Monday December 26 2022 Forecast (7:24AM)

43 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 26-30)

A fairly quiet final stretch of 2022 this week, starting cold, ending mild as high pressure shifts to a position off the East Coast over the coming days. Only a weak disturbance passing by tonight may bring with it a few light snow showers to portions of the region.

TODAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 26-33. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Lots of clouds. A possible snow flurry favoring southern NH and northern MA. Lows 18-25. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Early clouds then sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 18-25. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 31 – JANUARY 4)

A mild end to 2022 with high pressure offshore and a trough approaching from the west, which may bring some wet weather before the final minutes of the year are counted down. Most likely unsettled days of early 2023 are January 1 and 4 based on current projected timing of disturbances in a generally west to east flow. Coolest weather January 2-3, but no severe cold.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 5-9)

One or two relatively minor systems with precipitation threats during this period with a generally west to east flow. Variable temperatures averaging near to above normal.

43 thoughts on “Monday December 26 2022 Forecast (7:24AM)”

  1. Repost from previous blog…

    SAK
    December 26, 2022 at 4:51 AM

    Through midnight, Buffalo was up to 179.4″ of snow for the calendar year 2022, making this the snowiest year on record in the city – old record was 175.6″ in 1977.

    Buffalo is up to 92.7″ of snow for the season, which is just 2.7″ shy of their normal (95.4″) for the entire season.

      2. Btw. I was thinking last night that another reason for winter t9 be my favorite season is that you return to the blog.

        Now where is Arod?

  12. JJ reminded us of the 6 week snow blitz in 2010-2011. It was awesome. The snow kept piling up AND didn’t melt much at all. That was THE best winter I’ve ever experienced. I don’t like snows in late February and March as much because they melt so quickly.

  13. Thanks TK!

    Happy Boxing and St. Stephen’s Day!

    I hope everyone who celebrated during the weekend had great and special times.

    Today is my rest, “no-shave”, play with my toys day!

    NBC News is reporting 55 dead from the historic holiday storm.
    So sad.

    I did see some heartwarming stories that came out of the storm:
    How one New York family took in a dozen Korean tourists (including newlyweds) headed to Niagra Falls. And how a young family spent the holiday at a Buffalo fire station.

    https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/25/us/buffalo-blizzard-stranded-family-firehouse/index.html

  14. I think I saw a Twitter photo of 9″ of snow in Edgartown yesterday.

    Pete B. said Saturday that, who ever had Martha’s Vineyard in White Christmas Bingo, was the grand prize winner! 🙂

    He’s great!

    1. I saw the 9” also. And Pete is great? Wait do I know who Pete is 😉

      His sense of humor is awesome. When he and JR were together, they just made you laugh

  15. Taunton had 17.3″ in the 2010 Boxing Day Blizzard…in the Top-15 snowfalls of all time here in the Silver City.

  16. Thanks TK.

    The Boxing Day snowstorm (12/26/2010) finally an event that I actually remember!

    81.0” = 2010-11 at Logan (Boston)

    Didn’t WHW make its debut here as well? 🙂

    1. Indeed it did. Today is the 12th anniversary of this blog. 🙂

      This is the very first entry from the morning of 12-26-2010:

      “Good morning!

      We are staring down the barrel of a weather gun as a powerful storm takes shape along the US Southeast Coast and begins a trip up the coast during the day today. This storm, responsible for some snow & a white Christmas in parts of the Deep South (Alabama, Mississippi, & Georgia), will spread heavy snow into New England later today through tonight, into Monday. Depending on the track of the low pressure center, some mixing with rain may occur especially along the coast from Boston south. Areas that stay all snow, and I expect most of the I-95 corridor to be included in this, will receive a foot or more of snowfall, up to 20 inches in some locations. Blizzard conditions are also likely in these areas Sunday night into Monday, thanks to strong northeast to north winds.

      Check back for more updates Sunday!”

