP

    2. Those have never felt like July nights to me. The length of day / time of darkness always stands out, so the time of year is obvious, and it’s just a humid late summer / early autumn night to me in a case like that. 🙂

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