Wednesday October 19 2022 Forecast (7:20AM)

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High pressure provides fair weather with a moderating temperature trend into the weekend, as the high center settles to the south and east of New England. During Sunday we’re going to see a wind shift to northeast and an increase in clouds from south to north (and maybe some lower ocean clouds near the coast) as low pressure approaches from the south.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45.Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 57-64. Wind W 5-15 MPH becoming variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 36-43. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 59-66. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 40-47. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 43-50. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 60-67. Wind variable to NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 24-28)

Low pressure brings a good chance of rain October 24 then decays and lifts through the region with additional rain showers possible on October 25. A frontal boundary from the west may bring a rain shower at some point in the October 26-27 window otherwise the trend is back to fair and mild weather for the waning days of the month as the mean trough stays to the west and high pressure off the US East Coast.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 29 – NOVEMBER 2)

The large scale pattern doesn’t change all that much but may start to get a little more amplified, so we’ll have to watch for a more important storm system to start taking shape somewhere in the eastern US and our weather as a result will depend on where it is in proximity to this location. Right now I see an opportunity for one or two spokes of moisture to reach the region with rain chances but no full-fledged storm arrival. Something to watch the evolution of in the days ahead.

21 thoughts on “Wednesday October 19 2022 Forecast (7:20AM)”

    1. Good grief. We haven’t had heat since mid April. I don’t mean we haven’t turned it on. We have not had a heat source. Even when we do, my heat stays at 64/66

      But a top of 75 with a room of at least 25 people. Do they pass through a shower on the way out?

    2. I would FREEZE if the classroom was set at 65F.
      Just saying.
      65 outside, I’d be fine in a tee shirt, but 65 inside and I would freeze to death. Go Figure. 🙂

  11. Hmmm

    Only 53 here currently. A wee bit of chill in the air.

    Low temp wasn’t bad, but temp is not responding well to the sunshine. 🙂

    1. Not really “well above”. That darker shading is just a higher percentage chance of above normal. See the key on the map. I don’t think the pattern will support it being super warm compared to normal, but we will see a reversal of the pattern soon where the chilly East & South warm up and the West turns colder. We see the first hint of that getting underway later this week then a little more established next week to the start of November. Somewhere in there we reverse the reversal.

      1. Thanks TK for the explanation of the darker shading. I’ll have to remember that for future viewings of those maps. 🙂

        Could November end up mostly above normal temperatures? Or will that be only temporary to start off the month?

        1. It’s easy to just see the colors and think that, especially if you have looked at such maps for a long time, because once upon a time they used to do it exactly like that – a direct forecast rather than a percentage chance forecast. I actually like the old way better. 🙂

          Hard to say where November goes right now. Guidance has changed its tune in the medium range and there’s a lot of uncertainty to sort out. What I do not see right now is any kind of lasting warmth, at least the real anomalous kind.

          We do have the milder air in the shorter term as noted, but beyond that, I don’t see a lot of persistent mildness.

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