  17. For BDL where the record are kept for inland CT winter 2010-2011 was the second snowiest winter on record. The snowiest winter on record 95-96. This winter we won’t one of the snowiest winters on record. Hopefully were not looking at one of the least snowiest winters on record. Winter hopefully will show up second half of January and we could get on a run so were not looking at one of the least snowiest winters on record.

  18. Did not have Martha’s Vineyard on my bingo card for winning the winter of 2022-2023 snow tally in Massachusetts. Of course, we’ve got a very long way to go. But, I am not feeling it in terms of snow in Boston for the foreseeable future.

    I mentioned my number 1 winter, which was 2010-2011.

    My number 2 winter was 1995-1996. For me, consistent winter weather – repeated storms over a long (or fairly long) period, with sustained cold, too – is a really important feature for me to consider when deciding my top 5. If a winter produces a couple of massive storms (eg, 2013) but the snow disappears right away and the cold never lingers, it doesn’t crack even my top 10.

    Number 3 is 1992-1993

    Number 4 is 2014-2015

    Number 5 is 1977-1978

    My worst – comes in at 57th on my lifetime list thus far – was 2011-2012.

    1. Once upon a time I had a solid list of best / worst for things like this – not so much anymore. But I can tell you some of my top winters in terms of favorite memories largely tied to weather events.

      Some of my top winters…

      1977-1978 will always be #1, no matter what else is on my list.
      Other memorables include 2014-2015 for obvious reasons and can kind of grab the #2 spot. Others of note, 2010-2011, 1994-1995, 1995-1996, 1976-1977, 1981-1982 (the book-end storms Dec 5-6 & Apr 6), 1989-1990 stands out for its record cold December followed by its record warm January, and another one would be 1996-1997 which ended with the infamous April Fools Day storm.

  19. A lot of disagreement on the medium range guidance, and back to inconsistency run to run. So forecasting for the first week of the new year is going to be a pain in the royal … when it comes to the use of the medium range tools.

    We’ll get it sorted out in the days ahead. 🙂

    1. Latest CPC outlook has above normal temps through at least January 9th. Certainly no snow events for the first 10 days of 2023 regardless.

  20. There was also a major snowstorm around here on December 26, 1947. I don’t know how much Boston received but I would assume it was a double digit amount for certain.

    1947-48 = 89.2”

    That amount held up for many years, even 1977-78 (85.1”) didn’t quite make it. Not until 1993-94 (96.3”).

    I am beginning to wonder if we’ll have to wait until January 26, 2023 for our first widespread snow event. 😉

  22. TK, Happy 12th anniversary of this blog! Thank you again for all of your efforts here each and every day! 🙂

  23. The very cold air in Siberia has abated considerably. This may be one of multiple causes of a reigniting of the Ukrainian counter-offensive in the east (near Svatove and Kreminna). Temperatures there have soared into the low 40s. Meteorologically, Ukraine’s weather depends on part on what’s going on in Siberia.

    On our North American continent, the very cold air is doing a disappearing act.

    The big question is when (not if – surely Arctic cold air will return to at least the Northern tier of the Lower 48) we get our next cold air intrusion and whether it will be more sustained in character.

    TK is right to point out that snow can definitely happen without Arctic cold. But, from what I can tell the temperatures will be marginal at best in early to mid January. Of course, the caveat here is that long-range guidance isn’t set in stone.

    1. All you need is a couple hours of temps cold enough and it can be surrounded by milder air.

      Most of our snowfall comes without arctic air, but with polar air instead.

    1. You know I really don’t want to sound cold and unfeeling, but it’s really hard to deny lately that a lot of people don’t have any common sense.

      Inexperienced hiker, hiking a tough loop in the mountains on one of the coldest days of the year…. just out like they’re taking a casual walk in the woods. I feel sorry that this person lost their life and there are people who will be mourning, but this did not have to happen.

      Planning, common sense, thinking … it goes such a long way.

  25. It is still a travel mess out there …weather has made itself known this Christmas season. And I do know it is winter and this can happen but it’s been one heck of a travel weekend

    1. Timing is really rough on this one.

      My son got lucky – he just traveled to NJ by bus today and it was quick and easy – right down a route that nothing too bad took place.

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