Friday October 14 2022 Forecast (7:17AM)

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A wave of low pressure has moved by us overnight as a cold front slowly approached, helping to enhance a fairly healthy rainfall event for most of the region, which will help to further reduce the drought. The final push of showers will move through this morning from west to east, including an additional downpour with possible gusty winds for a brief period of time. Behind this, we’ll dry out with breaking clouds, more sun, and a gusty breeze, although it will be a mild day and even a bit on the relatively humid side for several hours before drier air arrives from the west and southwest. So improvement does come and sets us up for a fairly nice weekend. The guaranteed nicest day is Saturday with lots of sun, a few clouds, and mild air with a west to southwest breeze at modest speeds. On Sunday we still may see some additional cloudiness in advance of another low pressure trough, but I’m pretty confident any rain showers stay away and it’s another nice day. Things change quickly later Sunday night and Monday as a frontal system, first warm front, then eventually slow moving cold front, brings rainfall back to the region during Monday (steadiest rainfall likely in the afternoon / evening) and lingering into Tuesday (in the form of showers). Still have to fine-tune that bout of unsettled weather for the forecast and will do so over the next few days…

TODAY: Cloudy with rain showers including some downpours ending from west to east later this morning except lingering near the MA East Coast and NH Seacoast into early afternoon and Cape Cod until about mid afternoon. Clouds break for sun southwest to northeast midday and afternoon. Highs 65-72. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to SW.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Mostly clear overnight. Patchy fog forming in lower elevations. Lows 47-54. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 51-58. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely, especially during the afternoon. Highs 60-67. Wind SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain likely evening and a chance of rain showers overnight. Areas of fog. Lows 50-57. Wind SE to S up to 15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly to variably cloudy with a good chance of rain showers. Highs 61-68. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 19-23)

Progression of a trough of low pressure to the east brings drier but much cooler air to the region during the middle of next week with continued mainly dry weather and slight temperature moderation toward the end of the period including the October 22-23 weekend.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 24-28)

The mean trough position stays in the Great Lakes to Northeast into late month. Early in this period it should be far enough west to allow additional unsettled weather including a potential significant rain event. Later on it should shift east with an early season shot of cold potentially arriving here – maybe even initiating the first snow showers of the season for at least some areas, or at least nearby.

32 thoughts on “Friday October 14 2022 Forecast (7:17AM)”

  11. Logan now at 2.22 inches and it looks on radar as if that “should” be the final total unless a seagull takes a piss over the rain gauge.

    1. Seriously speaking, I “think” that really happens on occasion.

      For my rain gauge, I have noticed it register 0.01 inch
      on a clear day. A bird? Perhaps a squirrel? Something contributed the 0.01 inch. 🙂

              1. I really don’t know. For all I know a neighbor was playing a trick on me. 🙂

                Moot point now as my rain gauge is kaput! 🙂 : )

  13. I saw “snow” (I’ll ignore that it was followed by shower) up above..happy to be back on the blog for the season.

    1. CFS model likes the idea of a mean trough around here through the end of the year, a lot of near to below normal temps and plenty of opportunity for flakes. Snowstorms? Not sure. Flakes? I think so. I think it’s an early year for those, but that doesn’t necessarily mean an abundance of snow either. Ways to go to figure that out. 🙂

  14. The next Drought Monitor map “should” be pretty much clear. No more of those deep reds and oranges.

    1. It’s already out, and that’s not true at all. Still going to take a while to clear it. There will be additional improvement on the next one though between today’s and next Monday’s events.

  15. Thanks, TK…
    It was wild here in Middleboro for a time mid-morning with lowered visibity in heavy, sidewards rain.
    Sun wants to come out and play now.

  16. Two of my favorite artists collaborate on this song, written by Thomas Dolby. The song is on Todd Rundgren’s new album, “Space Force”, which was released today, ironically on Thomas’s birthday. 🙂

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a2za8Vi8RbE

    JPD this particular one may be up your alley, style-wise.

      1. my brother’s band used to play this tune all of the time.

        At a family party they let me play guitar on 2 tunes, taking care of business bachman turner overdrive and last time rolling stones.

        That was a hoot.

      2. That’s a fun song for sure, but in my opinion far from his best. If you want a great example of his more recent really good stuff, listen to the album White Knight from 2017. Phenom.

        He’s got a great catalog going all the way back to the Nazz days in the late 1960s.

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