Friday November 11 2022 Forecast (7:58AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

First, a thank you to all Veterans who have served and continue to serve our country today! For those who have today off, this ends up as a 3-day weekend. We’ll have dry weather for Veterans Day parades and ceremonies, most of which take place this morning and midday, though clouds are already rapidly moving in ahead of the long-talk-about systems we are about to encounter. We’ll have a combo of the moisture and low pressure area that was Nicole coming from the south, while a broad trough of low pressure approaching from the west pushes a frontal boundary into and across the region by midday Saturday. We’re still looking at two main batches of rainfall, one this evening and one tomorrow morning, but there maybe a few rain showers around at other times as well. While the first area will be a pretty solid area, a lot of it may be far enough west that Cape Cod and parts of the South Shore miss out on the bulk of it. The second area may also be concentrated more north and west so that these same areas get a more brief period of wet weather than other areas do for the second main batch on Saturday. There will be the possibility of some damaging wind gusts with both batches of rain showers, especially in any heavier ones. The second area has the ability to produce rotating showers that can also lead to very brief, weak tornadoes, but this chance is rather remote, just not zero. By Saturday midday and afternoon all o f the unsettled weather will be pulling quickly offshore and we’ll see quite the nice afternoon. After a very mild and muggy overnight tonight and Saturday morning, it will dry out in the afternoon but remain fairly mild, as the cold air behind this system will be lagging the departure of the rain – so despite a gusty breeze it will turn out to be a rather nice afternoon. With the trough axis still to our west and another disturbance to come along, in addition to a secondary cold front that has to cross the region, after holding out I am going to add some rainfall to the Sunday morning and midday forecast. I do not expect this to end up as a rainy day, but somewhat like Saturday, the first part of the day will be unsettled, followed by improvement, but this time the colder air will come in, along with wind, and you will definitely notice. High pressure brings fair weather and below normal temperatures early in the coming week, with some passing fair weather clouds and a gusty breeze Monday, and less wind Tuesday, but you’ll notice high clouds starting to appear in the sky ahead of the next weather system we’ll have to watch…

TODAY (VETERANS DAY): Clouding up. A rain shower possible this afternoon. Highs 66-73. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts by late in the day.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Numerous to widespread rain showers and a slight chance of thunder, though rain showers may be only scattered Cape Cod. Areas of fog. Lows 59-66. Dew point rising to 60+. Wind S 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-30 MPH, isolated gusts 35-55 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with widespread showers, some heavy, and a slight chance of thunder along with areas of fog during the morning. Breaking clouds followed by clearing west to east during the afternoon. Highs 65-72 in the morning, then falling through the 60s. Dew point 60+ morning, then falling. Wind S 5-15 mph with gusts 25-35 MPH, isolated stronger gusts possible, shifting to W 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts in the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT: A few passing clouds evening, then more clouds overnight. Lows 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH and gusty, becoming variable.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with periods of rain showers until midday, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55 by midday then turning colder west to east. Wind variable becoming NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunshine becoming filtered by high clouds. Highs 43-50. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

Below normal temperatures will be the rule throughout this time period. Low pressure from the southwest brings the chance of precipitation (possibly starting as snow for some areas but likely ending up as rain) during November 16, followed by the return to generally dry weather, but another system may approach by late in the period with a precipitation chance.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)

Overall similar pattern. While the below normal temperatures may relax a little we will see most of the time dry with a system somewhere around Thanksgiving (Nov 24) possible for some unsettled weather. Can’t really time these with a lot of confidence so far in advance so just the idea for now that we’ll have to watch for something around that time.

45 thoughts on “Friday November 11 2022 Forecast (7:58AM)”

  5. Thank you Vicki. I really appreciate that. I can’t believe yesterday was seven years since my uncle passed away from leukemia.

    1. ❤️. I can’t believe it has been seven years either. Mac passed seven years ago today and it seems like yesterday. I think it is why I remember your loss and SClarke’s ….we lost three loved ones that week.

      1. Wow… 7 years… it really does seem like yesterday, or even last year for that matter. Sending Vicki, JJ and SClarke much love. I was honored to be at Mac’s memorial; he was a very special and much loved man.

      2. Vicki and JJ – I am keeping you both in my thoughts this week.

        This time of year is an amazing stretch of memories of my Dad. We lost him Nov 5, 2015. He was born Nov 18, 1917. And right in the midst of that stretch is Veterans Day. My Dad was in the Air Force during WWII and flew 30 missions over Europe as a waist gunner in a B-24.

        1. I have goosebumps. Your dad was a true hero. What tremendous pride you must feel mixed with sadness for his loss and too many emotions to name in between. You are in my thoughts and prayers.

  8. Thanks, TK!

    God bless all veterans and active military. Thank you for your service!!!

    Taunton’s greatest snowfall for November occured 35 years ago with a total of 11″. I remember the City having to plow the football field to get the game in!

    I saw a map here the other day for a 66º DP for tomorrow.
    It’s outdated by eight years, but here’s a link to NWS Boston ~ Dewpoint Climatology for daily records for dewpoint and, according to this source, November’s record for DP is 68º (November 5, 1982).

    https://www.weather.gov/box/dewpoint

    1. I am amazed by you guys weather history memories. I usually have trouble remembering 5 years, let alone 35 years. 😉

  10. Tk I’ve been getting ready for the storm but is the south shore now not going to have much rain & less winds . I have Christmas airblowns all over the yard that I was going to bring in ( not secured

    1. My impression has been that the winds would be highest down your way. Either secure them or bring them in.

  12. Quite a disparity between the GFS, Euro, and Canadian for the midweek storm threat.

    GFS is stronger with a cutter transferring energy to a coastal low.

    Canadian is weaker with an offshore low.

    Euro splits the difference and has a low hugging the coast.

    Some decent snow potential for ski country if either the GFS or Euro verify.

    With the focus more on the midweek storm threat again, models seem to have lost the second storm threat for late next week and push it further out to early Thanksgiving week

  15. Thank you, TK.

    Very humid for November, as Mark alluded to, referencing tweets posted by Eric Fisher.

    Vicki, SClarke, JJ, sending you best wishes today.

    And, my thoughts are with all veterans today; those still with us, and those who’ve passed away.

    1. Indeed Joshua. It’s tough with the humidity this time of year because my window units are out for the winter , it’s impressive for this time of year . No rain or wind here yet for my south shore area . Hope all is getting better my friend !

    1. Reporting same conditions with the exception of the humidity as you can definitely feel it , very calm humid night , no wind at all as of now

  18. Up to 69F here in Coventry CT with a dewpoint of 68F and 1.00” of rain as we approach 11pm on November 11. Ridiculous!

        1. Yeah I have all the windows open & leaving them open . Bedtime but if the wind picks up I’ll hear it .

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