Bye Summer, Hello Spring!

61 Comments

3:26AM

We are heading into the land of “This Is More Like It!” …

There are no major changes to the previous forecast regarding today, the weekend, and the first half of next week. Gone is the record warmth, and after a mild day today, the weekend will be much cooler, as will a couple days early next week. The only wet weather should be Sunday as low pressure develops south of the region. Otherwise, high pressure will be the dominant force, maintaining a mostly dry pattern. This increases fire danger in the region.

Forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…

TODAY: Sunshine develops from north to south. High from the middle 60s to lower 70s. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Low 40-45 except 30s in the valleys. Wind calm.

SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. High 55-60. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Low 40-45. Wind E 5-10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain showers. High 45-50. Wind NE 5-10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 33. High 50.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 28. High 41.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 23. High 47.

61 thoughts on “Bye Summer, Hello Spring!”

  3. Up to 5am, Logan’s low temp overnight was 68F. A windshift into the NE dropped the temp to 60F at 6am. Sometime between midnight and 5 am, the temp hit a high (so far) today of 70F. It will be interesting to see if the wind comes out of the NE, N or NW along the coastline today.

  4. Temp has stayed consistent at 60 here overnight but feels more like an early summer morning than spring. I love getting up and opening windows. I know for sure I would not want to live in an area that does not have distinct seasons. Somehow the warm winter we had seems to take away from the anticipation of spring. Not complaining but just realized last night as I sat on the deck which I’ve done on and off all winter that it isn’t quite as special. Sort of like having Christmas every day.

    And stepping off my soap box I think I’ll go find a cup of coffee. Good morning all and Thank you as always TK!!!

  5. Oops forgot to ask – TK, what are odds that the event early April will just disappear from the models? It seems that’s what has happened all season.

    2. Still on the models this morning Vicki.

      6Z GFS at 288hr
      http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Param&MainPage=index&image=&page=Param&cycle=03%2F23%2F2012+06UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=228&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M

      6Z GFS at 300hr
      http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Param&MainPage=index&image=&page=Param&cycle=03%2F23%2F2012+06UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=300&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M

      1. Is it ok if I root for it?? I know it will be a problem that late in the year and I’m feeling guilty but I can’t seem to help being excited 😕

    3. GFS…Eh. But I do think the pattern may actually support something like this in the 1st half of April.

      1. is there a chance of this not happening at all andwe stay in the 50s and 60s for the most part with lows not going below 38 because i am worried about the plants

  6. Hi Everyone. I hope all has been well and people have been enjoying this wonderful early spring weather.

    The 23/00z GFS is almost laughable. I can’t even figure out what it is trying to do. But I feel pretty confident that most of SNE will avoid the 2 feet plus of snow it wants to dump on us around 4/2 and continuing on with a norlun set up into about 4/5.

    Fortunately the ECWMF/EC ENS/GEFS/GGEM/ GEM ENS have no such occurrence.

    I do think it gets cooler. I actually don’t see it getting too wet around here so I fear continued brush fire danger.

    The models have continually hinted at a prolonged and significant pattern change since Mid December. Then as the time for said change gets closer, it pushes it out another 12o hours. This is no different. I don’t see any prolonged significant change. I have ridden the EC ENS all winter and while it does get cooler, its cold becomes moderated by the seasonal climate changes and continues the overall dry pattern we are in.

    4. Thanks JMA. I also have a question about the links coast posted vs the Wundermaps in terms of timing. For instance the link below does not match up in terms of the number of hours out the forecast is for compared to Coastal’s link for the same forecasted day and time (6z GFS for 288 hours)

      http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=42.34250&lon=-71.06770&zoom=4&type=hyb&units=english&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=1&mm.mdl=ECMWF&mm.type=snow_3hr&mm.hour=93&mm.opa=100&mm.clk=0&hur=0&fire=0&tor=0&ndfd=0&pix=0&dir=0&ads=0&ib=1&dd=0&tfk=0&ski=0&stormreports=0

      And looking at the links coastal posted it really seems to me like the bulk of the precip stays to the south (or am I missing something??)

      As much as I wanted a snowy winter I’m ready for spring (even if it’s rainy and cool).

