Saturday April 8 2023 forecast (8:03AM)

58 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 8-12)

High pressure’s dominance brings dry weather for the next several days. The position of high pressure’s center and its configuration will determine wind and therefore determine the temperature pattern in the region daily. Today, the high center in the Great Lakes and the lingering impact of low pressure far to the northeast will keep a northwesterly air flow going, not nearly as strong as yesterday, but keeping it cool with sub-normal high temperatures. The high center a little closer on Sunday means a weaker wind field and inland high temperatures a little bit above today’s levels, but also allows for a sea breeze to develop at the coast, keeping it cooler there. High pressure sinking to the south early to mid week allows a warmer westerly air flow to take over, but Monday the wind field should continue weak enough to allow for a sea breeze. We will then see a stronger land breeze tendency Tuesday and Wednesday, but sometime between late Tuesday and early Wednesday, a trough moving by to our north can push some cloudiness through the region – but it looks like it will stay rain-free as what little moisture this feature has to work with will stay to our north. Generally warmer weather is expected at this time.

TODAY: Sunshine, filtered by high clouds especially near the South Coast. Highs 46-53. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouds linger South Coast region early, followed by clearing. Lows 28-35, coldest interior valleys. Wind NW under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 50-57, but falling back to the 40s along the coast. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH with developing coastal sea breezes.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 53-60, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 37-44. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 61-68 except 53-60 Cape Cod region. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy to sunny. Highs 61-68, except cooler Cape Cod. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 13-17)

High pressure both surface and aloft boost temperatures to above to much above normal April 13-14 with continued fair weather conditions. Watch for a back-door cold front mid period driven by Canadian high pressure to cool the region down, followed by potential unsettled weather April 16-17 as a trough approaches from the west.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 18-22)

Indications for another dry period, starting cool followed by moderation through mid period, then potential unsettled weather by the end of the period.

58 thoughts on “Saturday April 8 2023 forecast (8:03AM)”

  2. Thank you, TK?

    OS, I’m sending positive thoughts for Mrs OS and hoping she is improving. And also that you stay well.

      1. Good news indeed. Hopefully he can eventually continue his rehab on an “outpatient” basis if not at home.

      1. Probably similar here too. It is chilly, but the sun feels nice and the inside of the car is nice and warm.

        1. 43 here. I turn a chair to sit in a south facing window while I work on wordle and quordle and agree that the sun feels nice.

          1. Vicki, do you ever do worldle? I’m kind of a geography nerd, and I like it, especially the “guess the neighbors” round.

  14. Thanks all 🙂

    Our day of filtered South Coast sun and bright sun to the north goes on. Chilly one though – but not as windy as yesterday.

    One of the bigger forecasting challenges upcoming is about 1 week away – back-door cold front. There exists guidance that brings such a boundary in as early as Friday, which would mean temperature forecast of 80-85 (I have seen those) could be up to 30 degrees in error, but that remains to be seen. My current feeling is that we’d back-door on the weekend, but not Friday. But I am not confident in that this far in advance.

  15. Temps as of noon range from 41 to 47 across the WHW forecast area. Chilly air mass.

      1. Very different weather pattern though. We were in an amped pattern with lots of storms coming at the East Coast. We’d just had a pretty decent rainstorm on April 3-4, then a blustery & cold April 5 and the next storm came right in with anomalous cold as you know for April 6, then arctic air settled across the region behind that one for the day after that on April 7, making it look like the tundra. Didn’t last long though. A late-week warm-up erased all the snow by that Sunday (which was Easter).

        1. Those were the good old days before global warming. Nowadays Beverly Hills CA has better opportunities for snow than Beverly MA. 😉

          1. That’s actually not solely due to global climate shifting. It’s due to the long-term weather pattern during winter and early spring. You can’t just slap that label on everything that happens without including EVERY bit of available info. Science cannot be selective. It has to be all inclusive or inevitably we’ll end up with the wrong conclusions far too often. Long-term climate (warmer globe, etc) a factor? Absolutely. But not the ONLY factor. We have to take that into account each and every time we analyze events, short-term, medium-term, and long-term.

            And I ASSURE you, Beverly Hills is not going to end up snowier than Beverly MA. 🙂

  16. TK – I don’t understand why you use the April 28-29 1987 event as a “guideline” for being done with snow. I much prefer the above event. I generally look towards “the first 10 days or so of April for that final snow event. If nothing happens by tax day (April 15) at the very latest, then that should really do it, at least for SNE.

    Late April seems a bit too “anomalous” for me.

    I know that Barry mentioned on air once that he doesn’t remove his snow sticks until early May. I guess the May 1977 storm must have really spooked him. His town must have really got a lot from that event? 🙂

    I imagine NNE is a different story. I would be curious if any locations up there (other than Mt. Washington) ever recorded snow as late as June.

    1. Take it from Barry and me, we have the right idea. If it’s happened before, you can bet it can surely happen again. You can err the other way and most often be right, as yes, that’s anomalous for down here in SNE, but if it’s happened before, it’s my guideline. In fact, in some ways the April 6 ’82 event was even more of an anomaly. We’ve had plenty of wet snowstorms in April. Well, how many times do you recall having a powder blizzard in April. I’ll wait for your list… 😉

      But hey, if people want to declare winter over on January 31, put your shovel away on February 15, and open your pool on March 1, have at it! 😉 I’ll stick to my time-tested and true guidelines that work well enough. 🙂

  17. ECMWF is a little dramatic today for next week…

    Gives Boston a high of 80 Friday, 50s Saturday, 40s Sunday. 🙂

    1. From putting in the A/C’s to turning up the furnace on “high”. YIKES!!! 🙂

      Only in New England… 😉

        1. I find that beautiful. A lot of hidden photo ops in there when you go looking. 🙂

    3. I love this time of year when the deciduous trees have not yet leafed out. Looking off in the distance they seem like fog amidst the evergreens.

      1. Yes! Perfect description. And then between buds and flowering trees you have an entire spring “foliage” season that in some ways can rival the autumn, just with a different set of colors. It’s a great balance with the other side of the season when the leaves go through their final changes before being done for their one-season lifetime.

        1. These types of images are among my favorite to look at, and capture myself as well.

  20. Forecast highs today: 46-53.
    Observed highs today: 45-53 (from what I’ve seen so far).
    I’ll take it. 🙂

    Temperatures have not been “over-performing” at all this spring. In other words, guidance has done a generally good job in the short range.

      1. Close enough. 🙂 I usually do a spread of 7 degrees for the region on the range. There are nearly always a couple outside that range even if the forecast is pretty spot on. 🙂

        There could also be a couple spots that go above what I had seen when I made that post anyway. 🙂

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