Tuesday May 16 2023 Forecast (7:24AM)

32 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 16-20)

A combination of warm advection cloud cover and Canadian wildfire smoke has our sky a hazy grey to start the day today, but we’ll break into some filtered sun at times midday and beyond, and it’ll warm up nicely, with many areas making a run at 80 for high temps, along with a gusty wind. This dry and windy combo also has our brush fire danger quite elevated. Any brushfires can spread rapidly on a day like today. This will also be the case tomorrow, regarding the fire threat, but the weather will be much different. A cold front sweeps through the region from north to south tonight, with a threat of a brief shower at most, and it’s right back to dry weather with a gusty wind and temperatures barely cracking 60 Wednesday. As high pressure builds over the region and the wind drops off at night, radiational cooling will allow the temperature to drop below 40 in many areas, exception urban centers, and even blow freezing in normal cold spots. The threat of frost and isolated freeze is there for early Thursday. Temperatures rebound by about 30 to 35 degrees during the day Thursday though, so the chill will be gone by the time we reach afternoon under plenty of sunshine and a sky that should be devoid of wildfire smoke, presenting as a more cobalt blue. High pressure will bring fair, warmer weather for Friday before a trough approaches Saturday with an increase in cloud cover but continued mild to warm air. Current expecting timing on the next unsettled weather event brings a shower threat by Saturday evening.

TODAY: Smoke aloft while clouds give way to hazy sun at times. Highs 74-81. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusts as high as 30 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A passing shower possible. Lows 45-52. Wind shifting to N 5-15 MPH with higher gusts from north to south.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 58-65. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35 interior lower elevations, 35-42 elsewhere, mildest in urban centers. Wind NW up to 10 MPH, diminishing.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind W increasing to 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 47-54. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 71-78. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers by evening. Highs 67-74, coolest South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 21-25)

Cooling trend with dry weather returning May 21 and continuing May 22, then a slight warm-up preceding a rain chance and cool-down later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 26-30)

Unsettled weather may start and end the period, and current cautiously optimistic timing suggests a dry Memorial Day Weekend with a cool start then a warming trend.

32 thoughts on “Tuesday May 16 2023 Forecast (7:24AM)”

  5. During the short keeping of records, southern Hemisphere had its warmest month, compared to average, on record in April.

    2. At barn with granddaughter near Sutton center. It’s a lovely 68 with 34 DP and a gusty breeze.

  13. We’ll have our warm interludes but the overall regime is a cool one and a dry one into early June AISIN.

        1. Thanks. I keep forgetting that summer was noted for its wet regime as well. I do recall quite a number of rain events come to think of it.

          1. It was only June and July that were like that.

            August and September were absolutely splendid with plenty of dry weather not too much heat and very nice beach and vacation conditions.

  14. Traveling next week to see my daughter in the Netherlands. She lives in London, but is nomadic right now as she and her boyfriend are searching for a place to live (they’re staying with his parents and are doing long-term AirBnB’s in a variety of locations). They may have found a small flat in North London (Muswell Hill), but the bank is holding up the process for at least another two months. Banks there are very cautious about providing a mortgage to two quite modest wage earners.

    We’ve decided to meet in Amsterdam, like we did in early January. It looks like a nearly constant northeasterly has set up shop and will continue for the foreseeable future (through the end of the month) bringing warm and mostly dry conditions. Remember, a northeasterly for them is a continental wind direction: Warm and dry in summer, cold and dry in winter.

    Once there next week, I’ll let you know just how warm it will get. One thing I do know is that it will be VERY light outside until very late, past 10pm.

  18. 51 years ago, David Bowie performing Ziggy Stardust: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3qrOvBuWJ-c&list=RD3qrOvBuWJ-c&start_radio=1

    51 years ago, Lou Reed performing Walk on the Wild Side: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L6WK9_yqnio

    To anyone who thinks that androgyny or transgender behavior is a new feature of our society, well think otherwise. it was distinctly in vogue back then for certain rockers to either dabble in or put to lyrics androgyny and transgender behavior. Kinks’ performing Lola in 1970 (53 years ago): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GP0X0CRMZLU

      1. Did not know this. Thanks for sharing.

        The Dutch are still leery of broadcasting anything that has a brand in it, whether in a song or a TV show or on the news. Sports are the exception, though even there they prohibit a lot of things we allow for (gambling ads, for instance). They don’t censor swearing. Though they don’t swear as much as we do in everyday life, they don’t bleep out whatever swear words you might hear on say, the radio or TV. They have a liberal view regarding showing naked people on TV. Not that it’s pornography that you’re seeing, but just naked people, there’s no taboo surrounding it. At the same time, they’re less tolerant of extreme violence on TV, with rules prohibiting broadcasts before a certain time, Cultures are different, which is fascinating.

Comments are closed.