  7. I agree jma, there have been carrots for everyone to take this year just to have no carrot, cmon now it shows over 2ft of snow in April, never gonna happen, but I do agree it cools back to average, I hope we get rain in April though we need it 🙂

    2. Charlie we have to work on that cup of yours – there is never a never however there is always a likely or unlikely :LOL:

    3. I guess it’s hard not to take the carrot when all winter we’ve been starving for some kind of sign that it was indeed winter

      1. I agree and alot of u think I’m a snow hater but it’s completely opposite I love snow especially blizzards 🙂

    1. It’s Easter after all – I’ll take the carrot just for fun! Even though I know it’ll disappear -:0

  9. If the GFS is still showing a similar solution by early next week, it will certainly grab a few headlines at the very least

  10. In case anyone missed this on the previous blog.. I met Todd Gutner at the lake in Wakefield yesterday.. got to have a nice chat out there. 🙂

    1. TK – I saw Todd Gutner yesterday around 5:15 p.m. on the WBZ news in Wakefield by the ice-cream truck. Were you there at the time? Glad you got a chance to talk to him – he was lucky to talk to you too, as I think someone mentioned also in the previous blog! 🙂

    2. It’s funny, Todd just tweeted that he caved and watered his lawn. I was saying the same thing to my wife last night. Now I feel I can do it without feeling like I’m the only one. 🙂

    1. snow is just poor man’s fertilizer 🙂 Although I thought word on gardening blog was do nothing till April

  13. The last frames of the 00z EURO shows a trough digging in the west, which means a ridge builds for the rest of the country.

  14. and the sad VT Ski Resort update:

    Killington: down to 2 lifts, 13 trails
    Stratton: 1 lift and 13 trals
    Sugarbush: 3 lifts and 9 trails – closing Sunday
    Okemo: 2 lifts and 9 trails – closing Sunday
    Mt Snow – 6 lifts and 21 trails – closing Sunday

    Interesting post from Mt Snow’s general manager recapping this dreadful season and talking about all the spring events they have had to cancel for budgetary reasons. This will be their earliest close date in recent memory.
    http://mountsnow.com/3-20-12-closing-date/

    1. Mark thanks for that link. Memorial Day was (dont know if it still is) always considered Massachusetts weekend for skiing Tuckerman. Makes me a bit sad to see the picture. I have one on the wall behind me of ski routes of Tuckerman

    2. Thank you for sharing, Mark. I’ve climbed Mt. Washington many, many times. Am a member of OBS. Hope to do some volunteering there in January 2013. I’m hoping it’s very, very cold and that we’re snowed in.

      Yes, that photo is shocking for two reasons: One is the fact that it is more fitting of late May/early June, as far as the snow patches are concerned. The other is the clarity from the observatory in March of all months. March is fog month; low, hanging clouds month, never see the top month. Yet, my daughter reports from B Woods that she’s seen the top every day this month except when it snowed on March 2nd, 4th and 6th. When I was there the top was very visible all three days. Really strange.

  16. I am just testing my Emoticons. 🙂

    😀 😮 😯 😕 😎 😡 😛 😆 😳 😥 😈 🙄 ❗ ❓ 💡 ➡
    :mrgreen:

        1. Thanks again AceMaster! Since there is not much weather to really discuss, I have nothing else really to do with my spare time. 😆

          1. hahahahaha – well I am currently sitting here twiddling my thumbs between the days jobs so it was amusing for me too

  17. Hey TK, just curious…are there any local TV mets that you haven’t met on a casual or professional basis and are there any that you wish you have never met? 😉

    1. I have met Don Kent, Bob Copeland, Bruce Schwoegler, Barry Burbank (we keep in fairly regular contact via email), Todd Gutner, Melissa Mack, Joe Joyce, Todd Gross, Ron Harris, Harvey Leonard, Dick Albert, A.J. Burnett (worked with him in the private sector), Al Kaprelian (briefly worked with him in the private sector), and several others I’m only leaving out because the list is getting too long.

      I am glad to have met each and every one of them. You’ll have to ask me that second question if we ever meet in person and maybe I’ll have an answer. 🙂 HAHAHA!

      1. Oh and Al Kaprelian is nothing like he is on the air when you meet him in person. Very shy and quiet.

  18. Wow…what a beautiful day again today. The best day of this week imho. 74 here in Hingham at 3 pm.

    Smaller trees have budded here in the past 24-48 hrs.

    1. U should come even further south, the big trees r budded and the way things r going should have leaves by the middle to end of April 🙂

      1. Charlie where are you located? I think if we had any decent rain over the past few weeks everything would be a lot greener. 2 years ago the trees were in full bloom by mid April. Between the heavy rains of March of that year and then the very warm (hot at times) April everything bloomed very early.

    2. Dogwoods are blooming here. I am still amazed at the number of weeks difference between now and 20 years ago. Not so much with current difference

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