Thursday June 15 2023 Forecast (7:17AM)

50 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 15-19)

Low pressure gets to our east today and a little high pressure ridge sneaks in tonight into Friday. Enough cold air aloft today can support a couple isolated afternoon showers mainly across southern NH and northeastern MA, but for the most part the day will be dry for our region, including more sun eventually mixed with the clouds associated with the departing low pressure area. Friday should be a day that starts sunnier but ends with more clouds as the next trough and low will be on the approach. This is not good news for the weekend, especially Saturday, when upper low pressure goes right over us, and surface low pressure does a short cyclonic loop just south of us, bringing a cloudy and wet day with below normal temperatures. Only slight improvement is noted for Sunday as drier air arrives on the back side of that system which will start to move to the east. When we get to Monday it’s time for the start of a kind-of Rex block with high pressure in eastern Canada and a trough just to our southwest and south. We can still see showers around Monday with some chilly air above us and a weak disturbance in the area.

TODAY: Lots of clouds in portions of the region early to mid morning, otherwise a sun/cloud mix. An isolated shower possible southern NH and northern MA this afternoon. Highs 72-79, may be a little cooler in some coastal areas. Wind NW up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breeze are possible.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows 55-62. Wind W under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun gives way to clouds. Highs 75-82, cooler coast. Wind SW up to 10 MPH but again coastal sea breezes possible.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms arriving. Patchy fog. Lows 55-62. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog and drizzle. Highs 58-65. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog and drizzle. Lows 51-58. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs 67-74. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 55-62 Wind N under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 68-75. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 20-24)

Rex block pattern for a few days with high pressure strong enough to keep wet weather to the south, but the break down of the pattern may allow wet weather to push back into the region late in the period. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 25-29)

Flip to a more zonal flow pattern with a couple shower chances, and “warmer” weather, but no major heat.

50 thoughts on “Thursday June 15 2023 Forecast (7:17AM)”

  4. Thanks TK.

    Still no major heat in sight. 🙂

    Would like to see the pattern a bit more drier though.

      1. That’s why I said a “bit” drier. Yes I understand your point. We certainly don’t want to go back there either. 🙂

    1. Of course that automatically means a record breaking season with 3 trips around the alphabet and 22 major hurricanes. 😉

    1. Awesome photo. A Sutton friend had a very similar video a week of so ago. Such majestic creatures

      1. The GFS, over the past 10 days, has also brought that into Belize, or northeastern Mexico, or Houston, or New Orleans, or Pensacola, or Tampa, or across Cuba.

        Here’s the thing – the GFS develops more phantom storms in the western Caribbean than any other model? Don’t believe me? The creator of Tropical Tidbits is the one who clued me in to that:

        https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1667621150497849344?s=20

        Bottom line, NHC is completely ignoring that, and probably for a good reason. Until something actually develops, I wouldn’t worry too much about what the GFS says.

        1. BTW, both the ECMWF and Canadian show absolutely nothing there. They do however, develop the wave moving off of Africa this weekend, which IS something NHC highlighted (and I referenced earlier).

    1. And of note is that we haven’t had a lot of due zonal flow and it seems this amplified pattern moves forward so, if you get a trof or an upper low in a favorable or unfavorable spot depending on how one looks at it ……

  14. I do believe SAK and I know TK and other Mets would probably feel the same re: the GFS tropical hallucinations.

    But, it is fun to watch 🙂

    2. I agree that it’s fun to watch because it reminds me of the fantasy scenarios I used to draw in the margins of my notebooks when I was supposed to be paying better attention in class. 😉

      Don’t worry, I still graduated #67 out of 500. 😉

    1. Daughter and instructor and a few others are trailering out soon for a trail ride. Hoping rain holds off and that there is no thunder

  18. The latest CPC (6-10/8-14) outlook has near to below normal temps from SNE to the Mid-Atlantic while NNE will have above normal temps through the end of June.

    While the Midwest…OUCH!!!

    Not that I’m complaining mind you. 🙂

  20. It is a truly exceptional evening. Been outside for hours listening to a book and watching the birds and bunnies. And I have no desire to head inside.

    1. Unfortunately bunnies are very rare in my neighborhood. I guess Dorchester doesn’t appeal to them. I have seen them in other sections of Boston though. I bet JPD sees plenty. 😉

    2. I have a bunny family in my yard and one was just hanging out with me. 🙂

      Also, there is an exceptional cloud formation I’m getting pics of that you’ll see soon.

  21. Well it’s nice to see the GFS is still not cured of its hallucinacanes. 😉

    I have had quite a day / week around here. Crazy. I’ll update soon. 🙂 I smile because I’m exhausted and there is also more good than bad to talk about. 🙂

  23. https://photos.app.goo.gl/FbWXfehp2KqW27mbA

    The fantasy side of the mind sees a “cloud couple” watching the sunset together this evening.

    The science: That is a pair of towering cumulus clouds to the south of a cumulonimbus cloud which you can see on the right edge of the photo. The large cloud was producing a heavy downpour between Weston and Londonderry Vermont at the time. Yes, we can see the cloud towers that far away. 🙂

    The photo was taken looking West Northwest from Woods Hill in Woburn MA at about 8:30 p.m.

  24. Philip. This is our third summer with our one eared bunny that I named Peter. And his siblings …Flopsy and Mopsy. And we ar eon our third set of VERY tiny babies. We counted three new ones tonight.

    What we do not have is squirrels and I don’t mind that one bit

    1. I have noticed fewer squirrels up in my area the last couple years after a big explosion of them previously.

      Now it’s all about the bunnies and the turkeys. 😀

      1. Unfortunately Vicki there are squirrels aplenty all over the city of Boston and its neighborhoods. I wonder if squirrels are more attracted to urban areas than suburbs and countryside like pigeons?

        My neighborhood also has raccoons and skunks as well as occasional turkeys. The last time I saw a bunny was earlier this spring one early morning on my way to work (bus stop).

        1. There are definitely squirrels in Sutton. Just not here. Maybe too many foxes and coywolves.

          My older daughter In uxbridge had birdie feeders on her deck. Her husband went out to bring a few in a couple of nights ago and came face to face with a raccoon.

Comments are closed.