Wednesday February 8 2023 Forecast (6:58AM)

52 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Our weather pattern will be a mild one overall but holds several weather changes as we move through the remainder of this week and over the weekend. One must remember that a “mild” pattern in the winter doesn’t mean you can’t have winter weather issues. Last night, a frontal boundary crossed the region with a brief period of precipitation, falling as mostly rain and sleet, with some of that rain falling as freezing rain especially west and north of Boston and over some interior portions of southeastern MA and northern RI as well. This leaves untreated surfaces where the precipitation fell on the slick side in these areas early this morning, and this will be an issue until the temperature rises above freezing in these locations, so anybody venturing out this morning please take note of these and be safe. Otherwise, a nice winter day can be expected as high pressure dominates. But don’t get used to any persistence, as additional changes are ahead. A warm front approaches Thursday, bringing clouds back in and a period of rain, which may start as some snow and sleet over interior southern NH and central MA. The low pressure area parenting this front will track northwest of our region and its fairly weak cold front will come across the region Thursday night with some rain shower activity. Behind this front however is not much in the way of cooling, in fact, quite the opposite because the air will be sufficiently modified and the upper pattern supports a surge of mild air, with high temperatures on Friday that may challenge some records. The question is how much sun do we get? Not sure we clear enough to support the record-breaking temperatures, but it is a potential. Heading into the weekend there are a couple more questions to be answered. A secondary front coming through on Saturday will send our temperatures back to a more seasonable chill during the course of the weekend. There will be two waves of low pressure to keep an eye on. Low pressure wave number 1 will pass south of the region Friday night and Saturday. Guidance has trended a bit further south with this system and it does appear that most of the precipitation will remain to the south of New England. What does reach the region would most likely be limited to the South Coast and be in the form of rain sometime Friday night into Saturday. The second low pressure wave carries a little more uncertainty and may surge its way into a little more of southern New England by later Sunday. If its precipitation shield does make it in, the odds of some frozen precipitation being involved would be a little higher with colder air in place. This will be watched closely and fine-tuned as we get closer to it…

TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 41-48. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 24-31. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain mid to late afternoon that may begin as snow or sleet well north and west of Boston. Highs 43-50 occurring late in the day. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, drizzle and patchy fog overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain favoring the South Coast late evening and overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of rain near the South Coast early. Highs 40-47 then falling slowly. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/mix/snow, favoring southern areas, in the afternoon. Temperatures steady 33-40. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

Watching for minor systems around mid period and maybe a slightly stronger one at the end of the period with precipitation threats. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

Hard to time any systems that may threaten, but early indications are that one may approach late in the period with a rain/mix/snow threat once again. Temperatures near to above normal.

52 thoughts on “Wednesday February 8 2023 Forecast (6:58AM)”

  7. As was predicted, just before sunrise, it sure was icy this morning on the walkways and driveways.

    Good example of being icy with temps slightly above freezing, as I think obs were around 34F to 35F.

    1. Yeah had to be in at 5am for generator testing & I was carful driving as I’m in a Jeep rental.

        1. Yeah & I’m on one hour sleep Tom . Worked a 16 hour shift yesterday 7A – 11P. Got to bed after 12 & couldn’t sleep , our the door at 4 this morning . Need to grab the OT when it’s there .

          2. Get some rest soon. My son does the same thing and it is worrisome. He left RI heading for Boston at 4:00 I believe and fortunately the driving was ok

    1. I suppose every location on Earth is vulnerable to earthquakes to some extent but is that part of the world particularly historically prone to them?

      1. Yes.

        With earthquakes and seismology generally it’s all about degree of susceptibility to major events. Certain areas, including parts of California, Japan, the Middle East, and some other regions are vulnerable to catastrophic earthquakes. And, while earthquakes happen in many other parts of the world, including New England, they’re generally not strong or devastating.

  10. I can’t recall where I read or heard it, but I believe there is a bit of a fault somewhere in southeastern Mass where every certain time frame (a couple of hundred years), the Plymouth and surrounding areas have been hit with a 5.0 – 6.0 earthquake.

    1. Interesting. I don’t recall large quakes in the area so maybe before my time or maybe I’m forgetting.

      Years ago, one fault was traced through Framingham and the land where friends live(d). I don’t recall if it is part of the Clinton/Newbury area.

