Friday May 12 2023 Forecast (7:23AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (MAY 12-16)

Everything from yesterday’s discussion is on track so far. A disturbance will bring a more substantial swath of cloudiness and some shower activity across the region from northwest to southeast this morning, followed by more sun, which can then fuel a couple showers and possible thunderstorms later in the day – though these look like they’ll be low coverage. A little summer preview in the way it feels too today with many areas reaching or beating 80 for high temps – exception South Coast especially Cape Cod and any other areas along the coast where wind has to travel over water, which is much cooler. Also the humidity level ticks up just a tad, not really enough to be uncomfortable but enough to be noticed. Saturday, we still have a secondary front to come by, but in general drier area will already be here and I leave only the chance of a morning shower in the forecast for the South Coast as I don’t think anything else will pop up. Don’t expect a 100% sunny day for all of the region on Saturday though. We’ll see a shield of high clouds especially across the southern sky for the first part of the day and then some patchy clouds with that secondary front from the northwest later. More sun should dominate on Sunday but with some fair-weather clouds probably popping up. We will have a cooler day on Sunday with a northerly wind courtesy high pressure to our west, but this is a case where “cooler” just means highs in the 60s instead of the 70s – still quite nice for Mother’s Day. Monday looks like a decent day at this time with high pressure keeping one disturbance well to the south, and the surface high’s axis of center far enough south that we get a westerly breeze, allowing it to warm back up to 70+ high temps for most of the region. Whether we stay mild again through Tuesday will depend on the speed of an approaching cold front from the north, which will also bring a shower threat at some point that day if it’s quick enough to move in. For now, I lean toward the mild day, and the late shower threat, but it’s day 5, so expect at least some tweaking to that, unless I guessed right this time. 🙂 Also of note, while there is still a little bit of smoke aloft, the thickest of it has pushed away from the region and it won’t be nearly as much a factor in the sky over the coming days.

TODAY: Intervals of clouds and sun. Showers progress northwest to southeast and become less numerous through mid morning, then a chance of a passing shower or thunderstorm later in the day with most areas dry. Highs 78-85 except 70-77 South Coast. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. An early-day shower possible South Coast. Highs 71-78. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 45-52. Wind NNW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 63-70. Wind N 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 46-53. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 70-77. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers late in the day. Highs 71-78. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 17-21)

Watch for a push of cool air out of Canada with a gusty breeze on May 17, a moderation in temperature with continued fair weather May 18 and 19. Watching the May 20-21 weekend for potential showers at some point as a trough and frontal system move in from the west.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 22-26)

If the trough from the west later in the 6-10 day period is slower, this period may start with showers, and additional unsettled weather may visit by mid period as well with a trough in the region. Temperatures trend cooler.

40 thoughts on “Friday May 12 2023 Forecast (7:23AM)”

  9. Our “sip” this morning lasted no more than 30 seconds! I hope we get another…

  10. The “batch” of shower rocketed through my area and WAS DRY, unless I missed a drop or two. 🙂

  11. The last I heard, Sunday’s game will be either at 3:30 or 8:00. I hope it’s the first one! :mrgreen:

  13. Interesting temp afternoon ….. 81F at Logan now

    but there appears to be neutral or slight cool air advection looking at Mt Washington’s summit temp

    But, there is a decent amt of sun and the wind should be assisting with warming downsloping.

    I’d favor instead of another 5-6F if we had warm air advection to more like 2-3F more because of the neutral to cool air advection. And a few cumulus clouds too.

  15. Little pop-up cell just went through here. Rained for about 90 seconds. Looking at the radar, I was on the edge of it, the heavier stuff was just to my west.

  17. 84F in Back Bay. Not sultry, though.

    Haven’t brought out the fans yet. Always a good sign.

    My fans tend to get a good work-out for around 10 weeks every year. That period will commence in June at some point.

  20. On the way to campground, hit a shower on Rte 3 around Plymouth and then one more heavy sprinkle came through 20 mins later.

    Being outside was pretty neat because a couple minutes before the rain, the rain cooled air definitely came in. It wasn’t chilly or anything but we fealt a several F drop.

    It’s now warmed back up.

  21. If a cool front doesn’t speed up, I think next Tuesday could end up in the mid 80s.

    Quite the westerly wind showing that day so far and a piece of the western Canadian warmth breaking off. Add in downsloping. We’ll see.

  22. Leafs put up a fight, but lost in OT to the Panthers. I truly feel sorry for Toronto fans. They love their team. And obviously hockey is THE national sport in Canada. Yet, the Maple Leafs are perennial losers in the playoffs, though they did win one round this year. It’s been many years – 56 – since the Leafs won it all.

    The 8th seed Miami Heat keep rolling … on to the conference final to meet the winner of Philly-Boston on Sunday.

    It’s a busy period on the sports calendar. I’m also following European soccer, so I’m easily distracted by so much sports.

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