A brief update for the Sunday blog post. Not many adjustments to the previous forecast discussion. Saturday’s splendid autumn weather has given way to a less-nice Sunday with lots of clouds, and eventually some rain moving into the region. In fact it’s already around the islands and parts of Cape Cod and the rain shield will push more to the north and northwest with time, while battling some dry air in place. By evening and tonight, most areas will have seen some rainfall and this occasional wet weather will continue through Monday in response to a low pressure area making a visit from the south. This system moves off to the northeast and weakens Tuesday but we’re left with a trough in the vicinity into midweek and additional shower chances at times, until a cold front pushes it all off to the east on Thursday.
TODAY: Clouds thicken. Rain at times South Coast to MA South Shore mid morning on. Patches of light rain push through Boston area west and north later in the day but much of day dry in these areas. Highs 55-62. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain and drizzle. Foggy areas – possibly dense. Highs 55-62. Wind E to variable up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Fog. Overcast. Drizzle possible. Chance of a shower. Lows 48-55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Lots of clouds. Foggy areas early. Chance of a shower. Highs 55-62. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Chance of showers, especially overnight. Lows 48-55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of showers. Areas of fog. Highs 55-62. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers early, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 57-64. Wind S 5-15 MPH shifting to W.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 28 – NOVEMBER 1)
Have to watch offshore storm early in the period, otherwise high pressure should be in general control with dry weather to finish off October, cool to start then moderating. November may start with unsettled weather arriving.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 2-6)
A trough of low pressure brings unsettled weather to the region, especially for the first part of the period, before trending back to fair weather.
Thanks, TK.
Good morning and thank you TK
Good Sunday morning, and thank you as always TK.
Rain appears to be making very slow progress Northward.
Thanks TK !
Thanks TK.
6Z GFS still has the hurricane. In fact, it wants to pummel Puerto Rico.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat_mm&rh=2022102306&fh=294&r=watl&dpdt=&mc=
Eventually takes a right turn and moves East of Bermuda
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat_mm&rh=2022102306&fh=378&r=watl&dpdt=&mc=
That would be a pretty potent November hurricane.
Thanks TK
This day in weather history goes back four years ago with four tornadoes touching down
https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/1584167758408945665
Thanks TK.
White Thanksgiving this year?
Mark Margavage tweet:
Wow! That is an exciting look of the #PolarVortex in November if you like #winter weather in the US. This would be a significant disruption and elongation of the PV which would supply plenty of cold to North America for a November snowstorm down the line. #wxtwitter
https://twitter.com/meteomark/status/1583830375356596224?s=46&t=eaPh4nIknUDXJ9f7YTRy3A
If my memory serves, we have seen more October/Halloween snow events than Thanksgiving ones in recent years.
Well, we saw a few chunks of ice breaking off glaciers during our cruise to Alaska in August but nothing like this!
https://twitter.com/michaelwarbur17/status/1582905015806857216?s=46&t=eaPh4nIknUDXJ9f7YTRy3A
I would be terrified if I was in that boat!
Mark I am sure your upset like I am and all Yankees fans that Boone took Gerrit Cole out of the sixth inning with the Yankees down only two runs. Michael Kay quite upset with the move on the YES postgame show. The Yankees have been completely shut down this series and only hitting .162 as a team for the postseason. I just hope they show fight tonight and I don’t see them doing what the 2004 Red Sox did against the Yankees down 3-0.
Yes dreadful JJ. Boones management of his pitchers with all the quick pulls is terrible. I would have to imagine his job is in jeopardy after the Yankees are eliminated. Their outfield play has been atrocious as well. The score shouldn’t even have been 2-0 were it not for that botched play by Judge/Bader colliding on a routine pop fly. Of course all this is irrelevant when you can only manufacture 4 runs total in 3 games.
They definitely deserve to lose this series but I have to admit I wasn’t expecting them to go down this easy.
The Yankees problem in the postseason is they strike out too much and don’t put the ball in play. Yesterday it was the bottom part of the Astros lineup that hurt the Yankees. Now all you could ask if your a Yankees fan is put up a fight tonight and don’t got quietly into the night.
Houston doesn’t mess around. Last year the Red Sox lost the remaining games after being up in the series 2-1.
Jimmy, your Yankees are not losing to a crappy team by any stretch, if there is any consolation.
I don’t follow baseball closely as you know. But that is such a nice comment, Philip. Sure made me smile.
Thanks Vicki but I don’t follow baseball anywhere nearly close like I used to. I know enough that Houston gives every team fits especially during the postseason.
Time lapse camera from a house in Sanibel Island during Hurricane Ian. That’s an incredible storm surge. Fortunately for this guy the house and camera made it through intact
https://twitter.com/kylagaler/status/1583542387959160833?s=46&t=KC5jfp1M4gKvyWw9xUNsew
Thanks TK.
Thank you, TK
Mark, thank you for the sanibel and glacier videos. They are equally terrifying and amazing examples of the power of Mother Nature
JimmyJames,,thank you for the day in history. My son and his wife bought a home in Lincoln RI three years ago. I’ll send this to them.
12z GFS maintains the theme of developing a potent hurricane in the Caribbean in the long range that crushes the VI and PR
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=eatl&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2022102312&fh=312
Fortunately still in fantasy land range.
Actually more of a direct VI hit and less PR on that particular run.
The 6Z run got PR, but this 12z run is more of a VI hit as you say.
Look at the 300 mb chart for hour 384.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=300wh_nb&rh=2022102312&fh=384&r=na&dpdt=&mc=
There is 16 days for that trough to sharpen up. or not. 🙂
Who knows what lurks ahead. This is what, 6 or 8 successive runs where it has this system, albeit different strengths and positions.
At this point, still likely to stay well East of the East coast.
But, still fun watching it.
First Rain began here in JP about 5-10 minutes ago.
Bit of rain here and there in SE Sutton for maybe an hour. Sure is a raw day. Thought hard about turning heat on this morning
Rain now steady here.
If this was 3 months later, this blog would put an active volcano to shame. 🙂
Haha you definitely have a way of putting things. 😉
I really thought we would have more rain by now. Only 0.06” in the bucket.
The initial burst was battling dry air and weakening. Models nearly always “over-forecast” this stuff.
The rest of this event is showery so some places will see more than others. But not a widespread “significant” event in general. Just several days of unsettled weather.
New weather post…