Tuesday May 9 2023 Forecast (6:47AM)

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Upper level winds brought a significant smoke plume across our sky from west central Canadian wildfires yesterday, and this continues into today, putting a veil over the sun once again in an otherwise mainly sunny sky. Some high clouds are crossing the sky as well this morning in association with convective activity passing to the southwest of New England, but these will exit at midday leaving us with just the smoke filter and eventually a few fair-weather flat cumulus clouds that may develop this afternoon too. An onshore wind in the wake of a back-door cold front will make today the coolest of this week, but a return to a land breeze tomorrow and the departure of the smoke plume will bring brighter sun and a warm-up. Thursday-Friday will be even warmer days but will not match exactly, weather-wise. High pressure keeps the weather settled with sun Thursday. Clouds and a stray shower or even a thunderstorm may cross the region, favoring western and northern areas, with a warm front Thursday night. This brings in slightly higher humidity for Friday, which those sensitive to may notice, and the approach of a cold front that day means more clouds and eventually the chance of a few showers/thunderstorms in the region, but at this point it does look like most of that day will be rain-free. Saturday, a west northwest air flow downslopping off the hills and mountains will keep us fairly warm and it will be a day with a fair amount of sun as well – a very nice start to the second weekend of May.

TODAY: Smoke-filtered sun & a few clouds. Highs 58-65, coolest at the coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Smoke clears out. Lows 35-40 inland with coolest in valley areas, 40-45 urban centers and immediate coast. Wind calm.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 70-77. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, favoring central MA and southwestern NH. Lows 51-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Late-day or evening showers/thunderstorms possible. Highs 73-80. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds and a chance of showers early, then clearing. Lows 53-60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 70-77. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 14-18)

Fair weather hangs on to finish off the weekend on May 14. Unsettled weather early next week with low pressure passing through the region bringing a chance of showers or rain and a cooling trend, with fair weather returning later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 19-23)

General pattern looks dry and somewhat seasonable though with variable temperatures. A weak trough in the region does bring the opportunity for a few showers here and there but no strong indications of bigger rain events.

60 thoughts on “Tuesday May 9 2023 Forecast (6:47AM)”

  8. 57 here as we approach 10 AM. Hmmm how high can it get with that East wind out there?

    Current ocean temp 50.54

    That would mean about 60 MAX or less right at the shore, perhaps 62 or 63 here. We shall see.

    55 currently at the airport.

    No matter what, temps today much better than last weeks
    40s!!!!!

  9. Summer Outlook

    My summer outlook is based on …….

    1) A lot of literature out there describes how Tonga ejected a ton of water vapor into the atmosphere, much more than other volcanic explosions. (water vapor can reflect heat trying to radiate to Space)

    2) Western Canada is already having fire troubles and excessively warm conditions and ……. eastern Canada has seen its snow cover retreat rapidly north.

    3) Read that the ocean temps and deep ocean heat content readings are well above average for Earth as a whole.

    4) Sun is nearing solar max, like it was in 2012-2013

    5) We’ve had spells of Bermuda High set-ups in the past few years, but not a consistent one and we’re going to get a summer with one, sooner or later.

    27 (90F) days at Logan.

    1 in May
    3 in June
    10 in July
    10 in August
    3 before Sept 14th

    Another humid summer, especially after mid July.

    Its been 32 years since Hurricane Bob, so sooner or later, but who knows ???

    1. well, I for one would NOT welcome that.
      I do hope you are Wrong. TK has been saying cooler
      than average Summer and I sincerely hope he is correct.

      Time will tell.

      Thankfully, it is scheduled to be an El Nino Summer, which should limit hurricane chances for up here. Doesn’t eliminate chances, but I’ll take the limiting factor. 🙂

  10. Thank you, TK. Mother’s Day with kids and grands here will be Saturday. Looks lovely.

    1. Was 61 In Sutton near the center. I didn’t check at home before leaving. Cool breeze but hot sun in the paddock counteracted it

    2. Yup, remember it well. I was not stunned at all, in fact, I was expecting it. 🙂 All things pointed to snow. Even snowed to the coast. Snow increased rapidly as one moved inland.
      1/2 inch at Logan, 2 inches here in JP and 6-12 inches + as one
      moved West and SouthWest.

      I remember driving to my parents house In Franklin soon after the storm and the number of trees and big branches down was
      astonishing.

