Monday April 10 2023 Forecast (7:16AM)

74 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 10-14)

A dry weather pattern will continue through the next 5 days, but there will be some weather changes to occur. First, high pressure controls today with a chilly start and a warmer afternoon but a cooling coastal sea breeze likely. An approaching trough of low pressure will increase the wind flow from the west on Tuesday, a mild to warm day, with increased brush fire danger. This trough will bring some cloudiness into and through the region Tuesday night and off and on through Wednesday as well, with continued gusty wind and high brush fire danger. Very slightly cooler air will arrive behind the passage of a weak cold front associated with the trough for Wednesday – down a few degrees from Tuesday but still mild nonetheless. Dominant high pressure both surface and aloft means a more significant warm-up Thursday and Friday, but there will be an exception for coastal areas, vulnerable to sea breezes both days.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 53-60 coast, 60-67 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind variable to W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunshine, filtered later in the day by variable high cloudiness. Highs 66-73 except cooler Cape Cod / Islands. Wind W 5-15 MPH and gusty.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 62-69 except cooler Cape Cod / Islands. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 70-77 except significantly cooler in coastal areas. Wind W up to 10 MPH with developing coastal sea breezes.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 78-85 except significantly cooler in coastal locations. Wind W up to 10 MPH with redeveloping coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 15-19)

April 15-16 weekend: Back-door cold front cools the region Saturday but with dry weather continuing. Very weak low pressure trough from the south and west brings more clouds with a rain shower chance later Sunday. Early to middle part of next week: Trough and frontal boundary passing by April 17 (Patriots Day) with rain shower threat – unsure of timing regarding daytime Red Sox game and Boston Marathon but will monitor / fine-tune, then drier, cooler weather following that system.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 20-24)

Dry weather indications to start, unsettled weather chances mid and/or late period. Temperatures showing a cooling trend relative to normal.

74 thoughts on “Monday April 10 2023 Forecast (7:16AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    Wishing this week’s weather was next week’s !!

    I’m sure we’ll have New England sprinter next week 🙁

        1. I SURE hope those projections are WRONG!!!

          Nothing like temps in the 40s AFTER it having been in the 80s!!!! Nothing like it at all!!!

  2. Thanks TK. :mrgreen:

    Record high for Boston this Friday = 81 (1945)

    The tv mets are forecasting 85 so that record will be TOAST! Get it? 😉

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    We made it to 54 in JP yesterday while Logan’s high was 48, the best I can tell.

    Down to 34 this morning and already up to 43.

      1. Indeed you did!!!!! Johnny on the spot!

        Sunny. Highs 53-60 coast, 60-67 inland.

        NO way Logan makes 60, unless it is the famous 5PM wind shift. 🙂 OR it tics 60 before the Sea Breeze. 🙂

        1. I fully expect to make 60 and beyond. I am thinking
          65 here. 🙂 That 6 miles or so makes ALL the difference in the world!

          1. You’re in the “deep south” compared to me. I’m a mile or so from the ocean/bay water, and 60 feet from the Charles river (Esplanade Lagoon). In spring (and summer) I’m often cooler than JP, Roslindale, and West Roxbury. And, I’m a tad warmer than my old work place on Kneeland Street (very close to the water and Atlantic Ave). On my walk (commute) I used to notice the slight difference.

            1. At my home in Dorchester is pretty much the same as you Joshua. It can be bone chilling when that sea breeze stiffens up. Eastie, Southie and Dot get the biggest effect and then from probably Roxbury westward, not as much.

  11. Well, at least the 12z GFS looks progressive next week and it, today anyways, seems to be warming us up again next Thursday.

    1. When you combine it with going to work early yesterday on very little sleep after going to the Bruins game Saturday, yesterday was a brutal day. Basically, I got home, took a nap, got up, watched the Bruins last night, then went to bed at 8:30 after the game ended. Since I work at night during the week, I usually stay up writing the blog Sunday night until 1-2am. Instead, I got 11.5 hours sleep last night, and woke up feeling 1000% better this morning.

