Wednesday April 5 2023 Forecast (7:19AM)

45 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 5-9)

Today is one of those April days that chills you under an overcast with an east wind, and even though it won’t be a wet day (at least for most of it) it may as well be for how raw the air will feel if you’re walking outside, especially near the coast. This occurs ahead of the front that slipped slowly by us as a cold front yesterday attempting to come back as a warm front as low pressure moves into the Great Lakes today. But these fronts typically have trouble moving back through as warm fronts, and this one will initially, finally doing so on Thursday morning, with a couple periods of rain from this evening to early in the morning, introducing a shot of mild and humid air to the region for several hours, until a cold front swings through with its own round of showers, maybe even a thunderstorm, Thursday evening. This will usher in a chilly air mass from Canada on a gusty wind for Friday, which will gradually settle down into Saturday, as high pressure moves through the Great Lakes in the wake of low pressure, which will have since departed via eastern Canada. The high pressure area will sink a little further south, keeping us dry but turning it milder Sunday.

TODAY: Cloudy. Patchy drizzle this afternoon. Chance of light rain late-day. Highs 45-52, coolest coastal areas. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Overcast. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures hold 45-52. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Highs 55-62 coastal areas and 62-69 elsewhere but may not occur until later in the day. Wind SE 5-15 MPH shifting to SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, especially South Coast, but wind shift may not occur eastern and northern areas until later in the day.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY: Sunny start, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 10-14)

High pressure will dominate our weather throughout this entire period with a dry spell. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 15-19)

Indications are that the overall dry pattern may continue to dominate, but watch for a back-door cold front to potentially chill parts of the region down early in the period and maybe a Canadian cold front to do the same mid period. Unsettled weather episodes should be brief.

45 thoughts on “Wednesday April 5 2023 Forecast (7:19AM)”

  5. Thanks TK! Looking at the weather for the Masters and Saturday looks miserable – rain, wind and low 50s. There is something about watching that tournament that gets me revved up for spring and for golf!

    1. Temperature is still FALLING here this morning.
      Around 6AM it was 47 and now it is 45 and NOT likely to go up any at all.

        1. Wow. And fun. We had a really high temp a several years back for marathon Monday. I’ll be darned if I can remember the year. Whw was active. We drove to Good Harbor beach and Bear Skin Neck and it was packed to the point there were no parking spots. Traffic was stop and go

  19. Thanks TK.

    Astronomical numbers coming out of Utah. Even two feet of April snow reported right down in the valley in portions of Salt Lake and Sandy. Canyon roads closed due to avalanche clearing. Ski areas closed for another day and many people trapped in the lodges.

    Ryan Hanrahan
    @ryanhanrahan
    4h

    Unreal snow totals in LCC and Park CIty. How many people are stuck in Interlodge?

    NWS Salt Lake City
    @NWSSaltLakeCity
    5h

    Drumroll (snowroll?) please…

    ❄67″ Snowbird
    ❄63″ Alta Collins
    ❄58″ Alta UDOT
    ❄49″ Canyons Village
    ❄28.6″ Sandy
    ❄21.1″ North Salt Lake

    2. Eric Fisher
      @ericfisher
      3h

      Insane western snow continues…the pattern just refuses to change. Months on end

      Hard to imagine a spring without some serious western flooding after all this.

      Wasatch Snow Forecast
      @WasatchSnow
      3h
      Replying to
      @ericfisher

      It’s hard to imagine spring.

    3. Much of the snow in the side of the Salt Lake Valley came from Lake Effect. Just incredible. Valley locations there rarely see storms like this.

  20. Yep, if you are trapped at one of the ski areas, you arent getting out anytime soon. This is the main state road into little cottonwood canyon (only way in and out).

    UDOT Cottonwood Canyons
    @UDOTcottonwoods
    38m

    #RoadClosureUpdate
    #SR210 will NOT open today. NO ETO.

    This amount of snow is unprecedented. All are working slowly & methodically to ensure the safety of all travelers.
    @UDOTavy
    avalanche mitigation &
    @UtahDOT
    road ops slide debris clearing ongoing.

    https://twitter.com/UDOTcottonwoods/status/1643662956297883648?s=20

  21. Switching topics to hurricane season, a light one in the Atlantic shaping up this year?

    Philip Klotzbach
    @philklotzbach
    4h

    The latest forecast from ECMWF is very aggressive at calling for a robust #ElNino event for peak of the 2023 Atlantic #hurricane season (August-October). El Nino typically reduces Atlantic hurricane activity via increases in wind shear. ECMWF has had a warm bias in recent years.

    https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1643607638138146818?s=20

  22. Far too early to predict the baseball season for the Red Sox, however, it is not looking promising. What concerns me is the lack of fundamentals. Screw-ups all around. They got swept at home by a bad team in the Pirates. The poor construction of the Red Sox as a whole – includes the line-up by the way; it’s way too lefty-heavy – is on Chaim Bloom. Bad pitching up and down the staff, a very slow team, a fairly old bunch, and a mentally unsound squad (goes back to last year). We’ll see how it shakes out. But right now, the team looks a lot like last year’s team. Not good. And if this were to continue into the summer I expect ownership will act swiftly and without mercy, meaning a mid-season cutting ties with both Bloom and Cora would be on the table. Personally, I blame Bloom more than Cora. Something happened to Bloom’s brain on the flight from Tampa to Boston.

  23. Thanks TK.

    The model guidance for next week has been possibly the worst I have ever seen in the 8-14 day range. From a Western ridge/Eastern trough pattern which suggested a possible Northeast winter storm threat, to the polar opposite of that and now temperatures in the 70s and 80s likely. Ironically, it’s really the same way most of the long range cold/snow chances in the East vanished all winter (not that I suspect anyone is looking for those now 😉 ). But I think in this case, it’s less the resilience of the Southeast ridge than it is the resilience of the Western trough. Surely there has to be some positive feedback ongoing due to the epic snow cover over the West and the cold waters off the West Coast that’s preventing any ridging from building in over the West. Makes me wonder how long that will continue, and whether there may even be implications for the summer, not to mention El Nino also becoming established.

    Other consequences of this: severe weather season likely remains active in the Central US (no long pause like it looked before), and parts of the West may continue to pile on snow into May, all while California anxiously watches the state of a record snowpack that all has to melt out eventually…

    1. Some signs of warmth for both weeks. 🙂

      We’ll see …… the jet stream can be setup for warmth in the east ….. but, there’s always opportunity for eastern mass to end up a lot chillier, especially this early in spring.

      1. Wow. How fun. Next week is my RI’s grandsons school vacation and my son’s to be with him.

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