Tuesday October 18 2022 Forecast (7:07AM)

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A few hours of unsettled weather to start the day today as a slow-moving cold front clears the coast. By later in the day, drier air will be making its return, and high pressure then takes over at the surface while a low pressure trough remains to our west from mid to late week. Initially, we cool down with the return of dry air for midweek, then warm up again as surface high pressure shifts to the southeast of New England by late week.

TODAY: Cloudy into midday with occasional rain showers and patchy fog. Breaking clouds leading to periods of sun afternoon – more sun by late day. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, becoming more gusty by late in the day.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 53-60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42.Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 53-60. Wind W 5-15 MPH becoming variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 57-64. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 40-47. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 23-27)

High pressure hangs on with fair and mild weather expected to finish off the weekend October 23. Low pressure from the south brings the chance of rain for October 24 then weakens over the region while a frontal boundary moves in from the west with a chance of rain showers during October 25. The end of this forecast period is more uncertain. The pattern will still feature a trough of low pressure Midwest and Great Lakes and high pressure to the east. For our area this can mean either fair weather or additional unsettled weather as disturbances from the trough eject eastward, but can be thwarted by the high pressure area. For now, leaning toward fair weather over foul, but will have to keep an eye on it.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 28 – NOVEMBER 1)

The uncertainty that presents itself later in the 6-10 day period continues into the 11-15 day period as well with no big change in the overall weather pattern, so while we have some unsettled weather threats and variable temperatures it’s not possible to even attempt to nail down any details this far in advance.

29 thoughts on “Tuesday October 18 2022 Forecast (7:07AM)”

    1. And other than the opening weekend of the month, we’re on a roll of very nice weekends (8-9, 15-16, upcoming 22-23). 🙂

  3. Thanks TK !

    Understanding that as we get deeper into the cooler season, upper level ridges and mild/warm 850 mb temps don’t necessarily translate to surface warmth up here in the arctic 🙂 …..

    At least at 500 mb, looks like an opportunity at a milder pattern in the mid-long range compared to what we experienced from mid Sept thru early October.

    1. The CFS has fairly consistently hinted at this – but also has been consistently hinting that it’s temporary. 😉

      1. LOL, from an exhaustion standpoint, yes.

        From a scheduling standpoint of tacking on days in June, I wish we had none. 🙂

    2. Soon enough (I hope)

      Just want to spend Jan – late April in Florida, maybe the Carolinas the first 2 weeks in May and then Memorial Day thru New Years up here.

      I’m happy to spend the Holidays and experience some early season snow and darkness up here, but I don’t need the extended version of dark, cold winter many more times. Definitely up here the whole cold season this year.

  6. Been a little while since I’ve had a WBZ radio dramatic anchor quote but this morning’s was funny…

    “There are already millions of Americans in a deep freeze in the Midwest as well as the south.”.

    Sure.

  8. We are not the only ones who only have to wait a minute if we don’t like the weather.

    A north central South Carolina friend sent this txt last night. Her second home is in Concord NH

    “It reached 80 here today with sun and a beautiful breeze. Tonight it will drop into the 30s, and tomorrow’s high might be 60!!
    Expecting a frost tomorrow night ….and We aren’t in New England!!”

    1. Child who will be in Charleston in a couple of weeks is worrying they won’t be able to use the pool. Although it is heated so fingers crossed.

  12. Nice surprise with the temps in eastern Mass. mid-upper 60s.

    Much cooler in central/western areas. Probably on borrowed time.

    1. Won’t make 60’s tomorrow or Thursday. Just a precious few degrees below normal I believe. It’s that time of year.

    2. When the trough axis is that far west the cool air delivery is always slow here. We get it, but it’s slow & indirect. If this was a direct shot with a progressive trough swinging right through, we’d be talking much below normal temps for a couple days rather than a more “modified” cool.

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