Tuesday April 4 2023 Forecast (7:20AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 4-8)

Some typically changeable spring weather is on our menu for the coming days, with quite the variety to be had during this 5-day period. It starts out with a cold front sinking slowly southward through our region today. This front will produce a lot of clouds, and some rain shower activity, first to the north, then more to the south, followed by a bit of a drying trend. Temperatures will run a wide range today, being warmest over interior southern portions of the region, cooler in coastal areas, and also across northern areas that lie north of the frontal boundary. Tonight, the front will have made it to the south of the region where it will also hang out during the day on Wednesday. While this happens, low pressure heads into the Great Lakes and any clearing we may see today will be short-lived, with clouds coming back, and more wet weather returning Wednesday. As the low heads north of our region Wednesday night and Thursday, it will finally pull the frontal boundary back to the north, and what is a raw and cool Wednesday will be followed by a shot of warm air for Thursday, and while clouds may never fully break, and there will still be a rain shower chance in the warm sector of the system, it will have the feel of later spring. There will of course be a modifying influence from a southwest wind near the South Coast where it will be much cooler than locations away from the coast. The cold front swings through Thursday evening with one more round of showers and even a few thunderstorms possible. This sets up dry and much cooler weather for late week, along with another episode of active wind between departing low pressure through eastern Canada and high pressure pressing eastward into the Great Lakes region.

TODAY: Heavier clouds southern NH and MA with some rain showers to start, while sun shines at first toward the South Coast, then clouds shift southward along with a chance of rain showers before eventually breaking for partial sun at times as rain showers come to an end from west to east. Highs 50-57 southern NH and all coastal areas, 58-65 interior MA and northeastern CT to northern RI. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH in southern NH, variable under 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of light rain. Highs 45-52, coolest coastal areas. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain evening. Patchy fog. Temperatures steady 45-52. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly late in the day. Highs 62-69 except 55-62 South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW, higher gusts possible.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH and gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 9-13)

High pressure pushes to the south with fair, milder weather for April 9-10. Frontal boundary and passing trough may bring some unsettled weather and a cooling trend thereafter, but not sure of details at this point.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 13-17)

A battle between increasing spring warmth to our south and lingering Canadian chill sets up potential unsettled weather episodes and a difficult outlook for temperatures, but leaning toward the cooler side at this point.

58 thoughts on “Tuesday April 4 2023 Forecast (7:20AM)”

  11. The 12z HRRR and Nam’s around hr 33 for tomorrow, 21z, the severe weather indicators ….. Lifted index, supercell composite, significant tornado parameter ….. are all giving significant signals for southern Michigan and northern Ohio.

    1. I truly thought that you meant a little something else with what is going on there today. 🙂

      1. I noticed the cooler temps around you. Even into Cambridge is 61. We just went up to 67. Will we hit 70?

  15. It only took the GFS til April 4th to project the first hybrid system of the year, off the SC Coast. April 11th. Hr 177 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. Yes, the upgrade that was supposed to prevent the GFS from making “fabricanes” didn’t really work, btw. 🙂

  18. Today is about weather, politics and sport. Of the three, I love the weather stories at this time of the year … changing patterns, ups and downs, and who knows what’s next!

    But I must admit, Bill Belichick shopping Mac Jones around to other teams is a story that almost eclipsed my interest in the weather! Politics was dead last for me today.

    1. I hate politics and I’m glad I have a weather blog and not a politics one. I don’t care about people’s opinions on it and I don’t really make mine public either. Once upon a time that was easier to do, when the system worked as intended. But now I just make my voice heard in the only place it counts – the “voting booth”. And so it goes.

      Sports: I’ve spoken recently about the Red Sox. They’ll entertain us. I don’t have high expectations, and there will be ZERO stress about any of it from me. Celtics: Eh. I hope they do well but I just can’t be interested in the NBA and haven’t been since about 1990. Pats: Mac Jones has likely played his last game as a Patriot. That’s my prediction. We’ll see what happens. I don’t much care about the business side of it, other than it will be what it is and I’ll root for the team they put on the field. So be it. Bruins: Now this is the sport and the team I’m excited about. But before that happens, a little prelude is the Frozen Four for NCAA hockey with semifinal games tomorrow & championship game Saturday. As previously stated, I’ll root for BU because they are Hockey East.