      This is interesting. https://nesec.org/earthquakes-hazards/

      I have not read up so not sure what prompted your comment but I have always been interested in the differences between CA and MA

      1. I’d put about 2% credibility into my thought above, though I do feel like I really have read/seen something about that.

        1. Wellllll. On June 1 several years ago we had a tornado outbreak with 1% chance.

          Just food for thought 😉

  11. Spring has essentially sprung in most of Northwestern Europe, after a mostly non-existent winter. Perhaps 7 nights of slight frost in Amsterdam all winter. A long stretch of tranquil and sunny 50F-53F during the day and 34F to 42F at night has commenced. It’s about a month early. As I’ve noted before, generally spring in countries like England and the Netherlands features fairly quiet weather and more sun than we do. Recall my trip to England last (early) March. Flowers everywhere, only one day of very light rain during a 7 day stay. 50s during the day and low 40s at night.

    The Dutch mets have been consistent all winter, never biting on some of the models that appeared to suggest a wintry pattern in the long range.

    Now, of course, what they’re saying does not necessarily apply here. In fact, the two climate types are very different. Nonetheless, when the Dutch mets discuss the Northeast of the Lower 48 they’ve also been consistent in saying that conditions conducive to a wintry pattern of anything remotely sustained in terms of cold and snow didn’t/don’t exist.

  12. Re: “Post Navigation” …

    I have no idea.
    I hate WordPress. 😀

    If you haven’t heard of Discord before, look it up. You may be hearing that name again before too long. Haha!!

    1. Well, WordPress did bring us this wonderful blog of yours in which everyone can discuss weather or any other topic. 🙂

      Back in 2010, was it somewhat of a pain setting this up and are there challenges to maintain at times? I do get that impression at times on the latter.

    2. I believe JPD hates it too. I never had problems with it but I had a couple of personal blogs using Google and it was far more user friendly. And I hate google

      1. Personally I find WP very user friendly. I get to WHW immediately on my device and post with very few if any issues.

        1. I think TK was thinking more of the creator side than user. I have no trouble using wp, but it would be nice to have some emojis enabled and a few other features.

    1. Your memory of weather events continue to amaze me as I have no specific memory of it at all. Thanks Jimmy! 🙂

    2. I’d forgotten that. As I recall we had 30”. It was one of the storms where our doors were blocked so my SIL had to climb out the window.

  14. Blizzard of 2013 tops my list of snowstorms in my life
    2. Superstorm of 1993
    3. Blizzard of 1996
    4. April Fools Storm 1997

      1. It’s toast. Done. Seriously. Over.

        Well, on second thought, winter is up in Quebec. But, last I checked, French isn’t my native tongue and I don’t eat poutine.

        In any case, on to spring. And let’s hope next winter delivers something. It can’t be this meager.

    2. I remember it well. My father had just passed away. I drove down to Pennsylvania for his funeral prior to Nemo. The storm hit, but barely touched most of Pennsylvania. When I left Philadelphia to return to Boston on a clear morning after the storm there were maybe a few inches on the ground. Streets were totally clear. Highways, too. In Northern New Jersey, I began to see some of the storm’s impact. But it was still quite manageable. Then, as I hit I-95 in Southern Connecticut the digital highway signs posted rather ominous messages, basically telling people to stay off the roads. But by then I was on the road, and literally within an exit or two of seeing the sign the highway was covered in snow. It was no longer snowing. That had stopped many hours before. But the plows hadn’t gotten to this section. Traffic came to a crawl. As I passed more exits the storm’s impact on Connecticut became clear. Massive amounts of snow. I’ve never to this day seen so much snow. Impassable off-ramps and exits. The highway itself had at least 8 inches of snow that the cars were trudging through. Finally, we made it past that section and the road was more passable. But, it was white knuckle driving. I wanted to stop at one of the exits and check into a hotel, but couldn’t. The snow banks were enormous and blocking all exits until Rhode Island. By that time, I-95 was in better shape, but very icy. In the end, I made it home, but probably lost a year of two of life in the process; all the anxiety. The storm was definitely a Connecticut special, by the way. More snow in that state than all the others I drove through.

  20. I am holding out for March to be our time to finally get our long awaited snowfall. I am not giving up. I will say though that any kind of “normal” seasonal snowfall is likely out of the question for most if not all locations in SNE.

    1. Atmosphere ends up a few degrees cooler than modeled Sunday night / Monday morning and there will be people shoveling somewhere in SNE.

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