  14. I just spotted my first butterfly of the season (a white one) flitting across the backyard! 😀

    1. I saw my first hummingbird Sunday getting a drink out of the fountain. 🙂

        1. When I was about 5 years old I used to stand outside and sing that song at the top of my lungs.

    2. Yay. I saw one yesterday but could not tell what kind.

      We have two hummers out back and one so far out front. No orioles at the oranges yet

      Daughter has baby blue birds in the nest in her mailbox

  15. Hurricane Season is still a little more than 3 weeks away, (1 week for the eastern Pacific), but it has started in the Western Pacific and the Indian Ocean. The latter in particular may start to grab some headlines this weekend. A disturbance has developed in the Bay of Bengal (the India Meteorological Department is already calling it a depression), and most of the models show it developing into a rather potent system as it heads north or north-northeastward over the next several days. The consensus is for the system reach equivalent of a Category 2 hurricane, then weaken a little before making landfall around Saturday in western Myanmar or possibly Bangladesh. You don’t need a big storm to cause massive issues in Bangladesh, so the track will be key for this storm.

    Here’s the latest update from the India Meteorological Department:

    https://mausam.imd.gov.in/responsive/cycloneinformation.php

      1. That is a very high risk place to live but high reward if you are in agriculture. Some of the best farmland in the world but the cyclones can be so devastating because of the shape of the coastline and the low elevation.

        This area is also a little bit of a tornado alley and they can have some pretty powerful supercell thunderstorms and associated tornadoes.

  16. Thanks, TK.

    For the past 2 wks. or so we have heard a bird start singing as early as 4:00 a.m. and then shortly after sunset. Doesn’t sound like a robin – makes kind of a chipping sound. Not sure what kind of bird it is. Our kitty is always looking out the window at night but she won’t tell us what kind of bird it is! 🙂

  17. We could only muster 58 today. I was off by 4-5 degrees as I thought we’d make it to 62 or 63. Oh well.

    Ocean 52.16

    1. It will get very close and even briefly match in the colder locations. This is the type of night that you can have frost in the low lying areas and also valley, swamp, and and bog fog where the temp & dew point meet due to the mainly clear and calm conditions.

      A place like Norwood, for example, that sits near 60 for a temp and near 30 for a dew point at this moment (late afternoon), will see them converge around 35F during the overnight / early morning, at which time the frost would form, and then after sunrise tomorrow, the dew point will probably hang in the lower 30s through the day while the temperature “soars” to around 70.

      This is classic springtime big diurnal weather. Cold morning low, pleasantly warm afternoon high. 🙂

  20. DP at this hour at the East Taunton airport is 31.
    The readings here and at the airport (6.6 miles away) usually match.

    TK, off the top of your head, is there a record for the greatest difference between the maximum and minimum temperature for a single day in Boston?

    1. I can’t find Boston’s easily, but I can tell you for Lowell, it’s 62 degrees. On February 17, 1894, Lowell had a high of 44 and a low of -18.

      1. Interesting. Was it a rapid increase or decrease? In other words, was the -18 before or after the 44?

        1. Thanks, SAK!!! SClarke, (and this is purely a guess), it went -18 to 44. If not, that must have been an incredibly strong cold front!!!!

          1. I only have the high and low for the day, but looking at the days around it, I’m going to make an educated guess that the -18 was the morning low and 44 was the high, since it was 48 the following day.

      1. Now that I have read your post, Vicki, I do remember that tweet from Zack Green, Vicki!
        How is it I remember things from 1977 easier than from a couple of months ago??? 🙂

        1. Since you are a spring chicken, it makes me feel better than I am not alone remembering things long ago and nothing recent

  21. I have covered all of my most vulnerable flowers.
    Tucked in for the night!

  23. For that May 1977 snowstorm, I went to school in Boston, near downtown no less, YET I had a legitimate “snow day”. ❄️

    From 1975-78 I went to a private school and most of the students and faculty lived in the suburbs, and…voila! ❄️❄️❄️❄️ 😉

    Unfortunately, for the 1978 blizzard, I only got a little more than one week off (February vacation canceled) while BPS got 3 weeks off including February vacation. Oh well. 🙂

  24. Well, needless to say, on my Bingo card I did not have the Bruins getting knocked out in the first round (I thought they’d win it all). Nor did I have the Celtics crash out in the 2nd round (I thought they’d lose in the conference final). They haven’t yet lost the series to Philly. But their backs are against the wall.

    1. I’m a die hard Celtics fan.

      Only 1 other time did I hope they got eliminated and that was the 2019 team with Kyrie, Gordon Hayward, the 2 Jay’s, Al, Marcus S, Marcus Morris. The J’s squabbled with the vets for shots, Kyrie was Kyrie, it was a blatant underacheivement of superior talent.

      Same with this team. There might be less in team friction. But the coach never makes in game adjustments (we’ll just let Harden and Embiid run pick and roll ALL NIGHT and play the same defense). The coach clearly puts 0 value on defense and his players decide when they want to try and when they won’t. Its ok if Philly ends the Celtics season Thursday night.

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