      Weather: Well, you know I make my thoughts about that plain here every day with my post and my comments. 🙂 The most interesting thing for me the next few days will be how far back to the north the front gets on Thursday. This could be the type of day where Hartford is 75 and Boston is 45 (until maybe late in the day). Does the front even make it to northeastern MA and the NH Seacoast? We’ll see. A couple days to fine-tune that. I had been eyeing a storm signal around April 11-13 but I’ve been watching that look less and less impressive over the last 48 hours. Instead, we may be entering a long stretch of dry weather starting late this week that will very likely boost our brush fire danger.

      1. Politics. I was born into it. I’ve said more than once my mom was VERY active in local, state and federal. Most candidates who both lost and won were family friends. We have lost any modicum of common sense. And what we see now was predictable decades ago.

        Sports, I have absolutely no use for bill belichick. I was unsure of his impact on the Pats wins ….was it BB or Brady. That question has been well answered. His treatment of Jones has been beyond inexcusable. But the. He treated Brady the same. Brady handled it because he is exceptional but he voiced his opinion many times. I said long ago Jones would be better off on another team. And although I love that his name is Mac, that has nothing to do with how I feel. Treating another person badly is just plain wrong. Horribly wrong.

        Weather. Darn but I love it. It fascinates me. But at same time I hate the destruction. We have no control over its fury. Or are we gaining some control over its fury?

    2. Too bad the story about Jones being shopped is complete fiction. Not a single reporter other than the one who wrote it has been able to verify anything in that story. Never mind the fact that the story made zero sense. It said that the Raiders were the most likely team. The same Raiders that signed Jimmy G to a huge contract and Brian Hoyer as a backup? They don’t need Mac.

      https://www.masslive.com/patriots/2023/04/patriots-rumors-about-trading-mac-jones-dont-add-up-mark-daniels.html

      The Frozen Four semifinals are Thursday, not tomorrow. Personally, I can’t stand all 4 teams, and don’t care who wins. You’ve got 4 of the most annoying fanbases in college hockey all trying to see who can be hated the most.

      1. While I didn’t give any credence to BB supposedly parading Jones around in my comment, at least three teams were mentioned and not just the raiders. That said I wouldn’t doubt it it is fiction any more than I would doubt it is true. All of them side, BB needs to stop disrespecting Jones. And he did exactly that most of last season.

        Word and very possibly rumor was BB was pissed at Jones because he asked the Alabama organization how to run the offense under Patricia. Another matchup that has me shaking my head.

  19. Alta, Utah with a total of 46″ in the last 36 hours from this latest storm. Season total now 860″ with a 240″ base on the ground. Still pounding snow with more to come tonight into tomorrow.

    Just mind boggling…..

    https://www.alta.com/weather

  22. The snowpack which Mark describes out west is unbelievable.

    Of course, Boston’s snowpack in 2011 and 2015 was also pretty special, particularly for a large city in the Northeast.

    1. Here also. I took my granddaughter to the barn to groom and play with the horse she has been riding and loved just sitting outside

    1. I’d hate to be anywhere east of that line from Wisconsin to Kansas tonight. I know I wouldn’t sleep

  26. TK with regard to Weather: you forgot to declare that we are done with snow for the season. Some tv mets on air have. ❄️

    1. Well, for one thing, I don’t take my leads from TV mets – even the ones I most highly respect. They are free to do as they please, on and off air. It’s not my decision to make. But, if you’ve followed this blog, you’ll know that I don’t make such declarations until I am confident enough in the medium range pattern and we are by the anniversary dates of some of our notable late-season snow events, and then when I do “declare” it, it’s a prediction, not an absolute declaration. I don’t tend to include May 1977 in this, but I DO include late April 1987 (28th-29th), so you won’t be hearing such a “declaration” (prediction) from me for a while yet. It’s not generally a wise thing to do, at least doing so by speaking in absolutes. NOTHING about weather prediction is absolute. Any scientist knows this, or should know this anyway. 🙂

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