  14. 61 here and still 59 at the Airport, BUT wind just switched to SE.
    That should put an end to the temperature rise. NOT sure IF it made it to 60 before the wind shift. Do NOT think so as 24 hour max temp is showing 59.

  15. Today’s a relatively mild seabreeze for another hr or 2.

    Its 31F at the summit of Mt Washington, so the airmass is moderating and the breeze off the ocean isn’t particularly strong.

    Per time and date as of this writing, the sun angle is still at 51 degrees.

    Get to 4ish and perhaps under 40 degrees above the horizon and I’ll bet the immediate coast will cool off more significantly.

  17. Thank you, TK

    Just catching up. My brother fell yesterday. He couldn’t get up so it was well over an hour when thankfully someone stopped by. He is back in hospital after being home for about 10 days for dehydration from stomach bug then pneumonia . May be heart this time. He was in ED overnight and was just admitted. So far he has not been fed since arrival.

    1. Still 64 here with an East to Se wind. The more SE it is the longer fetch over land and thus a less cooling effect. 🙂 I was just out.
      BEAUTIFUL out, but I can feel the breeze drifting in and there is a bit of coolness attached to that wind, but it is fighting STRONG SUN. 🙂 I’ll take 64 on April 10th, ANY year!!!!!

  20. Very strong sun, indeed. 4 .5 more months of strong to very strong sun.

    It’s also very dry outside. My exercise routine is fine, so long as it isn’t hot. But, I’m quite dehydrated at the end of a 6 miler.

  21. If you’re a baseball fan, then Patriots Day could be a real treat. Assuming nothing changes, the pitching matchup for the 11am game should be Sale vs Ohtani.

    This will be my 34th Patriots Day game. I’ve been to every one since 1987. There was no game in 1995 (strike), 2018 (rain), 2020 (COVID).

    3. The average game-time temperature of those 33 previous games was 55. The warmest was 79 in 2012, the coolest was 44 in 2015. It’s been 70 or warmer 3 times overall, 50 or cooler 14 times. The game-time weather was sunny 13 times, cloudy 17 times, drizzle twice, rain once. (These are all taken from what the boxscore reported)

      1. I was surprised by the lack of rain-outs for that game during the time you’ve gone, given how nasty our spring weather can be. Despite the great temperature variety, the weather has generally worked out for your long run of going to these.

  26. Vicki, I’m sorry to hear about your brother. Prayers for his recovery — and that he gets something to eat. Good grief.
    This morning I heard a forecast for Marathon day of 62 degrees and 100 percent chance of rain. How do they get 100 percent chance of anything a week out?

  27. Thank you all for your well wishes and prayers for my brother. ♥️

    He has been admitted. I suspect he may have eaten

  28. Jean I just saw you asked about wordle. I have not tried. I am not good at geography. Mac would have been. I am impressed as that cannot be easy

    I didn’t nerdle for a while and liked it. Math is more common sense to me. But I enjoy sharing on FB with friends and others were not doing nerdle

  29. If one doesn’t look at a thermometer you would never know a sea breeze in Boston today. Yesterday of course there was NO doubt. Brrr!

  31. Thanks TK.

    The Northeast is entering the stretch I mentioned several days ago where you are going to start adding some wind onto the unseasonably warm and dry/low RH conditions you’ve been experiencing of late. You’ll likely see Red Flag products up for at least the next 2 days, maybe 3. The fire companies out there were quite busy during the first Red Flag event a few days ago, and that was before several days of additional drying. Be very careful the next few days with anything that can make a spark. The Northeast obviously doesn’t get the same sort of fire activity that a place like the West does. But with the population density that exists, an out of control brush fire can quickly become a problem. You will likely see it the next few days…

      1. Friday at Logan starts out in 50s, goes to mid-upper 70s briefly, sea breeze back to 60s, late-day land breeze when sea breeze cell collapses with the help of “just enough” gradient ahead of approaching front that they spike back to 70+, then the back-door comes through overnight and they stay below 60 all weekend.

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